Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 8/15/2025 6:45 PM EDT

We have your Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Philadelphia Phillies hit the road to face the Washington Nationals.

Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -185 (ESPN BET), Washington Nationals +160 (Fanduel)
Best Spread Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-105) (Caesars), Washington Nationals +1.5 (-110) (ESPN BET)
Best Total Odds: Over 7.5 (-130) (ESPN BET), Under 8.0 (-110) (Caesars)

Game Info

Date: August 15, 2025
Time: 6:45 PM EDT
Location: Nationals Park, Washington, DC
TV: MASN

Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies (69-52), currently leading the NL East, are looking to snap a three-game losing streak as they visit the Washington Nationals (49-72), who sit in fifth place in the division. The Nationals are coming off two consecutive wins, including a narrow 3-2 victory over the Phillies in Thursday's series opener.

The Phillies will send ace Zack Wheeler to the mound. Wheeler boasts an impressive 10-5 record with a 2.68 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP this season. Philadelphia's offense ranks sixth in batting average (.253) and fifth in on-base percentage (.322), with key hitters like Kyle Schwarber, who has blasted 42 home runs, and Trea Turner, who went 3-for-5 in the last game. Despite their strong offensive metrics, the Phillies have struggled with runners in scoring position recently, managing only one hit in six attempts in Thursday's game and stranding eight baserunners.

Countering for the Nationals will be MacKenzie Gore, who holds a 5-12 record with a 4.09 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. The Nationals' offense has shown some pop, ranking tenth in doubles with 198 and seventh in stolen bases with 101. CJ Abrams leads their lineup with a .266 batting average, 16 home runs, and 26 stolen bases. James Wood has also been a significant contributor with 118 hits, 25 doubles, 25 home runs, and 15 stolen bases. The Nationals' bullpen, however, has been inconsistent, ranking 29th in MLB with a 5.22 ERA, which could be a factor if the game goes deep.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

The Phillies currently hold a 4-3 lead in the season series against the Nationals. However, the Nationals have won the last two matchups between these two teams, including Thursday's 3-2 victory.

Looking at the pitching matchup, Zack Wheeler has a career record of 14-15 with a 4.32 ERA in 37 starts against the Nationals. More recently, in his last five starts against Washington, Wheeler is 2-0 with a stellar 2.23 ERA and has recorded 38 strikeouts. MacKenzie Gore, on the other hand, has a career record of 1-4 with a 4.40 ERA in 11 appearances against the Phillies. In his last five starts against Philadelphia, Gore is 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA and 37 strikeouts.

A notable individual matchup to watch is Kyle Schwarber against MacKenzie Gore. Schwarber has historically dominated Gore, collecting 5 hits, including 3 home runs and a double, in just 12 at-bats. His .833 slugging percentage against left-handed pitching further highlights his effectiveness in this specific matchup.

Nationals Park plays as a slight hitters' park, with park factors of 1.011 for runs and 1.054 for home runs. MacKenzie Gore's home ERA of 4.87 is notably higher than his road ERA of 3.42, suggesting the park conditions might amplify his occasional command issues.

Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline

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The Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline is the straight pick for this matchup. Despite their recent three-game skid, the Phillies are the superior team, and the presence of Zack Wheeler on the mound provides a significant advantage. Wheeler's season ERA of 2.68 and WHIP of 0.93 are elite, and he has a strong recent track record against the Nationals. The Phillies' offense, while struggling with runners in scoring position lately, has the firepower to break out, especially against MacKenzie Gore, who has shown inconsistency, particularly at home. Sharp money analysis indicates a 63.19% sharp win percentage for the Phillies moneyline, reinforcing confidence in this pick.

Top Player Prop Picks

Zack Wheeler Over 7.5 Pitcher Strikeouts

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Zack Wheeler has been a strikeout force this season, averaging 11.8 strikeouts per nine innings. He has consistently hit the over on this line, doing so in 60% of his last 5 games and an impressive 80% of his last 10 games. For the entire season, Wheeler has surpassed this strikeout total in 65.22% of his starts. In his most recent outing against the Nationals, he recorded 12 strikeouts. Given the Nationals' tendency to strike out at a 22.3% clip against right-handed pitching, Wheeler is well-positioned to exceed 7.5 strikeouts.
Best Over Odds: +100 (Caesars)

James Wood Over 0.5 Hits

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James Wood has been a reliable source of hits for the Nationals. He has hit the over on 0.5 hits in 100% of his last 5 games and 80% of his last 10 games, demonstrating excellent recent form. For the season, Wood has recorded at least one hit in 65.25% of his appearances. His performance against the Phillies has also been strong, with a 57.14% over hit rate in 2025 and 71.43% in 2024 matchups. Playing at home, he has hit the over 61.02% of the time this season.
Best Over Odds: -145 (DraftKings)

Riley Adams Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Riley Adams has shown a strong ability to contribute to the Nationals' offense in combined categories. He has hit the over on 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs in 80% of his last 5 games and an impressive 90% of his last 10 games. His season-long over hit rate for this prop stands at 53.7%. When playing at home, Adams has hit the over on this line in 53.57% of his games this season.
Best Over Odds: -135 (DraftKings)