Oklahoma City Thunder @ Minnesota Timberwolves Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 2/23/2025 9:30 PM EST

We have your Oklahoma City Thunder @ Minnesota Timberwolves prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Minnesota Timberwolves host the Western Conference-leading Oklahoma City Thunder at the Target Center.

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Minnesota Timberwolves Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Oklahoma City Thunder -375 (DraftKings), Minnesota Timberwolves +330 (BetRivers).
Best Spread Odds: Thunder -9.5 -105 (ESPN BET), Timberwolves +9.5 -105 (Caesars).
Best Total Odds: Over 228.5 -108 (BetRivers), Under 228.5 -105 (BetMGM).

Game Info

Date: February 23, 2025
Time: 9:30 PM EST
Location: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
TV: ESPN, FDSN, FDSOK

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Minnesota Timberwolves Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder (45-10) are having a stellar season, sitting atop the Western Conference. Led by MVP candidate Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who is averaging 32.2 points per game, the Thunder boast the league's best defense, allowing just 104.9 points per game. They are coming off a dominant 130-107 win over the Utah Jazz and have won eight of their last nine games. Chet Holmgren's return from injury has bolstered their lineup, providing a strong interior presence alongside Isaiah Hartenstein.

The Minnesota Timberwolves (31-26) are currently seventh in the Western Conference and have struggled with consistency. They recently lost to the Houston Rockets 121-115 and are dealing with injuries to key players, including Rudy Gobert, Julius Randle, and Donte DiVincenzo. Anthony Edwards, averaging 27.6 points per game, will need to carry the offensive load for the Timberwolves. Despite their challenges, Minnesota's defense ranks fifth in the league, allowing 108.3 points per game, and they will look to leverage their home-court advantage to slow down the Thunder.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

In their last 10 meetings, the Thunder and Timberwolves have split victories evenly, with each team winning five games. The most recent matchup on February 13, 2025, saw the Timberwolves secure a 116-101 victory at home. Earlier this season, on December 31, 2024, the Thunder defeated the Timberwolves 113-105 on their home court. Over the last five head-to-head games, the Thunder have averaged 109 points per game, while the Timberwolves have averaged 106 points. The combined average points per game in these matchups is 215, with the under hitting in three of the last five games.

Pick: Under 229 Total Points

Both teams are among the league's best defensively, with the Thunder ranking first and the Timberwolves fifth in points allowed per game. Additionally, Minnesota plays at a slower pace, which could dictate the tempo of the game. With key injuries on the Timberwolves' side and the Thunder's strong defensive presence, this game is likely to stay under the total of 229 points.

Top Player Prop Picks

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 31.5 Points

Gilgeous-Alexander leads the league in scoring and has been in excellent form. With the Timberwolves missing key defensive players, he is poised for another big game.

Chet Holmgren Over 7.5 Rebounds

Holmgren has been a force on the boards since his return from injury. With Rudy Gobert potentially out, Holmgren should dominate the glass against a smaller Timberwolves lineup.

Naz Reid Over 7.5 Rebounds

Reid has stepped up in Gobert's absence, averaging 10 rebounds per game over his last seven outings. The Thunder allow the fourth-most rebounds per game, making this a favorable matchup for Reid.