New Mexico State Aggies at Texas A&M Aggies Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 11/16/2024 7:45 PM EST

We have your New Mexico State Aggies at Texas A&M Aggies prop betting and game preview needs covered as the New Mexico State Aggies hit the road to face the Texas A&M Aggies.

New Mexico State Aggies at Texas A&M Aggies Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: New Mexico State Aggies +2500 (ESPN BET) / Texas A&M Aggies -10000 (ESPN BET)
Best Spread Odds: -39.5 - New Mexico State Aggies -110 (FanDuel) / -39.0 - Texas A&M Aggies -110 (ESPN BET)
Best Total Odds: 54.5 - Under -110 (bet365) / 54.0 - Over -110 (DraftKings)

Game Info

Date: 11/16/2024
Time: 7:45 PM EST
Location: Kyle Field (College Station, TX)
TV: SEC Network

New Mexico State Aggies at Texas A&M Aggies Preview

The Texas A&M Aggies, ranked 15th in the nation, are set to host the New Mexico State Aggies in a matchup that appears heavily tilted in favor of the home team. Texas A&M enters the game with a 7-2 overall record and a 5-1 mark in SEC play, maintaining their aspirations for a spot in the SEC Championship Game and potentially the College Football Playoff. Meanwhile, New Mexico State has struggled this season, holding a 2-7 record and sitting at the bottom of Conference USA standings.

Texas A&M's offense has been a force, particularly on the ground, where they rank 15th nationally in rushing yards per game. Despite the loss of star running back Le'Veon Moss to a season-ending knee injury, the Aggies have relied on junior Amari Daniels and senior EJ Smith to fill the void. Quarterback Marcel Reed, known for his dual-threat capabilities, has also been a significant contributor, especially with his legs, as he has rushed for 334 yards and five touchdowns this season.

On the other side, New Mexico State has faced challenges on both sides of the ball. Their offense has struggled, particularly in the passing game, with quarterbacks Parker Awad and Santino Marucci combining for a completion rate below 50% and a total of seven touchdown passes against eight interceptions. The team's strength lies in their running game, led by Seth McGowan and Mike Washington, who have been effective but not enough to compensate for their passing woes.

Defensively, New Mexico State has been porous, allowing 37.1 points per game, which ranks among the worst in the nation. Their rush defense, in particular, has been a weak point, giving up over 200 yards per game. This vulnerability could be exploited by Texas A&M's potent rushing attack, even without Moss.

Historically, Texas A&M has dominated the limited encounters between these two programs, winning their only previous meeting decisively. With the Aggies playing at home and motivated by their postseason aspirations, they are expected to continue their dominance against a struggling New Mexico State team.

New Mexico State Aggies at Texas A&M Aggies Pick: New Mexico State Aggies Against the Spread

In this matchup, the New Mexico State Aggies are significant underdogs, with a spread of +39.5 points. While Texas A&M is clearly the stronger team, ranked 15th nationally and boasting a 7-2 record, there are several factors that suggest New Mexico State could cover this large spread. Despite their struggles this season, New Mexico State has shown some resilience in their running game, with Seth McGowan and Mike Washington both averaging over 4.4 yards per carry. This could help them control the clock and limit the possessions for Texas A&M, potentially keeping the score closer than expected.

Moreover, Texas A&M is dealing with the absence of their star running back Le'Veon Moss, which could impact their offensive rhythm. Although Amari Daniels and EJ Smith have stepped up, the Aggies' offense might not be firing on all cylinders, especially if New Mexico State can exploit any vulnerabilities in Texas A&M's offensive line, which has been affected by injuries, including the uncertain status of starting left guard Chase Bisontis.

Defensively, while New Mexico State has been porous, allowing 37.1 points per game, they might find some success against a Texas A&M team that is adjusting to life without Moss. Additionally, Texas A&M's focus might be slightly divided, as they have crucial SEC matchups against Auburn and Texas looming, which could lead to a less-than-dominant performance against a non-conference opponent.

Given these dynamics, New Mexico State has a reasonable chance to cover the +39.5 spread, even if they are unlikely to win outright. The Aggies from New Mexico State will be motivated to put up a fight and avoid a blowout, making this a potentially closer game than the odds suggest.

New Mexico State Aggies at Texas A&M Aggies Top Player Prop Picks

Marcel Reed Over 50.5 Rushing Yards Rushing Yards -110 (DraftKings)

Marcel Reed has been a dynamic force for Texas A&M, particularly with his ability to make plays on the ground. With the absence of star running back Le'Veon Moss, Reed's dual-threat capabilities have become even more crucial to the Aggies' offensive strategy. This season, Reed has rushed for 334 yards and five touchdowns, averaging 4.9 yards per carry. His performance against LSU, where he rushed for 62 yards and three touchdowns, highlights his potential to exploit defenses. Given New Mexico State's struggles against the run, allowing over 200 rushing yards per game, Reed is poised to surpass the 50.5 rushing yards mark, especially as Texas A&M looks to capitalize on his mobility to maintain their offensive rhythm.

Seth McGowan Over 75.5 Rushing Yards Rushing Yards -110 (FanDuel)

Seth McGowan has been a bright spot in an otherwise challenging season for New Mexico State. Averaging 4.4 yards per carry, McGowan has accumulated 636 rushing yards and three touchdowns. With Texas A&M's defense focusing on containing the passing game, McGowan's ability to find gaps and extend plays on the ground will be pivotal. The Aggies' defense has shown vulnerabilities, particularly in their recent loss to South Carolina, where they missed 25 tackles. McGowan's consistent performance and New Mexico State's reliance on their running game make him a strong candidate to exceed 75.5 rushing yards, as he will be central to their offensive efforts to control the clock and keep the game competitive.

Amari Daniels Over 0.5 Touchdowns Anytime Touchdown Scorer +120 (bet365)

With Le'Veon Moss sidelined, Amari Daniels has stepped up as the primary running back for Texas A&M. Daniels has been tasked with filling the significant void left by Moss, and his role in the red zone is expected to increase. Texas A&M's potent rushing attack, ranked 15th nationally, will likely focus on exploiting New Mexico State's porous rush defense, which has allowed over 200 yards per game. Daniels' ability to find the end zone will be crucial for the Aggies, especially in a game where they are heavily favored and expected to dominate on the ground. Given the matchup and his increased workload, Daniels is well-positioned to score at least one touchdown, making the over 0.5 touchdowns a compelling prop bet.