Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 8/6/2025 1:10 PM EDT

We have your Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Minnesota Twins hit the road to face the Detroit Tigers.

Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Detroit Tigers -170 (Caesars)
Best Spread Odds: Detroit Tigers -1.5 (+122) (Caesars)
Best Total Odds: Over 8.0 (-110) (Caesars)

Game Info

Date: August 6, 2025
Time: 1:10 PM EDT
Location: Comerica Park, Detroit
TV: MLBN

Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers Preview

The Detroit Tigers (66-49) are set to host the Minnesota Twins (53-60) in an AL Central matchup at Comerica Park. The Tigers, leading their division, are looking to bounce back after a 6-3 loss to the Twins in the previous game, which snapped a two-game winning streak. Despite the recent loss, Detroit has been strong at home, winning six of their last seven games against teams with a losing record. They also have a notable trend of winning their next game after a loss to the Twins, having done so in their last eight such instances.

On the mound for the Tigers will be Jack Flaherty (6-10, 4.36 ERA, 144 K). Flaherty has shown a remarkable resurgence in his last two starts, allowing just one total earned run over 12-plus innings against strong lineups. His ability to command his fastball and effectively mix in his slider and knuckle-curve has made him a formidable presence. The Tigers' offense has been potent this season, ranking 7th in slugging percentage (.423) and 8th in home runs (147). Key offensive players include Spencer Torkelson, who is tied for 15th in MLB with 23 home runs and 63 RBIs, and Kerry Carpenter, who has been exceptional against the Twins, batting .402 with six home runs and 17 RBIs in 28 career games against them.

The Minnesota Twins, currently fourth in the AL Central, are facing a pitching crisis. Their scheduled starter, Simeon Woods Richardson, was placed on the 15-day injured list due to illness. Pierson Ohl (0-2, 7.50 ERA in 1 start) is expected to take the mound for the Twins, which presents a significant challenge given his struggles this season. The Twins' offense is led by players like Byron Buxton, Trevor Larnach, and rookie Luke Keaschall, who recently hit his first career two-run homer. However, the team has struggled overall, with a 17-28 record since June 13th, tied for the second-worst in baseball during that span.

Comerica Park, with a park factor of 99, is slightly pitcher-friendly, which could play a role in the game's scoring. The Tigers will be without Gleyber Torres, who is out with a forearm injury, and several other key players on the 60-Day IL, including Reese Olson and Alex Cobb. The Twins also have a number of players sidelined, including Byron Buxton and Pablo López.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

The Detroit Tigers have had the upper hand in recent matchups against the Minnesota Twins, winning six of their last ten encounters. Their most recent game on August 4, 2025, saw the Tigers defeat the Twins 6-3. Looking back at their 2025 season series, the Tigers secured victories on June 29 (3-0) and June 28 (10-5), while the Twins took games on June 27 (4-1) and April 13 (5-1). The Tigers also won on April 12 (4-0), April 11 (7-6), and March 18 (6-5). A notable trend is Detroit's ability to bounce back; they have won each of their last eight games immediately following a loss to the Twins.

Pick: Detroit Tigers Moneyline

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The Detroit Tigers are the clear pick in this matchup. They hold a strong 66-49 overall record and have been particularly dominant when favored, winning 64.1% of games where they were the moneyline favorite. The sharp money is heavily on the Tigers, with a 64.1% home sharp win percentage. Their starting pitcher, Jack Flaherty, has been in excellent form recently, allowing just one earned run in his last two starts. This contrasts sharply with the Twins' pitching situation, as they are forced to start Pierson Ohl, who has struggled with a 7.50 ERA this season. Furthermore, the Tigers have a strong historical trend of winning their next game after a loss to the Twins, which bodes well for them after their 6-3 defeat on Monday. Our computer prediction also projects a 5-4 win for the Tigers, reinforcing their advantage.

Top Player Prop Picks

Jack Flaherty (Detroit Tigers) - Pitcher Strikeouts Over 6.5

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Jack Flaherty has been a strikeout machine, especially at home. He has hit the over on this line in 80% of his last five games, with an average of 7.0 strikeouts. Over his last 10 games, he's hit the over 70% of the time, averaging 6.8 strikeouts. When pitching at home in 2025, Flaherty has exceeded this line in 83.33% of his starts, averaging 7.33 strikeouts. Historically, against the Twins in 2024, he hit the over in 100% of his two appearances, averaging an impressive 9.0 strikeouts. Given his recent resurgence and strong strikeout numbers, taking the over on his strikeouts is a compelling play. You can find the best odds for this prop at Pinnacle at -100.

Matt Vierling (Detroit Tigers) - Hits Over 0.5

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Matt Vierling has been consistently getting hits for the Tigers. He has hit the over on 0.5 hits in 60% of his last five games and 70% of his last 10 games, averaging 0.8 hits in both spans. For the season, he's hit the over 60.71% of the time. More impressively, against the Minnesota Twins in 2025, Vierling has hit the over in 100% of his two appearances, averaging 1.5 hits. In 2024, he hit the over in 66.67% of his 12 games against the Twins, averaging 0.83 hits. His strong performance against this specific opponent makes the over a favorable bet. The best odds for Vierling to get over 0.5 hits are -165 at BetMGM.

Luke Keaschall (Minnesota Twins) - Bases Over 0.5

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Rookie Luke Keaschall has shown a strong ability to get on base recently. He has hit the over on 0.5 total bases in 80% of his last five games, averaging 1.8 bases. For the season, he's hit the over an impressive 87.5% of the time, with an average of 1.88 bases. When playing on the road in 2025, Keaschall has hit the over in 100% of his four games, averaging 2.75 bases. While the sample size is small, his single appearance against the Tigers in 2025 saw him hit the over 100% of the time, averaging 5.0 bases. Given his recent form and high hit rate, the over on his total bases is a solid pick. You can find the best odds for this prop at ESPN BET at -175.

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