North Texas Mean Green at UTSA Roadrunners Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 11/15/2024 8:00 PM EST

We have your North Texas Mean Green at UTSA Roadrunners prop betting and game preview needs covered as the North Texas Mean Green hit the road to face the UTSA Roadrunners.

North Texas Mean Green at UTSA Roadrunners Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: North Texas Mean Green -118 (DraftKings) / UTSA Roadrunners -102 (DraftKings)
Best Spread Odds: 1.5 - North Texas Mean Green -109 (BetRivers) / UTSA Roadrunners -110 (bet365)
Best Total Odds: 72.5 - Under -112 (BetRivers) / Over -109 (BetRivers)

Game Info

Date: 11/15/2024
Time: 8:00 PM EST
Location: Alamodome (San Antonio, TX)
TV: ESPN2

North Texas Mean Green at UTSA Roadrunners Preview

The North Texas Mean Green are set to face off against the UTSA Roadrunners in a pivotal American Athletic Conference clash at the Alamodome in San Antonio. Both teams are vying for bowl eligibility, adding an extra layer of intensity to this matchup. North Texas, with a record of 5-4 overall and 2-3 in the AAC, is coming off a tough 14-3 loss to Army. The Mean Green's offense struggled in that game, with quarterback Chandler Morris throwing for 214 yards but failing to find the end zone and tossing two interceptions. The ground game also faced challenges, as Shane Porter managed only 33 yards on six carries.

On the other side, the UTSA Roadrunners, standing at 4-5 overall and 2-3 in conference play, are riding the momentum of a thrilling 44-36 victory over Memphis. Quarterback Owen McCown was instrumental in that win, delivering a stellar performance with 280 passing yards and four touchdowns, while avoiding any interceptions. His connection with receiver Chris Carpenter, who amassed 108 yards on four receptions, was particularly noteworthy.

Historically, UTSA has had the upper hand in this rivalry, winning the last three encounters. However, North Texas enters this game as slight favorites, with a spread of 1.5 points in their favor. The over-under for total points is set at a high 72.5, reflecting the potential for an offensive showcase. Yet, given North Texas's recent offensive struggles and UTSA's ability to capitalize on defensive opportunities, this game could unfold differently than expected. As both teams aim to secure a crucial win, the Alamodome is set to host a contest that promises to be as strategic as it is competitive.

North Texas Mean Green at UTSA Roadrunners Pick: Total Points Under

As the North Texas Mean Green prepare to face the UTSA Roadrunners, the betting line has set the over-under at a lofty 72.5 points. However, a closer examination of recent performances and trends suggests that the total points may fall under this mark. North Texas is coming off a game where their offense struggled significantly, managing only three points against Army. Quarterback Chandler Morris threw for 214 yards but was unable to find the end zone and was intercepted twice. The ground game was equally stifled, with Shane Porter rushing for a mere 33 yards on six carries. This lack of offensive production raises questions about their ability to contribute to a high-scoring affair.

On the other hand, while UTSA's offense showed promise in their recent 44-36 victory over Memphis, it's important to note that North Texas's defense has the potential to capitalize on UTSA's mistakes. Historically, the Mean Green have been able to keep games competitive, and their defensive unit will be crucial in limiting the Roadrunners' scoring opportunities. Additionally, the model simulations lean towards the total going under, reinforcing the notion that this matchup might not reach the expected offensive heights.

Given these factors, the combination of North Texas's recent offensive struggles and the potential for a strategic defensive battle suggests that the total points will likely fall under the projected 72.5. As both teams vie for bowl eligibility, expect a tightly contested game where defenses play a pivotal role in determining the outcome.

North Texas Mean Green at UTSA Roadrunners Top Player Prop Picks

Owen McCown Over 2.5 Passing Tds -120 (bet365)

Owen McCown has been a standout performer for the UTSA Roadrunners, particularly in their recent victory over Memphis where he threw for four touchdowns without any interceptions. This performance highlights his ability to find the end zone and manage the game effectively. Given North Texas's recent struggles on defense, as evidenced by their inability to contain Army's offense, McCown is well-positioned to exceed the 2.5 passing touchdowns line. The odds of -120 at bet365 reflect a favorable opportunity for McCown to continue his impressive form and lead the Roadrunners' offensive charge.

Chandler Morris Under 344.5 Passing Yards -114 (FanDuel)

Chandler Morris has faced challenges in recent games, particularly in North Texas's loss to Army where he managed only 214 passing yards and failed to throw a touchdown. This performance underscores the difficulties he has encountered in moving the ball effectively through the air. With UTSA's defense likely to capitalize on these struggles, Morris is expected to fall short of the 344.5 passing yards line. The odds of -114 at FanDuel suggest a strong likelihood that Morris will continue to face hurdles in reaching this high yardage mark, making the under a compelling choice.

Chris Carpenter Over 81.5 Receiving Yards -114 (FanDuel)

Chris Carpenter has emerged as a key target for Owen McCown, as demonstrated by his 108 receiving yards on four catches against Memphis. His ability to create separation and make significant plays downfield makes him a crucial component of UTSA's passing attack. With North Texas's defense showing vulnerabilities, Carpenter is poised to surpass the 81.5 receiving yards line. The odds of -114 at FanDuel reflect the potential for Carpenter to continue his productive partnership with McCown and exploit the Mean Green's defensive lapses, making the over a strong proposition.