New York Mets @ Washington Nationals Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 8/19/2025 6:45 PM EDT

We have your New York Mets @ Washington Nationals prop betting and game preview needs covered as the New York Mets hit the road to face the Washington Nationals.

New York Mets @ Washington Nationals Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: New York Mets -200 at ESPN BET | Washington Nationals +172 at Fanduel
Best Spread Odds: New York Mets -1.5 (-120) at ESPN BET | Washington Nationals +2.0 (-124) at BetRivers
Best Total Odds: Over 9.0 (-110) at Fanduel | Under 9.5 (-125) at ESPN BET

Game Info

Date: 2025-08-19
Time: 6:45 PM EDT
Location: Nationals Park, Washington, DC
TV: SNY

New York Mets @ Washington Nationals Preview

The New York Mets (66-58) travel to Nationals Park to face the Washington Nationals (50-74) in an NL East division matchup. The Mets are looking to build on a recent two-game winning streak, though they are 3-7 in their last ten outings. The Nationals, sitting fifth in the division, have split their last ten games and are aiming to bounce back from a recent loss.

On the mound for the Mets will be David Peterson, who holds a 7-5 record with a 3.30 ERA this season. Peterson has been effective, particularly in limiting early offense, allowing an OPS of just .553 when facing the lineup for the first time this season, which ranks 6th best among qualified starting pitchers. He also boasts a high groundball rate of 56%, ranking 6th in MLB. The Mets' offense has been solid, ranking 8th in home runs (160) and 7th in on-base percentage (.320) this season, with a .764 OPS against right-handed pitchers (5th best in MLB).

The Washington Nationals will counter with Jake Irvin, who comes into the game with an 8-7 record and a 5.14 ERA. Irvin has struggled recently, allowing 23 hits and 14 earned runs in his last 13.1 innings. Nationals pitchers collectively have the second-highest ERA in MLB at 5.32 and have allowed the highest runs per game in late innings (1.94). While the Nationals' offense has shown flashes, ranking 12th in batting average (.244) and 6th in stolen bases (106), their pitching staff's struggles could be a significant factor in this contest.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

When these two teams meet, certain players and pitchers have established clear trends. Mets pitcher David Peterson has historically dominated the Nationals, holding a career record of 6-1 with a stellar 2.64 ERA and 42 strikeouts in his appearances against them. This includes a complete game shutout earlier in the season where he outdueled Jake Irvin.

Conversely, Nationals pitcher Jake Irvin has found less success against the Mets, with a career record of 1-3 and a 4.23 ERA in his matchups. His struggles against New York are further highlighted by his performance in their last encounter, where he took the loss after allowing four runs in six innings.

From a batting perspective, several key players have performed well in this rivalry in 2025:

New York Mets outfielder Juan Soto has been particularly effective against the Nationals this season, hitting over his prop line for hits in 85.71% of his matchups (6 hits in 7 plate appearances), averaging 1.57 hits per game.
Mets first baseman Pete Alonso has also shown strong form against Washington in 2025, hitting over his prop line for hits in 71.43% of his games (5 hits in 7 plate appearances).
For the Nationals, CJ Abrams has been a consistent threat against the Mets in 2025, hitting over his prop line for hits in 85.71% of his games (6 hits in 7 plate appearances), averaging 1.29 hits per game.

On the other hand, some players have struggled to produce power numbers in this head-to-head series. Mets players Luis Torrens and Ronny Mauricio have yet to hit a home run against the Nationals in their 2025 matchups. Similarly, Nationals players Daylen Lile, Brady House, Jacob Young, and Robert Hassell III have not recorded a home run against the Mets in their 2025 encounters. Jacob Young and Robert Hassell III also have 0 RBIs against the Mets in 2025.

Pick: New York Mets Moneyline

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The New York Mets are the clear favorite in this matchup, and the data strongly supports a moneyline play. The Mets are projected to win with 63.4% confidence, and sharp money is heavily backing them with a 64.51% visitor sharp win percentage. David Peterson's dominant career record against the Nationals (6-1, 2.64 ERA) combined with Jake Irvin's recent struggles and overall higher ERA (5.14) creates a significant pitching advantage for New York. Furthermore, the Nationals' pitching staff has the second-highest ERA in MLB, making them vulnerable to the Mets' potent offense, which ranks among the league's best in OBP and home runs. While the Nationals have shown some offensive spark, their bullpen's tendency to allow runs late in games (1.94 runs per game in late innings, highest in MLB) could prove costly against a Mets team that is 19-9 (.679) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season.

Top Player Prop Picks

Juan Soto (New York Mets) Over 0.5 Hits

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Juan Soto has been a consistent hitter for the New York Mets, and his recent form suggests he's poised for another strong performance. He has hit the over on 0.5 hits in 80% of his last 5 games and 90% of his last 10 games. More impressively, against the Washington Nationals in 2025, Soto has hit over this line in 85.71% of his appearances, averaging 1.57 hits per game. Given his strong historical performance against this opponent and his current hitting trends, taking the over on his hits prop is a compelling play.
Best Odds: Over 0.5 Hits (-245) at BetRivers

Paul DeJong (Washington Nationals) Over 0.5 Bases

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Paul DeJong has been on a hot streak, hitting the over on his bases prop in 100% of his last 5 games and 80% of his last 10 games. His average bases over the last 5 games is 3.0, and 2.7 over the last 10 games, significantly higher than the 0.5 line. While his season hit rate for this prop is 63.89%, his recent surge in performance makes the over a strong consideration, especially playing at home where he averages 1.79 bases per game this season.
Best Odds: Over 0.5 Bases (-170) at Caesars

David Peterson (New York Mets) Over 1.5 Walks Allowed

Mets pitcher David Peterson has shown a tendency to issue walks, hitting the over on 1.5 walks allowed in 80% of his last 5 games and 80% of his last 10 games. His average walks allowed in his last 5 starts is 2.6, and 2.5 in his last 10 starts, both well above the 1.5 line. For the season, he has hit the over on this prop in 65.22% of his starts. When pitching on the road, Peterson has an 80% hit rate on this prop in 2025, averaging 2.5 walks per game. This trend suggests he is likely to exceed 1.5 walks allowed in this outing.
Best Odds: Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (-135) at DraftKings

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