New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 11/24/2024 1:00 PM EST

We have your New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins prop betting and game preview needs covered as the New England Patriots hit the road to face the Miami Dolphins.

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: New England Patriots +270 (ESPN BET) / Miami Dolphins -340 (ESPN BET)
Best Spread Odds: -7.0 - New England Patriots -105 (Caesars) / Miami Dolphins -105 (ESPN BET)
Best Total Odds: 46.5 - Under -115 (ESPN BET) / 46.0 - Over -110 (Caesars)

Game Info

Date: 11/24/2024
Time: 1:00 PM EST
Location: Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, FL)
TV: CBS

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past two seasons, the Miami Dolphins and New England Patriots have faced off three times, with the Dolphins emerging victorious in all three encounters. The games were played between September 2023 and October 2024. In these matchups, the visiting team won twice, while the home team secured a victory once. Miami consistently outperformed New England against the spread, covering in all three games, while the Patriots failed to cover in any. The total score went over the set line once and stayed under twice, indicating a tendency towards lower-scoring games in this rivalry.

The most recent game took place on October 6, 2024, with the Dolphins defeating the Patriots 15-10. Miami was the visiting team and managed to cover the spread as slight underdogs. The game was characterized by strong defensive performances from both sides, with Miami's defense allowing only 10 points and New England's defense conceding 15. Miami's offense accumulated 372 total yards, with a significant contribution from their rushing attack, which gained 193 yards on 41 attempts. The Dolphins' quarterback, Tyler Huntley, completed 18 of 31 passes for 194 yards but threw one interception. On the other hand, New England's Jacoby Brissett completed 18 of 34 passes for 160 yards without any interceptions. The Patriots' rushing game was also effective, gaining 151 yards on 19 attempts.

In the two previous matchups, Miami continued to demonstrate their dominance over New England. On October 29, 2023, the Dolphins secured a 31-17 victory at home, covering the spread as favorites. Miami's offense was particularly effective, amassing 390 total yards, with 324 of those coming through the air. Earlier in the season, on September 17, 2023, Miami won 24-17 on the road, again covering the spread as favorites. The Dolphins' balanced offensive attack produced 389 total yards, with 145 rushing yards and 249 passing yards. Across these games, Miami's ability to control the game on both sides of the ball has been a key factor in their success against New England.

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins Preview

The New England Patriots are set to face the Miami Dolphins in a highly anticipated Week 12 matchup at Hard Rock Stadium. The Patriots, led by promising rookie quarterback Drake Maye, are looking to bounce back after a narrow 28-22 loss to the Los Angeles Rams. Despite their struggles this season, Maye has been a bright spot, showcasing his potential with impressive performances, including a standout game against the Rams where he threw for 282 yards and two touchdowns.

On the other side, the Miami Dolphins are riding a wave of momentum with back-to-back victories, including a decisive 34-19 win over the Las Vegas Raiders. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has been instrumental in Miami's resurgence, delivering a stellar performance against the Raiders with 288 passing yards and three touchdowns. The Dolphins' offense has been firing on all cylinders, complemented by a strong rushing attack led by Devon Achane.

Historically, the Dolphins have had the upper hand in recent encounters with the Patriots, winning their last three matchups. Miami's defense has been particularly effective, consistently stifling New England's offensive efforts. In their most recent meeting on October 6, 2024, the Dolphins emerged victorious with a 15-10 win, showcasing their defensive prowess by limiting the Patriots to just 10 points.

As the Patriots aim to turn their season around, they will need to rely on Maye's growing confidence and the support of a developing offense. However, the Dolphins, with their balanced attack and home-field advantage, are poised to continue their dominance in this AFC East rivalry. The stage is set for an exciting clash as both teams vie for crucial momentum heading into the latter part of the season.

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins Pick: Miami Dolphins Moneyline

The Miami Dolphins are well-positioned to secure a victory against the New England Patriots in their upcoming Week 12 matchup. The Dolphins have demonstrated a clear upper hand in recent encounters, winning their last three games against the Patriots. This trend is supported by their strong defensive performances, which have consistently stifled New England's offensive efforts. In their most recent meeting on October 6, 2024, Miami's defense limited the Patriots to just 10 points, showcasing their ability to control the game on that side of the ball.

Moreover, the Dolphins are riding a wave of momentum with back-to-back wins, including a decisive 34-19 victory over the Las Vegas Raiders. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has been instrumental in this resurgence, delivering a stellar performance against the Raiders with 288 passing yards and three touchdowns. His leadership and the Dolphins' balanced offensive attack, complemented by a strong rushing game led by Devon Achane, make Miami a formidable opponent.

In contrast, the Patriots, despite the promising performances of rookie quarterback Drake Maye, have struggled this season. While Maye has shown potential, including a standout game against the Rams where he threw for 282 yards and two touchdowns, the Patriots have not been able to consistently translate his efforts into wins. Their recent narrow loss to the Rams further highlights the challenges they face.

Given the Dolphins' recent dominance in this rivalry, their current form, and the home-field advantage at Hard Rock Stadium, Miami is well-positioned to continue their winning streak against New England. The Dolphins' ability to control the game on both sides of the ball, coupled with their recent success against the Patriots, makes them the clear choice for the moneyline pick in this matchup.

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins Top Player Prop Picks

Drake Maye Over 282.5 Passing Yards Passing Yards -110 (Caesars)

Drake Maye has been a bright spot for the New England Patriots this season, showcasing his potential as a rookie quarterback. In his recent performance against the Los Angeles Rams, Maye threw for 282 yards, marking a season high. His ability to perform under pressure, particularly against the blitz, has been impressive, and he has consistently demonstrated his arm talent and mobility. With the Patriots looking to bounce back from their loss to the Rams, Maye will likely be relied upon to lead the offensive charge against the Miami Dolphins. Given his recent form and the Patriots' need to exploit Miami's defense, betting on Maye to exceed 282.5 passing yards seems a promising proposition.

Tua Tagovailoa Over 288.5 Passing Yards Passing Yards -115 (ESPN BET)

Tua Tagovailoa has been instrumental in the Miami Dolphins' recent resurgence, leading the team to back-to-back victories. In their decisive win over the Las Vegas Raiders, Tagovailoa threw for 288 yards and three touchdowns, showcasing his ability to lead a potent offensive attack. The Dolphins' balanced offense, complemented by a strong rushing game, provides Tagovailoa with ample opportunities to exploit opposing defenses. With the Patriots' defense having shown vulnerabilities in recent matchups, Tagovailoa is well-positioned to surpass 288.5 passing yards, making this a strong player prop pick.

Devon Achane Over 73.5 Rushing Yards Rushing Yards -110 (Caesars)

Devon Achane has been a key component of the Miami Dolphins' offensive success, particularly in their recent victory over the Raiders, where he carried the ball 17 times for 73 yards and scored a touchdown. Achane's ability to consistently gain yardage on the ground has been crucial in complementing Miami's passing attack. As the Dolphins prepare to face the Patriots, Achane's role in the rushing game will be vital in controlling the tempo and keeping the pressure off Tagovailoa. Given his recent performances and the Patriots' defensive challenges, Achane is poised to exceed 73.5 rushing yards, making this a compelling prop bet.