Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 9/17/2024 7:40 PM EST

We have your Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Philadelphia Phillies hit the road to face the Milwaukee Brewers.

Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -134 (FanDuel) / Milwaukee Brewers +120 (BetRivers)
Best Spread Odds: 1.5 - Philadelphia Phillies +122 (Caesars) / Milwaukee Brewers -145 (Caesars)
Best Total Odds: 7.5 - Under -125 (ESPN BET) / 7.0 - Over -122 (DraftKings)

Game Info

Date: 9/17/2024
Time: 7:40 PM EST
Location: American Family Field (Milwaukee, Wisconsin)
TV: TBS

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

In the three games played between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Milwaukee Brewers during the 2024 season, the Phillies emerged victorious in all three matchups. These games took place over a span of three days, from June 3 to June 5, 2024. The home team won each game, with the Phillies consistently outperforming the Brewers at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies covered the spread in two of the three games, while the Brewers managed to cover the spread once. Notably, all three games went under the set over-under line, indicating a series characterized by strong pitching performances and limited scoring. Across these games, the Phillies demonstrated a consistent ability to capitalize on their home-field advantage, while the Brewers struggled to find offensive momentum.

The most recent game on June 5, 2024, saw the Phillies secure a 2-0 victory over the Brewers. The game was defined by a standout pitching performance from the Phillies' Aaron Nola, who threw a complete game shutout, allowing only three hits and striking out nine batters. The Phillies' offense was highlighted by Nick Castellanos, who hit a two-run home run in the fifth inning, driving in Garrett Stubbs. This home run accounted for all the scoring in the game. The Brewers' Aaron Ashby also pitched effectively, allowing just three hits over eight innings, but the lack of run support proved costly. The Phillies' ability to execute in key moments and Nola's dominant pitching were crucial in securing the win.

Throughout the series, the Phillies' pitching staff consistently limited the Brewers' offensive opportunities. In the first game on June 3, Zack Wheeler led the Phillies to a 3-1 victory, allowing just one run over nine innings. The second game on June 4 was a tightly contested affair, with the Phillies winning 2-1 in extra innings, thanks to a walk-off performance. The Brewers' pitching staff, while effective at times, was unable to contain the Phillies' timely hitting and struggled to provide sufficient run support. Overall, the series underscored the Phillies' strong pitching depth and ability to perform under pressure, setting the stage for their continued success against the Brewers.

Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies and Milwaukee Brewers are set to clash in a pivotal matchup at American Family Field, with both teams vying for postseason positioning. The Phillies, leading the NL East with a 90-60 record, are looking to break a three-game road losing streak. They have shown resilience throughout the season, particularly when hitting multiple home runs, boasting a 40-7 record in such games. Their lineup is powered by the likes of Bryce Harper, who has been a consistent force with 28 home runs and a .290 batting average, and Trea Turner, who has been productive in recent games.

On the mound for the Phillies will be Zack Wheeler, who has been a stalwart in their rotation. Wheeler's impressive 15-6 record, 2.60 ERA, and 199 strikeouts highlight his dominance this season. His ability to control the game will be crucial against a Brewers team that has struggled against the Phillies in their previous encounters this year. The Phillies have won three of the four meetings against the Brewers, showcasing their ability to capitalize on Milwaukee's weaknesses.

The Brewers, on the other hand, are on the brink of clinching the NL Central title, with their magic number down to two. Despite being considered a rebuilding team at the start of the season, they have defied expectations with a strong 87-63 record. Milwaukee's pitching staff, which boasts the third-best team ERA in baseball, will rely on Frankie Montas to counter the Phillies' potent offense. Montas, with a 7-10 record and a 4.49 ERA, will need to elevate his game to keep the Brewers competitive.

Offensively, the Brewers will look to Willy Adames and William Contreras to provide the spark. Adames leads the team with 32 home runs, while Contreras has been in fine form recently, driving in key runs. The Brewers' ability to execute in high-pressure situations, as demonstrated in their recent victory over the Phillies, will be vital in this matchup.

