Milwaukee Bucks at Memphis Grizzlies Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 10/31/2024 8:00 PM EST
We have your Milwaukee Bucks at Memphis Grizzlies prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Milwaukee Bucks hit the road to face the Memphis Grizzlies.
Milwaukee Bucks at Memphis Grizzlies Odds Info
Best Moneyline Odds: Milwaukee Bucks -240 (ESPN BET) / Memphis Grizzlies +205 (BetRivers)
Best Spread Odds: 6.5 - Milwaukee Bucks -109 (BetRivers) / Memphis Grizzlies -112 (BetRivers)
Best Total Odds: 228.0 - Under -110 (DraftKings) / Over -110 (DraftKings)
Game Info
Date: 10/31/2024
Time: 8:00 PM EST
Location: FedExForum (Memphis, TN)
TV: NBA TV
Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis
Over the past three seasons, the Memphis Grizzlies and Milwaukee Bucks have faced off four times, with the Grizzlies emerging victorious in all encounters. The games were evenly split between home and away victories, with each team winning twice on the road. Memphis consistently outperformed Milwaukee against the spread, covering in all four matchups, while the Bucks failed to cover in any. In terms of scoring trends, three of the games went over the projected total, while one game fell under. This pattern suggests a tendency for high-scoring affairs when these two teams meet. The Grizzlies have demonstrated a strong ability to capitalize on their opportunities, often outperforming the Bucks in key statistical areas such as field goal percentage and rebounds.
The most recent game between these two teams took place on April 3, 2024, with the Memphis Grizzlies defeating the Milwaukee Bucks 109-101. Jaren Jackson Jr. was a standout performer for the Grizzlies, leading the team with 35 points and making crucial plays in the fourth quarter. GG Jackson II also contributed significantly with 15 points, including a long-range three-pointer. The Grizzlies dominated the paint, scoring 76 points compared to the Bucks' 36, and maintained a higher field goal percentage of 50.5% against Milwaukee's 40.0%. Despite Brook Lopez's 25 points and Giannis Antetokounmpo's 21 points for the Bucks, the Grizzlies' superior rebounding and efficient shooting secured their victory.
In this matchup, the Grizzlies' ability to control the boards was evident, as they outrebounded the Bucks 54 to 44. Both teams committed a total of 20 turnovers, with the Bucks slightly more prone to errors, committing 11 compared to the Grizzlies' 9. The Grizzlies' defensive efforts were highlighted by their eight blocks, which contributed to their overall defensive rating of 107.6. Meanwhile, the Bucks struggled to find their rhythm offensively, reflected in their lower shooting percentages and inability to capitalize on second-chance opportunities. This game further solidified Memphis's dominance over Milwaukee in recent matchups, showcasing their ability to execute both offensively and defensively.
Milwaukee Bucks at Memphis Grizzlies Preview
The Milwaukee Bucks and Memphis Grizzlies are set to clash in what promises to be an intriguing matchup, as both teams look to overcome early-season struggles. The Bucks, with a 1-3 record, are eager to snap a three-game losing streak. Despite their recent setbacks, Milwaukee boasts a formidable duo in Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard, who have been delivering impressive performances. Giannis, averaging 28.8 points, 11.8 rebounds, and 6.3 assists per game, remains a dominant force, while Lillard contributes significantly with 28 points, 6.3 assists, and six rebounds per game. However, the Bucks have been hampered by the absence of Khris Middleton and inconsistent contributions from their supporting cast, which has affected their offensive rhythm and defensive solidity.
On the other side, the Memphis Grizzlies, holding a 2-3 record, are also looking to find their footing. They are coming off a challenging back-to-back, having faced the Brooklyn Nets the previous night. The Grizzlies have shown flashes of brilliance, particularly with Jaren Jackson Jr.'s return from injury, who recently posted a 30-point game against Brooklyn. Ja Morant, averaging 19 points per game, and Desmond Bane, with 18.8 points per game, are key offensive contributors. However, Memphis has been plagued by injuries, with Marcus Smart and Desmond Bane both suffering setbacks in their recent loss to the Nets. The Grizzlies' defense has been a concern, as they have allowed opponents to score at will, particularly from beyond the arc.
