New Mexico Lobos at New Mexico State Aggies Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 9/28/2024 8:00 PM EST
We have your New Mexico Lobos at New Mexico State Aggies prop betting and game preview needs covered as the New Mexico Lobos hit the road to face the New Mexico State Aggies.
New Mexico Lobos at New Mexico State Aggies Odds Info
Best Moneyline Odds: New Mexico Lobos -245 (bet365) / New Mexico State Aggies +200 (bet365)
Best Spread Odds: 7.5 - New Mexico Lobos +100 (BetRivers) / New Mexico State Aggies -122 (BetRivers)
Best Total Odds: 58.5 - Under -115 (ESPN BET) / 58.0 - Over -110 (Caesars)
Game Info
Date: 9/28/2024
Time: 8:00 PM EST
Location: Aggie Memorial Stadium (Las Cruces, NM)
TV: ESPN+
New Mexico Lobos at New Mexico State Aggies Preview
The New Mexico Lobos are set to face off against the New Mexico State Aggies in what promises to be an intriguing matchup at Aggie Memorial Stadium. The Lobos, still searching for their first win of the season, come into this game with a 0-4 record, having recently suffered a 38-21 defeat at the hands of the Fresno State Bulldogs. Despite the loss, quarterback Devon Dampier showcased his potential by throwing for 338 yards and a touchdown, albeit with two interceptions. His dual-threat capability was on display as he also rushed for 67 yards, adding a dynamic element to the Lobos' offense.
On the other side, the Aggies are looking to bounce back from a 31-11 loss to the Sam Houston Bearkats, which left them with a 1-3 record. Quarterback Santino Marucci struggled to find his rhythm, completing just 14 of 29 passes for 74 yards, with one touchdown and two interceptions. The Aggies' ground game, led by Seth McGowan, managed 50 yards on 12 carries, but they will need to improve their offensive efficiency to challenge the Lobos.
The Lobos are favored to win by a touchdown, with the spread currently set at -7.5. This suggests that oddsmakers have confidence in the Lobos' ability to exploit the Aggies' vulnerabilities, particularly given the Aggies' recent struggles on both sides of the ball. The over/under for the game is set at 58 points, indicating expectations of a moderately high-scoring affair.
As both teams aim to turn their seasons around, this matchup will be crucial in setting the tone for the remainder of their campaigns. The Lobos will look to capitalize on their offensive strengths, while the Aggies will need to tighten their defense and find consistency in their passing game to stand a chance against their in-state rivals.
New Mexico Lobos at New Mexico State Aggies Pick: New Mexico Lobos Against the Spread
In this in-state rivalry, the New Mexico Lobos are poised to cover the spread against the New Mexico State Aggies. The Lobos, despite their winless start to the season, have shown glimpses of potential, particularly through the performance of their quarterback, Devon Dampier. Dampier's ability to amass 338 passing yards against a formidable Fresno State defense highlights his capability to lead a potent offensive attack. His dual-threat nature, evidenced by his 67 rushing yards, adds a layer of complexity that the Aggies' defense may struggle to contain.
Conversely, the Aggies have faced significant challenges, particularly in their passing game. Quarterback Santino Marucci's struggles were evident in their recent loss to Sam Houston, where he completed only 14 of 29 passes for a mere 74 yards. This lack of offensive efficiency, coupled with a ground game that managed just 50 yards from Seth McGowan, suggests that the Aggies may find it difficult to keep pace with the Lobos' offensive output.
The oddsmakers' confidence in the Lobos is reflected in the spread, currently set at -7.5. This indicates an expectation that the Lobos will exploit the Aggies' vulnerabilities, particularly given the Aggies' recent struggles on both sides of the ball. With the Lobos' offense showing signs of life and the Aggies' defense appearing porous, the Lobos are well-positioned to not only secure their first win of the season but also cover the spread in this matchup.
New Mexico Lobos at New Mexico State Aggies Top Player Prop Picks
Devon Dampier Over 300.5 Passing Yards Passing Yards -110 (Caesars)
Devon Dampier has been a bright spot for the New Mexico Lobos despite their winless start to the season. In their recent game against Fresno State, Dampier threw for an impressive 338 yards, showcasing his ability to move the ball effectively through the air. His performance against a strong Fresno State defense suggests that he has the potential to exceed 300.5 passing yards against a New Mexico State defense that has shown vulnerabilities. Given the Aggies' recent struggles, particularly in their passing defense, Dampier is well-positioned to have another standout performance, making the over on this prop a compelling choice.
Santino Marucci Under 150.5 Passing Yards Passing Yards -115 (BetRivers)
Santino Marucci has faced significant challenges in leading the New Mexico State Aggies' offense, as evidenced by his recent performance against Sam Houston, where he managed only 74 passing yards. His struggles with accuracy and efficiency, completing just 14 of 29 passes, highlight the difficulties he has encountered in finding a rhythm. With the Lobos' defense likely to focus on containing Marucci's passing game, it seems probable that he will continue to face challenges in surpassing the 150.5 passing yards mark. The under on this prop reflects the current state of the Aggies' passing attack and Marucci's ongoing battle for consistency.
Javen Jacobs Over 50.5 Rushing Yards Rushing Yards -110 (ESPN BET)
Javen Jacobs has been a reliable contributor to the Lobos' ground game, as demonstrated by his performance against Fresno State, where he averaged 5.9 yards per carry on seven attempts. His ability to find gaps and gain significant yardage on the ground will be crucial against a New Mexico State defense that has struggled to contain opposing rushers. With the Lobos likely to lean on their rushing attack to complement Dampier's passing, Jacobs is poised to exceed the 50.5 rushing yards mark. His dual-threat capability, both as a runner and a receiver, adds an additional layer of complexity for the Aggies' defense to manage, making the over on this prop a strong pick.