New England Patriots at New York Jets Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 9/19/2024 8:15 PM EST

We have your New England Patriots at New York Jets prop betting and game preview needs covered as the New England Patriots hit the road to face the New York Jets.

New England Patriots at New York Jets Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: New England Patriots +235 (DraftKings) / NY Jets -275 (BetMGM)
Best Spread Odds: -7.0 - New England Patriots -120 (Caesars) / -6.5 - New York Jets -105 (FanDuel)
Best Total Odds: 37.5 - Under -110 (bet365) / Over -110 (bet365)

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Free Pick for New Customers: Aaron Rodgers Total Yards > 0.5

Game Info

Date: 9/19/2024
Time: 8:15 PM EST
Location: MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford, NJ)
TV: Prime Video

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past three seasons, the New England Patriots and the New York Jets have faced off four times, with the Patriots emerging victorious in three of those encounters. The games have shown a trend where the visiting team has won three times, while the home team has only secured a single victory. In terms of betting outcomes, the Patriots have covered the spread in three games, while the Jets have managed to do so just once. Notably, all four games have gone under the total points line, indicating a pattern of lower-scoring contests between these two teams. The Patriots have generally been the favorites in these matchups, as indicated by the moneyline odds, and they have lived up to that status in most instances.

The most recent game between these two teams took place on January 7, 2024, where the New York Jets defeated the New England Patriots with a final score of 17-3. The Jets, playing as the visiting team, were slight favorites with a closing spread of -2.0 and successfully covered the spread with a 14-point victory. The game was characterized by strong defensive performances, particularly from the Jets, who recorded seven sacks and two interceptions. The Jets' offense was led by a dominant rushing attack, accumulating 185 yards on the ground, while their passing game was limited to just 70 yards. The Patriots struggled offensively, managing only 119 total yards and failing to score a touchdown. The game remained under the closing over-under line of 28.5, consistent with the trend in their recent matchups.

In the context of these past encounters, the upcoming game on September 19, 2024, will be an opportunity for the Jets to build on their recent success against the Patriots. Historically, the Patriots have had the upper hand, but the Jets' recent victory could signal a shift in momentum. Both teams have shown a tendency for low-scoring games, and the defensive prowess displayed in previous matchups suggests that the upcoming game might follow a similar pattern. As the teams prepare to face each other again, the historical data provides a foundation for understanding the dynamics at play, with the Jets looking to even the series and the Patriots aiming to reassert their dominance.

New England Patriots at New York Jets Preview

The New England Patriots and New York Jets are set to clash in a pivotal Week 3 matchup at MetLife Stadium, with both teams entering the contest with 1-1 records. The Patriots, under the guidance of first-year head coach Jerod Mayo, are coming off a narrow 23-20 overtime loss to the Seattle Seahawks. Despite their strong defensive showing in Week 1 against the Cincinnati Bengals, the Patriots struggled to contain the Seahawks' passing attack, allowing 282 yards through the air. The Patriots' defense, however, remains a formidable unit, having forced multiple turnovers in their opening games.

Offensively, the Patriots have shown prowess in the running game, averaging over 175 yards per game on the ground. However, their passing game has been a point of concern, with quarterback Jacoby Brissett managing only 149 yards against the Seahawks. The receiving corps has been underwhelming, with wide receivers contributing just 19 yards in their last outing. Tight end Hunter Henry has been a bright spot, recording 109 yards against Seattle, but the Patriots will need more from their wideouts to challenge the Jets' defense.

The Jets, led by veteran quarterback Aaron Rodgers, rebounded from a Week 1 loss to the San Francisco 49ers with a 24-17 victory over the Tennessee Titans. Rodgers, despite facing pressure, delivered two touchdown passes and leaned heavily on rookie running back Braelon Allen, who scored twice, including the game-winner. The Jets' offensive line showed significant improvement, allowing just one quarterback pressure against the Titans, a stark contrast to their struggles in the opener.

Defensively, the Jets have been dealing with injuries, notably to linebacker C.J. Mosley and edge rusher Jermaine Johnson, whose status remains uncertain. The Jets' defense, which allowed 180 rushing yards to the 49ers, will need to tighten up against the Patriots' potent ground attack. The matchup will also be a test for the Jets' secondary, which will look to capitalize on the Patriots' passing woes.

