Pickwatch Top 3 in 2013 Correctly Pick Super Bowl Result
3 Feb, 2014 by Shaun Lowrie
Wow. Well did you see that coming?
You can hardly blame anyone who thought that even if the Seahawks would win, the Broncos would put up a lot of points. Most of the predictions this week had a margin of 4-6pts, so anyone who claims they were all over a Broncos shut-out is most likely lying. If they're not, they're probably just guessing, because there wasn't a shred of evidence that suggested Peyton Manning and the Broncos would put up 8 points in the entire game.
On the other hand, there was a groundswell of Seahawks support from the outset. As early as Tuesday last week we had Seattle pegged as favorites, according to the 20 or so analysts who had picked by that point. The Broncos slowly began to assume the favorite tag as media week began, leading to 57% of experts finally going with Denver at kick-off time.
Most importantly though - and those of you following us on twitter will know already - all three of our top experts in 2013 (John Halpin, Gregg Rosenthal and Prediction Machine) went with the Seahawks. This isn't the first time, and it won't be the last time that following the best experts works out a lot better than simply going with the majority. Many of you have been in touch over the season to say just how much Pickwatch helps you make the right decisions week-in, week-out, so it was nice to highlight that in the biggest game of all.
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It's been a great season for us here at Pickwatch, we've enjoyed hearing from our readers and fans across the world. All of the feedback and suggestions have been noted (trust me, it's a big-ass file...) and I can guarantee next year the site will have 100x as many features presented in a much clearer way. You'll be able to interact with the data any way you see fit to get the best results for whichever game you're picking.
Our next focus is the NFL draft in May. We'll be gathering scouting reports, mock drafts and other analysis to build an ongoing draft compendium, giving you a chance to see who knows their Russell Wilson's from their Vernon Gholston's.
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Shaun Lowrie is the founder and editor of Pickwatch, a site designed to give you a new perspective on experts in the NFL media by tracking their performance when picking games or predicting draft picks, team performance, or player potential. You can contact him at [email protected] or on twitter at @pickwatch