Philadelphia Phillies @ Milwaukee Brewers Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 9/3/2025 7:40 PM EDT

We have your Philadelphia Phillies @ Milwaukee Brewers prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Philadelphia Phillies hit the road to face the Milwaukee Brewers.

Philadelphia Phillies @ Milwaukee Brewers Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Milwaukee Brewers -115 at Caesars | Philadelphia Phillies +102 at BetRivers
Best Spread Odds: Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 (-185) at BetMGM | Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-210) at Caesars
Best Total Odds: Over 9.0 (-109) at BetRivers | Under 9.5 (-125) at ESPN BET

Game Info

Date: 2025-09-03
Time: 7:40 PM EDT
Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee
TV: -

Philadelphia Phillies @ Milwaukee Brewers Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies, holding an 80-58 record and leading the NL East, are looking to continue their strong form, having won 6 of their last 10 games. Their offense has been potent, boasting a .258 batting average (3rd in the league) and a .326 on-base percentage. Key offensive contributors include Kyle Schwarber with 49 home runs and Trea Turner batting .301. The Phillies' pitching staff has been a standout, leading the league with 74 quality starts. They will send right-hander Aaron Nola (3-7, 6.47 ERA) to the mound, who despite his season ERA, has a history of success against the Brewers.

The Milwaukee Brewers, with an impressive 85-54 record and leading the NL Central, aim to bounce back after losing their last two games and holding a 4-6 record in their last 10. Their offense is equally formidable, ranking second in batting average (.259) and on-base percentage (.331). The Brewers' pitching staff is strong overall, ranking 2nd in ERA at 3.65. Left-hander Jose Quintana (10-5, 3.69 ERA) will start for Milwaukee. Quintana has been a reliable arm for the Brewers this season, though he struggled in his last outing.

Injuries for the Brewers include Trevor Megill (15-Day-IL), Logan Henderson (60-Day-IL), Grant Anderson (15-Day-IL), DL Hall (15-Day-IL), Rhys Hoskins (10-Day-IL), Connor Thomas (60-Day-IL), Garrett Mitchell (60-Day-IL), Ramon Rodriguez (Day-To-Day), J.B. Bukauskas (Day-To-Day), Thomas Pannone (Day-To-Day), and Shelby Miller (Out). For the Phillies, Zack Wheeler (60-Day-IL) and Jordan Romano (15-Day-IL) are out, along with Carson Taylor (Day-To-Day) and Christian McGowan (Day-To-Day).

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

In 2025, the Milwaukee Brewers hold a 3-1 record against the Philadelphia Phillies. The Phillies recently secured a significant 10-8 comeback victory in the series opener on Monday, rallying from a 5-1 deficit. This win was particularly morale-boosting for Philadelphia, especially after being swept by the Brewers in May. Looking at individual pitcher performances in head-to-head matchups, Aaron Nola has a career record of 7-2 with a 2.64 ERA in 14 starts against the Brewers since 2016. Jose Quintana holds a 1-2 record with a 3.53 ERA in 13 career starts against the Phillies.

Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline

widget-odds-mlb-su-12209-PHI-MIL

The Milwaukee Brewers are projected to win this game by a 5-4 margin according to betting models, and they are favored on the moneyline at -115. The Brewers have a strong track record when playing as moneyline favorites, winning 64.9% of such games this season (50-27). While the Phillies secured a big win in the series opener, the Brewers' overall season performance and their strong pitching staff, which ranks 2nd in ERA, give them a slight edge. Sharp money also shows a slight lean towards the Brewers on the moneyline.

Top Player Prop Picks

Christian Yelich Over 0.5 Hits

Christian Yelich has a favorable historical matchup against Phillies starter Aaron Nola. In 40 career plate appearances against Nola, Yelich boasts a .282 batting average and a .462 slugging percentage, including one home run. Given his consistent performance against Nola, Yelich is well-positioned to record at least one hit in this contest. You can find odds for Yelich to get over 0.5 hits at -235.

Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Hits

Kyle Schwarber has demonstrated success against Brewers starter Jose Quintana throughout his career. In 30 plate appearances against Quintana, Schwarber holds a .276 batting average and a .414 slugging percentage, with one home run. As a key offensive force for the Phillies, Schwarber is a strong candidate to get a hit in this matchup. The odds for Schwarber to get over 0.5 hits are -195.

Nick Castellanos Over 0.5 Hits

Nick Castellanos has a solid history when facing Jose Quintana, recording a .246 batting average and a .404 slugging percentage in 61 career plate appearances, including two home runs. Castellanos is a consistent presence in the Phillies' lineup, and his past performance against Quintana suggests he has a good chance to register a hit in this game. You can bet on Castellanos to get over 0.5 hits at -215.