Minnesota Twins @ New York Yankees Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 8/11/2025 7:05 PM EDT

We have your Minnesota Twins @ New York Yankees prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Minnesota Twins hit the road to face the New York Yankees.

Minnesota Twins @ New York Yankees Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: New York Yankees -178 (Caesars)
Best Spread Odds: New York Yankees -1.5 (+117) (Fanduel)
Best Total Odds: Over 8.5 (-125) (Caesars)

Game Info

Date: August 11, 2025
Time: 7:05 PM EDT
Location: Yankee Stadium, New York
TV: MLB Network

Minnesota Twins @ New York Yankees Preview

The New York Yankees (62-56) host the Minnesota Twins (56-61) in the first game of a three-game series at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees, currently holding a Wild Card berth, are looking to rebound after losing seven of their last nine games, including two out of three at home against the Houston Astros. Their offense struggled in their last outing, managing only three hits in a 7-1 loss to the Astros.

The Minnesota Twins, despite being in fourth place in the AL Central, have shown recent resilience, winning four of their last five games. They are coming off a 2-1 series win against the Kansas City Royals, highlighted by a walk-off home run from rookie Luke Keaschall in Sunday's 5-3 extra-innings victory.

On the mound for the Twins will be Zebby Matthews (3-3, 5.17 ERA), who has a 1.38 WHIP and 11.3 K/9 through 38 1/3 innings. Matthews has shown a pattern of inconsistent starts, often following a good outing with a less effective one. For the Yankees, Will Warren (6-5, 4.44 ERA) gets the start. Warren has been in better form recently, allowing two earned runs or fewer in his last three starts, and has a significantly better ERA at home (2.88) compared to on the road (6.48).

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

The New York Yankees have dominated recent matchups against the Minnesota Twins, winning their last seven consecutive meetings.

Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline

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Despite their recent struggles, the New York Yankees are a strong pick on the moneyline. They boast a solid 35-23 home record, contrasting sharply with the Twins' 24-36 road record and 27-40 against teams with winning records. The Yankees' historical dominance over the Twins, with seven straight wins, is a significant factor. Furthermore, Yankees pitcher Will Warren has been performing well at home, where his ERA is a much-improved 2.88. Sharp money also aligns with this pick, showing a 61.76% sharp win percentage for the Yankees moneyline.

Top Player Prop Picks

Ryan Jeffers (Minnesota Twins) - Over 0.5 Hits

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Ryan Jeffers has been hitting well recently, exceeding 0.5 hits in 100% of his last five games and 100% of his last ten games. Over his last 20 games, he has hit the over 85% of the time. His season mean for hits is 0.93, well above the 0.5 line. When playing on the road, he has hit the over in 64% of his games this season. You can find the best odds for Ryan Jeffers to get Over 0.5 Hits at -185 on BetMGM.

Giancarlo Stanton (New York Yankees) - Over 0.5 Hits

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Giancarlo Stanton has consistently delivered hits, going over 0.5 hits in 60% of his last five games and 80% of his last ten games. Over the last 20 games, he has hit the over 85% of the time. His season mean for hits is 0.9, comfortably above the 0.5 line. Notably, in five games against the Twins in 2024, he hit the over on this line 100% of the time. At home this season, he has hit the over in 72.73% of his appearances. The best odds for Giancarlo Stanton to get Over 0.5 Hits are -159 on BetRivers.

Will Warren (New York Yankees) - Over 1.5 Walks Allowed

Will Warren has shown a tendency to issue walks, hitting the over on 1.5 walks allowed in 80% of his last five games and 80% of his last ten games. His season mean for walks allowed is 2.25, which is above the 1.5 line. When pitching at home, he has gone over this line in 75% of his starts this season. You can find the best odds for Will Warren to go Over 1.5 Walks Allowed at -165 on DraftKings.

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