Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 8/12/2025 7:40 PM EDT

We have your Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Pittsburgh Pirates hit the road to face the Milwaukee Brewers.

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Milwaukee Brewers -125 (BetMGM) / Pittsburgh Pirates +110 (Caesars)
Best Spread Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 (-220) (BetMGM) / Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-210) (Caesars)
Best Total Odds: Over 6.5 (-124) (Fanduel) / Under 7.0 (-120) (BetMGM)

Game Info

Date: 2025-08-12
Time: 7:40 PM EDT
Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
TV: ESPN+

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers, currently one of the hottest teams in MLB, are set to host the Pittsburgh Pirates at American Family Field. The Brewers are riding a nine-game winning streak, their second such streak this season, and have won 16 of their last 20 games. This impressive run has been fueled by a potent offense, averaging 5.00 runs per game overall and an even more impressive 5.29 runs per game at home. When the Brewers score 5 or more runs, they boast an incredible 53-6 record this season, highlighting their ability to convert offensive production into wins.

On the mound for the Brewers will be Freddy Peralta, who holds a strong 13-5 record with a 3.03 ERA. His performance, especially at home, provides a significant advantage. The Pirates, meanwhile, will counter with Paul Skenes, who has a 7-8 record and a 1.94 ERA. While Skenes has been effective, the Pirates have struggled on the road this season, holding a dismal 17-39 record away from home. Their overall offensive output is also a concern, averaging just 3.54 runs per game, which drops to 3.12 runs per game on the road.

The betting market has taken note of Milwaukee's strong form, with sharp money indicating confidence in the Brewers. The line for this game opened with Milwaukee at -198 and has moved upward despite significant public money on the Pirates' runline, signaling professional respect for the Brewers' current form. The Brewers have been particularly dominant as heavy home favorites, going 20-5 when favored by -175 or more at American Family Field. Weather conditions are expected to be mild, around 73°F with light 6mph winds blowing left to right, creating neutral playing conditions.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

The Milwaukee Brewers have held the upper hand in recent matchups against the Pittsburgh Pirates. In the 2025 season, the Brewers lead the head-to-head series 4-3, despite playing four of those games in Pittsburgh. Looking at the last 10 encounters between these two teams, the Brewers have won 6 of them. Their most recent game on August 11, 2025, saw the Brewers secure a decisive 7-1 victory over the Pirates. This historical trend, combined with Milwaukee's current hot streak, suggests a continued challenge for the Pirates in this divisional matchup.

Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5

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The Milwaukee Brewers are in exceptional form, riding a nine-game winning streak and boasting a dominant 39-20 home record. Their offense is clicking, averaging 5.29 runs per game at American Family Field, and they have an outstanding 53-6 record when scoring five or more runs. The Pirates, on the other hand, have struggled significantly on the road with a 17-39 record and a meager 3.12 runs per game away from home. The Brewers have covered the -1.5 runline in seven of their last nine wins, demonstrating their ability to secure multi-run victories. Given the significant disparity in team form, home-field advantage, and offensive production, backing the Milwaukee Brewers to cover the -1.5 spread at -210 odds offers strong value.

Top Player Prop Picks

Andrew Vaughn (Milwaukee Brewers) - Hits Over 0.5

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Andrew Vaughn has been consistently hitting the ball well, making the Over 0.5 Hits prop an attractive pick. He has hit the over in 80% of his last five games and an impressive 93.33% over his last 15 games. Furthermore, Vaughn has a perfect 100% hit rate against the Pirates in their single matchup this season. When playing at home, he has hit the over in 81.58% of his games in 2025. With these strong trends, Vaughn is well-positioned to record at least one hit against the Pirates. You can find the best odds for this prop at -175 on BetMGM.

Brice Turang (Milwaukee Brewers) - Hits Over 0.5

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Brice Turang presents another solid opportunity for the Over 0.5 Hits prop. He has hit the over in 80% of his last five games and 75% over his last 20 games, showing consistent performance. Against the Pirates in 2025, Turang has hit the over in 75% of his eight matchups. His home performance this season is also strong, with a 70.69% hit rate for the over. Considering his consistent hitting and favorable matchup history, Turang is a good bet to get a hit. The best odds for this prop are -145 on BetMGM.

Joey Ortiz (Milwaukee Brewers) - Hits + Runs + RBIs Over 0.5

Joey Ortiz has been on a hot streak, making the Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs prop a compelling choice. He has hit the over in 100% of his last five games and 90% of his last ten games. Against the Pirates in 2025, Ortiz has hit the over in 75% of his eight appearances, and 60% in 2024 across 10 games. While his home hit rate for this prop is slightly lower at 48.33%, his recent form and strong performance against the Pirates make him a favorable pick. You can find the best odds for this prop at -145 on BetMGM.

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