As the Phillies aim to solidify their position atop the NL East and the Brewers push for a division title, this game promises to be a thrilling encounter. Both teams have much at stake, and the outcome could have significant implications for their postseason aspirations.

Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Against the Spread

The Philadelphia Phillies are poised to cover the spread against the Milwaukee Brewers in their upcoming matchup. The Phillies have demonstrated a strong performance against the Brewers this season, winning three out of four encounters. This dominance is further underscored by their ability to capitalize on Milwaukee's weaknesses, particularly when playing away from home. With Zack Wheeler on the mound, the Phillies have a significant advantage. Wheeler's impressive 15-6 record, 2.60 ERA, and 199 strikeouts this season highlight his ability to control games and stifle opposing offenses. His presence is a key factor in the Phillies' success, especially against a Brewers lineup that has struggled to find offensive momentum against Philadelphia.

Moreover, the Phillies' lineup, led by Bryce Harper and Trea Turner, has been consistently productive. Harper's 28 home runs and .290 batting average, combined with Turner's recent form, provide a potent offensive threat that the Brewers will find challenging to contain. The Phillies' record of 40-7 in games where they hit at least two home runs further emphasizes their offensive prowess and ability to secure victories when their bats are hot.

On the other hand, the Brewers, while on the brink of clinching the NL Central title, have shown vulnerabilities, particularly against strong pitching. Frankie Montas, with a 7-10 record and a 4.49 ERA, will need to elevate his performance significantly to match Wheeler's dominance. The Brewers' recent struggles against the Phillies, coupled with their reliance on Montas, suggest that they may find it difficult to keep pace with Philadelphia's offensive and pitching strengths.

Given these factors, the Phillies are well-positioned to cover the spread in this crucial matchup. Their combination of strong pitching, led by Wheeler, and a potent offense makes them a formidable opponent for the Brewers, who have yet to demonstrate consistent success against Philadelphia this season.

Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers Top Player Prop Picks

Zack Wheeler Under 7.5 Strikeouts -145 (FanDuel)

Zack Wheeler has been a dominant force for the Philadelphia Phillies this season, boasting a 15-6 record with a 2.60 ERA and 199 strikeouts. However, the Milwaukee Brewers have shown resilience against top-tier pitchers, as evidenced by their recent victory over the Phillies. Wheeler's strikeout line is set at 7.5, which is a high bar considering the Brewers' ability to put the ball in play and their recent offensive form. While Wheeler is undoubtedly capable of racking up strikeouts, the Brewers' lineup, led by the likes of Willy Adames and William Contreras, has the potential to limit his strikeout opportunities. Given the Brewers' recent performance and Wheeler's need to manage his pitch count effectively, the under on this strikeout line presents a compelling option.

Frankie Montas Over 2.5 Earned Runs 106 (Caesars)

Frankie Montas enters this matchup with a 7-10 record and a 4.49 ERA, facing a potent Phillies lineup that has been firing on all cylinders. The Phillies have demonstrated their offensive prowess, particularly when hitting multiple home runs, and Montas will need to be at his best to contain them. With Bryce Harper and Trea Turner leading the charge, the Phillies have the capability to exploit Montas' vulnerabilities. Given Montas' struggles this season and the Phillies' ability to capitalize on pitching weaknesses, the over on 2.5 earned runs is a strong play, especially considering the offensive firepower Philadelphia brings to the table.

Joey Ortiz Over 0.5 Total Bases -115 (bet365)

Joey Ortiz has been a key contributor for the Milwaukee Brewers, particularly in their recent victory over the Phillies. Ortiz's ability to get on base and drive in runs has been crucial for the Brewers' offense. With the Phillies' focus likely on containing the more prominent threats in the Brewers' lineup, Ortiz could find opportunities to make an impact. His recent form suggests he is more than capable of surpassing the modest line of 0.5 total bases. Given his role in the Brewers' lineup and the potential for high-scoring opportunities in this game, Ortiz is well-positioned to exceed this total base line.