Both teams have struggled defensively, with the Bucks allowing 119 points per game and the Grizzlies conceding 121.6 points per game, the worst in the Western Conference. This defensive vulnerability could lead to a high-scoring affair, especially given the offensive firepower on both sides. The Bucks' ability to push the pace and capitalize on transition opportunities, combined with the Grizzlies' penchant for high-tempo play, sets the stage for an exciting contest. As both teams aim to rectify their early-season woes, this matchup could be pivotal in setting the tone for their respective campaigns.
Milwaukee Bucks at Memphis Grizzlies Pick: Total Points Over
As the Milwaukee Bucks prepare to face the Memphis Grizzlies, the potential for a high-scoring game is evident, making the over on the total points a compelling pick. Both teams have shown vulnerabilities on the defensive end, with the Bucks allowing an average of 119 points per game and the Grizzlies conceding a Western Conference-worst 121.6 points per game. This defensive frailty is compounded by their respective offensive capabilities, setting the stage for a shootout.
The Bucks, despite their early-season struggles, boast a potent offensive duo in Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard. Giannis is averaging 28.8 points per game, while Lillard contributes 28 points per game, both showcasing their ability to score prolifically. The Bucks' offensive prowess is further highlighted by their sixth-place ranking in true shooting percentage, indicating their efficiency in converting scoring opportunities.
On the other hand, the Grizzlies have demonstrated their own offensive firepower, with Jaren Jackson Jr. recently posting a 30-point game and Ja Morant and Desmond Bane averaging 19 and 18.8 points per game, respectively. Despite their defensive lapses, the Grizzlies have maintained a high pace of play, which, combined with their offensive talent, suggests they can keep up with the Bucks in a high-scoring affair.
Moreover, both teams have struggled to contain opponents from beyond the arc, with the Grizzlies allowing the third-most three-pointers per game at a high percentage. This defensive shortcoming could be exploited by the Bucks, who, despite their own shooting inconsistencies, have the personnel to capitalize on open looks from deep.
Given these factors, the likelihood of a high-scoring game is significant. The combination of defensive vulnerabilities and offensive capabilities on both sides points towards a game that could easily surpass the projected total, making the over a strong pick for this matchup.
Milwaukee Bucks at Memphis Grizzlies Top Player Prop Picks
Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 6.5 Assists +115 (BetMGM)
Giannis Antetokounmpo has been a pivotal playmaker for the Milwaukee Bucks, averaging 6.3 assists per game this season. His ability to distribute the ball effectively is crucial, especially against a Memphis Grizzlies team that tends to over-help on defense. Historically, Giannis has excelled in facilitating against the Grizzlies, recording at least seven assists in five of his past seven matchups. With the Grizzlies' defensive focus likely to collapse on his drives, Giannis will have ample opportunities to kick out to open shooters like Damian Lillard and Gary Trent Jr., making the over on his assists a compelling pick.
Desmond Bane Over 19.5 Points -105 (DraftKings)
Desmond Bane has been a consistent offensive force for the Memphis Grizzlies, averaging 18.8 points per game. Despite a recent oblique injury, Bane's shooting prowess, particularly from beyond the arc, remains a significant threat. He is making 41% of his 3-point attempts, and with the Bucks' defense allowing 119 points per game, Bane is poised to exploit their vulnerabilities. Given his role as a primary scorer, especially with Marcus Smart's status uncertain, Bane is likely to see increased offensive responsibilities, making the over on his points a strong consideration.
Damian Lillard Over 3.5 3Fgm +122 (FanDuel)
Damian Lillard's shooting from beyond the arc is a critical component of the Bucks' offensive strategy. Averaging nearly 10 three-point attempts per game, Lillard's volume and confidence in shooting from deep make the over on his 3-point field goals an attractive option. The Grizzlies have struggled to defend the perimeter, allowing the third-most three-pointers per game at a high percentage. This defensive shortcoming aligns perfectly with Lillard's strengths, providing him with the opportunity to capitalize on open looks and potentially exceed the 3.5 line set for his 3-point makes.