Philadelphia Phillies at. New York Mets Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 10/9/2024 5:08 PM EST

We have your Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Philadelphia Phillies hit the road to face the New York Mets.

Philadelphia Phillies at. New York Mets Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -108 (BetRivers) / New York Mets -104 (FanDuel)
Best Spread Odds: 1.5 - Philadelphia Phillies +163 (BetRivers) / New York Mets -185 (BetMGM)
Best Total Odds: 7.5 - Under -115 (DraftKings) / Over +102 (FanDuel)

Game Info

Date: 10/9/2024
Time: 5:08 PM EST
Location: Citi Field (Queens, New York)
TV: FS1

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

On the road, the Philadelphia Phillies have 41 wins and 41 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Philadelphia Phillies have 82 wins and 54 losses this season.
This season, the Philadelphia Phillies have hit 81 overs, 77 unders and pushed 7 times.

New York Mets Betting Trends

At home, the New York Mets have 47 wins and 35 losses this season.
As the favorite, the New York Mets have 42 wins and 34 losses this season.
This season, the New York Mets have hit 88 overs, 76 unders and pushed 4 times.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past month, the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets have faced off in ten games, with the Mets emerging victorious in six of those contests, while the Phillies claimed four wins. The home team has had a significant advantage, winning seven of the ten games, while the visiting team managed to secure only three victories. In terms of betting outcomes, the Mets have been more successful against the spread, covering in eight games compared to the Phillies' two. The games have predominantly been high-scoring affairs, with the total score going over the set line in eight instances, while only two games went under.

The most recent matchup between these two teams took place on October 8, 2024, with the New York Mets defeating the Philadelphia Phillies 7-2. The Mets, playing at home, were the favorites and successfully covered the spread. The game saw the Mets take an early lead with home runs from Pete Alonso and Jesse Winker, and they continued to build on their advantage with key hits from Starling Marte and José Iglesias. The Phillies managed to score two runs in the eighth inning, but the Mets responded with a run in the bottom of the eighth to seal the victory. The Mets recorded nine hits and seven runs, while the Phillies were limited to five hits and left 14 runners on base. The Mets' pitching staff recorded eight strikeouts, maintaining an earned run average of 2.00, while the Phillies' pitchers struck out 11 but allowed six earned runs.

As the Phillies and Mets prepare to face each other again on October 9, 2024, the recent history between these teams suggests a competitive matchup. The Mets have had the upper hand in recent games, particularly when playing at home, and have been more successful in covering the spread. The games have generally been high-scoring, with the over hitting in the majority of the contests. Both teams will be looking to capitalize on their strengths and address their weaknesses as they aim for a crucial victory in this ongoing series.

Philadelphia Phillies at. New York Mets Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets are set to clash in a pivotal Game 4 of the National League Division Series at Citi Field. The Mets, riding high after a commanding 7-2 victory in Game 3, have the opportunity to close out the series at home. Sean Manaea's stellar performance on the mound was a key factor in the Mets' recent success, as he held the Phillies to just one run over seven innings, showcasing his newfound postseason prowess. The Mets' offense was ignited by Pete Alonso and Jesse Winker, both of whom delivered crucial home runs to establish an early lead.

For the Phillies, the challenge is clear: they must find a way to overcome the Mets' momentum and force a decisive Game 5 back in Philadelphia. Despite their struggles in Game 3, the Phillies have shown resilience throughout the season, with key players like Bryce Harper and Nick Castellanos capable of turning the tide. Harper, a two-time MVP, has been a consistent postseason performer, and his ability to deliver in high-pressure situations will be crucial for the Phillies.

On the mound, the Phillies will turn to Ranger Suarez, who has been outstanding in recent postseasons with a 1.62 ERA over nine appearances. Suarez's ability to keep the Mets' potent lineup in check will be vital if the Phillies hope to extend their season. Meanwhile, the Mets will counter with Jose Quintana, who has yet to record a decision in his postseason career but has shown the ability to deliver strong performances when it matters most.