As both teams prepare for this Thursday night showdown, the game promises to be a battle of strategic adjustments. The Patriots will aim to balance their offensive attack, while the Jets will look to build on their recent success and exploit any defensive lapses. With both teams eager to gain momentum early in the season, this AFC East rivalry is set to deliver an intriguing contest under the primetime lights.

New England Patriots at New York Jets Pick: Total Points Over

As the New England Patriots prepare to face the New York Jets, the potential for a high-scoring affair is evident, making the over on the total points line an enticing pick. Both teams have shown vulnerabilities and strengths that suggest a game with more points than the recent history between these two might indicate.

The Patriots, despite their struggles in the passing game, have demonstrated a potent rushing attack, averaging over 175 yards per game on the ground. This ability to move the ball effectively on the ground could open up opportunities for quarterback Jacoby Brissett to exploit the Jets' secondary, especially if the Patriots can establish the run early and force the Jets to adjust defensively. Tight end Hunter Henry has been a reliable target, and if the Patriots can get more production from their wide receivers, they could find success against a Jets defense that has shown some susceptibility, particularly in their Week 1 loss to the 49ers where they allowed 32 points.

On the other side, the Jets, led by Aaron Rodgers, have the firepower to put up points. Rodgers' ability to make big plays, combined with the emergence of rookie running back Braelon Allen, who scored twice against the Titans, provides the Jets with a balanced offensive attack. The Jets' offensive line showed significant improvement in their last outing, allowing Rodgers the time to make plays downfield. This improvement is crucial as it allows the Jets to capitalize on the Patriots' defensive lapses, particularly if the Patriots focus heavily on stopping the run.

Defensively, both teams have shown they can be scored upon. The Patriots allowed 23 points to the Seahawks, and the Jets have been dealing with injuries to key defensive players like C.J. Mosley and Jermaine Johnson, which could impact their ability to contain the Patriots' offense. The Jets' defense, which allowed 180 rushing yards to the 49ers, will need to tighten up, but their recent performance against the Titans suggests they can be vulnerable.

Given these factors, the potential for both teams to exploit each other's defensive weaknesses is high. The Patriots' need to improve their passing game and the Jets' offensive capabilities with Rodgers at the helm suggest that this matchup could see more points than the recent low-scoring trends between these teams. Therefore, taking the over on the total points line is a strategic choice for this Thursday night showdown.

New England Patriots at New York Jets Top Player Prop Picks

Aaron Rodgers Over 211.5 Passing Yards -110 (bet365)

Aaron Rodgers has shown resilience and adaptability in his early games with the New York Jets, and his performance against the Tennessee Titans in Week 2 is a testament to his ability to lead the offense effectively. Despite facing pressure, Rodgers managed to throw for 176 yards and two touchdowns, demonstrating his capability to exploit defensive weaknesses. The Patriots' defense, while formidable, allowed 282 passing yards to the Seattle Seahawks, indicating potential vulnerabilities that Rodgers can capitalize on. With the Jets' offensive line showing significant improvement, allowing just one quarterback pressure against the Titans, Rodgers should have the time and space to surpass the 211.5 passing yards mark, especially with the support of a balanced offensive attack featuring rookie running back Braelon Allen.

Hunter Henry Over 32.5 Receiving Yards -110 (bet365)

Hunter Henry has emerged as a key target in the Patriots' passing game, particularly in their recent matchup against the Seahawks, where he recorded 109 receiving yards. With the Patriots' wide receivers struggling to make an impact, Henry's role as a reliable option for Jacoby Brissett becomes even more crucial. The Jets' defense, which has been dealing with injuries to key players like C.J. Mosley, may find it challenging to contain Henry, especially if the Patriots can establish their running game and open up opportunities for play-action passes. Given Henry's recent performance and the Patriots' need to diversify their offensive attack, betting on him to exceed 32.5 receiving yards is a strategic choice.

Breece Hall Over 68.5 Rushing Yards -110 (bet365)

Breece Hall has been a standout performer for the Jets, showcasing his versatility and explosiveness in the backfield. In the Jets' victory over the Titans, Hall accumulated 114 yards from scrimmage, including a pivotal 30-yard run that set the tone for the second half. The Patriots' defense, while strong, allowed 185 rushing yards to the Seahawks, indicating potential gaps that Hall can exploit. With the Jets' offensive line providing better protection and creating running lanes, Hall is well-positioned to surpass the 68.5 rushing yards line. His ability to break big plays and contribute significantly to the Jets' ground game makes this prop a compelling pick for the upcoming matchup.