Philadelphia Phillies @ Cincinnati Reds Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 8/12/2025 6:40 PM EDT

We have your Philadelphia Phillies @ Cincinnati Reds prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Philadelphia Phillies hit the road to face the Cincinnati Reds.

Philadelphia Phillies @ Cincinnati Reds Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -145 (Caesars) / Cincinnati Reds +135 (ESPN BET)
Best Spread Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -1.0 -125 (BetRivers) / Cincinnati Reds +1.5 -124 (DraftKings)
Best Total Odds: Over 9.0 -120 (Caesars) / Under 9.5 -120 (ESPN BET)

Game Info

Date: 2025-08-12
Time: 6:40 PM EDT
Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, Ohio
TV: -

Philadelphia Phillies @ Cincinnati Reds Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies (69-49) arrive in Cincinnati on a hot streak, having won their last four games, including a 4-1 victory over the Reds on Monday. Their offense has been formidable this season, ranking 4th in batting average (.255) and 5th in on-base percentage (.325). Key contributors like Kyle Schwarber, who leads the team with 42 home runs (second in the league), Trea Turner, Bryce Harper, Nick Castellanos, and Bryson Stott have powered their lineup. On the mound, the Phillies will send Ranger Suárez (8-5, 2.94 ERA) to the hill. His team has performed well in his starts, going 9-6 against the spread and winning 61.5% of his starts when favored.

The Cincinnati Reds (62-58) are looking to rebound after their recent loss to the Phillies. Their form has been inconsistent lately, with a 5-5 record over their last ten games, averaging 3.3 runs per game while allowing 3.8 runs. The Reds' offense features dynamic players such as Elly De La Cruz (.275 AVG, 19 HR, 31 SB), TJ Friedl, and Matt McLain. Brady Singer (9-9, 4.53 ERA) is slated to start for the Reds. This will be Singer’s first career start against the Phillies, and he struggled in his last outing, giving up four earned runs in 3.2 innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates. It's worth noting that Reds infielder Gavin Lux is currently listed as out, as is pitcher Nick Lodolo. For the Phillies, Alec Bohm is out with a rib injury.

The game will be played at Great American Ball Park, which tends to be a batter-friendly venue, indicated by its Park Factor of 103 and a Home Run factor of 122 for 2023-2025.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Historically, the Cincinnati Reds hold a slight edge in head-to-head matchups against the Philadelphia Phillies, with 88 wins compared to the Phillies' 71. However, recent encounters have favored Philadelphia. The Phillies secured a 4-1 victory in their most recent clash on August 11, 2025. In a series earlier this season in July, the Phillies won two games (3-1, 5-1) and lost one (6-9). Looking back to April 2024, the Phillies won two games (5-0, 7-0) and lost two (4-7, 1-8) against the Reds.

From a pitching perspective, Philadelphia's Ranger Suárez has a strong track record against the Reds, boasting a 2-0 record with a 2.12 ERA in nine career appearances. Conversely, Cincinnati's Brady Singer has never defeated the Phillies, having given up five runs in his only previous start against them last August while with Kansas City.

Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline

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The Philadelphia Phillies are the clear pick in this matchup. They enter the game with significant momentum, having won their last four contests and displaying a consistently strong performance both offensively and defensively. Their lineup is potent, capable of putting up runs, and their starting pitcher, Ranger Suárez, has historically performed well against the Reds. Furthermore, sharp betting insights indicate a 57.79% sharp win percentage for the Phillies on the moneyline, and numberFire's prediction model gives them a 53.1% chance of winning. Given Brady Singer's struggles in his last outing and his lack of success against the Phillies in his only previous start, the Phillies are well-positioned to secure another victory on the road.

Top Player Prop Picks

TJ Friedl Over 0.5 Hits

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Cincinnati Reds outfielder TJ Friedl has been a consistent hitter, making the Over 0.5 Hits prop an attractive play. He has hit the over in 80% of his last 10 games, averaging 1.2 hits during that span. For the entire season, Friedl has hit the over on this line in 67.26% of his games, with a mean of 1.03 hits. More impressively, against the Philadelphia Phillies in 2025, he has hit the over in 75% of his appearances, averaging 1.0 hit. Playing at home, he maintains a 66.67% hit rate on the over. Given his strong recent form and success against this specific opponent, Friedl is poised to get at least one hit.
Best Over Odds: -175 (BetMGM)

Miguel Andujar Over 0.5 Hits

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Another strong hitting prop comes from Cincinnati Reds infielder Miguel Andujar. He has demonstrated excellent form, hitting the over on 0.5 hits in 70% of his last 10 games, averaging 1.1 hits. His season-long hit rate for this prop stands at 70.59%, with a mean of 1.06 hits. What truly stands out is his performance against the Philadelphia Phillies in 2025, where he has hit the over in 100% of his games, averaging an impressive 1.5 hits. When playing at home, Andujar has hit the over in 74.19% of his games. His consistent hitting, especially against the Phillies, makes this a compelling pick.
Best Over Odds: -240 (Fanduel)

Ranger Suárez Over 5.5 Pitcher Strikeouts

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Philadelphia Phillies pitcher Ranger Suárez presents a favorable opportunity for the Over 5.5 Pitcher Strikeouts prop. Over his last 10 starts, Suárez has hit the over in 60% of his outings, averaging 6.0 strikeouts per game. His season average for strikeouts is 5.76, with a 58.82% hit rate on the over. Notably, in his only appearance against the Cincinnati Reds in 2025, he recorded 6 strikeouts, hitting the over on this line. When pitching on the road, Suárez has been particularly effective, hitting the over in 62.5% of his starts in 2025, averaging 6.5 strikeouts. Given his recent performance and historical success against the Reds, Suárez is well-positioned to exceed this strikeout total.
Best Over Odds: +124 (Fanduel)

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