As the series unfolds, both teams will look to capitalize on their strengths. The Mets have been formidable at home, boasting a 47-35 record at Citi Field this season, and their recent success against the Phillies gives them a psychological edge. However, the Phillies have proven they can compete with the best, and their ability to bounce back from adversity will be tested once again. With both teams possessing explosive offenses and capable pitching staffs, fans can expect another thrilling chapter in this NLDS rivalry.

Philadelphia Phillies at. New York Mets Pick: Total Runs Over

As the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets prepare for Game 4 of the National League Division Series, the expectation for a high-scoring affair is well-founded. The recent matchups between these two teams have consistently demonstrated their offensive capabilities, with the total score going over the set line in eight of their last ten encounters. This trend is further supported by the explosive performances from key players on both sides.

The Mets' offense has been particularly potent, as evidenced by their 7-2 victory in Game 3, where they recorded nine hits and capitalized on home runs from Pete Alonso and Jesse Winker. Alonso, in particular, has been a force in the postseason, hitting three home runs in the last four games, all to the opposite field. His ability to deliver in clutch situations, combined with the Mets' overall offensive depth, suggests that they are well-equipped to continue their scoring spree.

On the other hand, the Phillies, despite their struggles in Game 3, have a lineup capable of producing runs in bunches. Bryce Harper and Nick Castellanos have been pivotal in the postseason, with Harper's postseason OPS of 1.024 highlighting his knack for performing under pressure. The Phillies' need to respond to the Mets' momentum will likely push them to be aggressive at the plate, further contributing to a high-scoring game.

Moreover, the pitching matchup between Ranger Suarez and Jose Quintana, while featuring two capable arms, also presents opportunities for both offenses. Suarez, despite his impressive postseason ERA, will face a Mets lineup that has been formidable at home. Meanwhile, Quintana, who has yet to record a postseason decision, will need to navigate a Phillies lineup eager to extend the series.

Given the recent history of high-scoring games between these teams and the offensive firepower on display, the over on the total runs is a compelling pick for Game 4. Both teams have shown the ability to score in bunches, and with the stakes high, expect another thrilling and high-scoring chapter in this NLDS rivalry.

Philadelphia Phillies at. New York Mets Top Player Prop Picks

Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Runs Scored +120 (BetMGM)

Pete Alonso has been a pivotal force for the New York Mets throughout the postseason, and his recent performances suggest that he is poised to continue his scoring streak. Alonso has been heating up at the plate, hitting three home runs in the last four playoff games, all to the opposite field. His ability to deliver in clutch situations was evident in Game 3, where he opened the scoring with a solo home run off Aaron Nola. Given his track record against the Phillies and his current form, Alonso is well-positioned to cross the plate at least once in Game 4. The Mets' potent lineup, combined with Alonso's knack for getting on base and scoring, makes the over on 0.5 runs scored a compelling pick.

Jose Quintana Under 4.5 Strikeouts -148 (bet365)

Jose Quintana takes the mound for the Mets in Game 4, and while he has shown the ability to deliver strong performances, the under on 4.5 strikeouts appears to be a prudent choice. Quintana has yet to record a decision in his postseason career, and his task will be challenging against a Phillies lineup eager to extend the series. The Phillies have demonstrated resilience and the ability to put the ball in play, as evidenced by their ability to score late in Game 3. With the Mets' bullpen relatively fresh and Quintana's role likely focused on limiting damage rather than racking up strikeouts, the under on 4.5 strikeouts is a solid pick.

Ranger Suarez Over 3.5 Strikeouts +120 (BetMGM)

Ranger Suarez has been a standout performer for the Phillies in recent postseasons, boasting a 1.62 ERA over nine appearances. His ability to keep hitters off balance and generate strikeouts will be crucial for the Phillies as they look to force a Game 5. Suarez's postseason experience and success suggest that he can surpass the 3.5 strikeout line, especially against a Mets lineup that, while potent, can be susceptible to strikeouts. With the Phillies' season on the line, Suarez is likely to be aggressive on the mound, making the over on 3.5 strikeouts an attractive proposition.