Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 9/10/2024 7:10 PM EST

We have your Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Baltimore Orioles hit the road to face the Boston Red Sox.

Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Baltimore Orioles -105 (Caesars) / Boston Red Sox -115 (Caesars)
Best Spread Odds: 1.5 - Baltimore Orioles +154 (DraftKings) / Boston Red Sox -182 (BetRivers)
Best Total Odds: 9.5 - Under -115 (FanDuel) / Over -105 (FanDuel)

Game Info

Date: 9/10/2024
Time: 7:10 PM EST
Location: Fenway Park (Boston, Massachusetts)
TV: TBS

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past month, the Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox have faced off in four games, with each team securing two victories. The games were evenly split between home and away wins, with the visiting team winning twice and the home team also winning twice. In terms of betting outcomes, both teams have covered the spread in two games each. The games have predominantly leaned towards the under, with three of the four matchups falling below the set over-under line, while only one game exceeded it. Across these contests, the Orioles have shown a slight edge in terms of run production, but the Red Sox have been competitive, particularly in games where they were able to capitalize on scoring opportunities.

The most recent game between these two teams took place on August 18, 2024, where the Baltimore Orioles emerged victorious with a 4-2 win over the Boston Red Sox. The Orioles were the home team and the favorites, with a moneyline of -145. The game saw the Orioles take a commanding lead in the middle innings, starting with a home run by Adley Rutschman in the 5th inning. They extended their lead in the 6th inning with a combination of a throwing error and a home run by Gunnar Henderson. The Red Sox attempted a late comeback with runs in the 8th and 9th innings, but it was not enough to overcome the deficit. The game ended with the total score falling under the set over-under line of 9.0.

In this matchup, the Orioles' pitching was a key factor, allowing only two earned runs over nine innings, despite the Red Sox managing 11 hits. The Red Sox struggled to convert their hits into runs, leaving a significant number of runners on base. The Orioles, on the other hand, were efficient with their opportunities, scoring four runs on just three hits. This game highlighted the Orioles' ability to capitalize on key moments and maintain a strong defensive performance, which ultimately secured their victory. As both teams prepare to face each other again, these past performances provide a foundation for understanding their strategies and potential outcomes in the upcoming game.

Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox Preview

As the Baltimore Orioles prepare to face the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park, both teams find themselves in pivotal positions within the American League standings. The Orioles, currently holding an 82-63 record, are in a tight race for the AL East title, trailing the New York Yankees by 1.5 games. Despite their recent struggles, including a three-game losing streak and a lackluster offensive performance, the Orioles remain a formidable opponent. Their lineup, featuring power hitters like Anthony Santander, who recently hit his 40th home run of the season, and Gunnar Henderson, continues to pose a significant threat. However, the Orioles have been plagued by inconsistency, particularly with runners in scoring position, as evidenced by their recent 3-for-31 performance in such situations over the past five games.

On the mound, the Orioles will rely on Albert Suarez, who has been a steady presence with a 3.49 ERA. Suarez's ability to keep the game under control will be crucial, especially against a Red Sox lineup that boasts the second-best batting average in the AL. The Orioles' bullpen, which has shown strength in metrics like FIP and xFIP, will also play a key role in maintaining any lead they might secure.

The Red Sox, with a 73-71 record, are looking to capitalize on their recent offensive surge, highlighted by Rob Refsnyder's four-hit performance in their last outing. Boston's lineup, featuring power hitters like Tyler O'Neill, who has 29 home runs this season, will aim to exploit any weaknesses in the Orioles' pitching. Kutter Crawford, with a 4.08 ERA, will take the mound for Boston, hoping to contain the Orioles' potent offense. Despite their recent struggles, the Red Sox have shown resilience, particularly at home, and will look to leverage their home-field advantage.

Both teams have demonstrated the ability to score runs in bunches, and with the Orioles' need to keep pace in the division race, this matchup promises to be a high-stakes affair. As the Orioles and Red Sox clash, the game could very well turn into an offensive showcase, with both teams eager to assert their dominance and secure a crucial victory.

Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox Pick: Total Runs Over

As the Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox prepare to face off at Fenway Park, the potential for a high-scoring affair is evident. Both teams have demonstrated offensive prowess, and recent performances suggest that the total runs could easily surpass the set over-under line. The Orioles, despite their recent struggles, boast a lineup filled with power hitters like Anthony Santander, who has already hit 40 home runs this season, and Gunnar Henderson, who has contributed significantly with 36 home runs. This offensive capability is further supported by their top-eight ranking in runs scored per game, hits per game, and home runs, indicating their potential to put up runs in bunches.

On the other side, the Red Sox have shown they can match the Orioles' offensive firepower. With a lineup that includes Tyler O'Neill, who has 29 home runs, and Rob Refsnyder, who recently delivered a four-hit performance, Boston's offense is more than capable of exploiting any lapses in Baltimore's pitching. The Red Sox's second-ranked team batting average in the AL further underscores their ability to generate runs consistently.

Pitching matchups also suggest a tilt towards the over. Baltimore's Albert Suarez, while steady, will face a formidable Red Sox lineup that can capitalize on any mistakes. Meanwhile, Boston's Kutter Crawford, with a 4.08 ERA, will have the challenging task of containing the Orioles' potent offense. Given the recent trends, where both teams have shown the ability to score runs and the Orioles' bullpen has struggled to maintain leads, the conditions are ripe for a high-scoring game.

Considering these factors, the over on the total runs line appears to be a strong play. Both teams are eager to assert their dominance in this crucial matchup, and with their offensive capabilities, the game is poised to exceed the expected run total.

Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox Top Player Prop Picks

Anthony Santander Over 1.5 Total Bases +120 (BetMGM)

Anthony Santander has been a standout performer for the Orioles, recently hitting his 40th home run of the season. His power at the plate is undeniable, and with the Orioles' offense needing a spark, Santander is likely to be a key contributor. The Red Sox's starting pitcher, Kutter Crawford, has a 4.08 ERA, which suggests that Santander will have opportunities to capitalize on any mistakes. Given Santander's recent form and the Orioles' need for offensive production, betting on him to exceed 1.5 total bases offers value, especially at +120 odds.

Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Singles -115 (DraftKings)

Gunnar Henderson has been a crucial part of the Orioles' lineup, contributing significantly with 36 home runs this season. While his power is evident, his ability to get on base with singles is also noteworthy. Facing Kutter Crawford, who has shown vulnerability, Henderson is well-positioned to find success at the plate. The Orioles' lineup has been struggling with runners in scoring position, and Henderson's ability to get on base could be pivotal in turning those struggles around. With the odds set at -115, this prop bet presents a solid opportunity.

Rob Refsnyder Over 0.5 Runs Scored +110 (DraftKings)

Rob Refsnyder is coming off a remarkable four-hit performance, showcasing his ability to be a catalyst for the Red Sox offense. With Boston's lineup featuring power hitters like Tyler O'Neill, Refsnyder is likely to find himself in scoring positions frequently. The Orioles' pitching staff, while steady, has shown signs of inconsistency, particularly in the bullpen. Refsnyder's recent form and the Red Sox's offensive potential make the over on 0.5 runs scored an attractive proposition at +110 odds. His ability to get on base and the strength of the lineup behind him suggest that he will have ample opportunities to cross the plate.