Milwaukee Brewers @ Atlanta Braves Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 8/5/2025 7:15 PM EDT

We have your Milwaukee Brewers @ Atlanta Braves prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Milwaukee Brewers hit the road to face the Atlanta Braves.

Milwaukee Brewers @ Atlanta Braves Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Milwaukee Brewers -142 (Fanduel) / Atlanta Braves +125 (ESPN BET)
Best Spread Odds: Milwaukee Brewers -1.0 -117 (DraftKings) / Atlanta Braves +1.5 -135 (Caesars)
Best Total Odds: Over 7.5 -105 (ESPN BET) / Under 8.0 -115 (Caesars)

Game Info

Date: 2025-08-05
Time: 7:15 PM EDT
Location: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
TV: FDSSO

Milwaukee Brewers @ Atlanta Braves Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers, holding a strong 68-44 record, arrive in Atlanta looking to extend their impressive four-game winning streak, which includes a 3-1 victory over the Braves in Monday's series opener. Milwaukee has been particularly dominant on the road recently, boasting an 8-1 record in their last nine away games since the All-Star break, and are 6-1 overall in their past seven contests. They currently hold a three-game lead in the NL Central.

The Atlanta Braves, with a 47-64 record, are aiming to rebound from their recent struggles. They have gone 5-10 since the All-Star break and 3-8 over their last 11 games, as their playoff hopes continue to dwindle.

On the mound for the Brewers will be ace Freddy Peralta, who enters with a 12-5 record and a solid 3.08 ERA, along with 134 strikeouts this season. Peralta ranks in the 74th percentile in strikeout percentage and 77th percentile in whiff percentage, showcasing his ability to miss bats. The Brewers have won seven of his last nine starts.

The Braves will counter with Joey Wentz, who holds a 2-2 record and a 5.02 ERA with 49 strikeouts this season. Wentz has been utilized in both starting and bullpen roles, but has yet to secure a win in his three starts with the Braves in 2025. While his 3.89 xERA and 4.59 xFIP suggest he's performed better than his ERA indicates, and he did pitch six shutout innings in his most recent outing against the Royals, he faces a tough challenge against a hot Brewers lineup.

Truist Park, the Braves' home stadium, has a neutral park factor of 100, with a slight lean towards offense (wOBACon 103, HR 102), suggesting a fair environment for both pitchers and hitters.

The Braves are dealing with a significant number of injuries, including key players like Austin Riley and Ronald Acuña Jr. on the 10-Day IL, and several pitchers on the 60-Day IL. The Brewers also have a few players on the IL, including Rhys Hoskins and Jackson Chourio, with Sal Frelick listed as day-to-day.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

The Milwaukee Brewers secured a 3-1 victory over the Atlanta Braves in the series opener on Monday, August 4th, 2025. Looking at the pitching matchup, Brewers' starter Freddy Peralta has a favorable history against the Braves, holding a 3-1 record with a 3.72 ERA and 36 strikeouts in his last five starts against them. Braves' starter Joey Wentz will be making his first career start against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline

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The Milwaukee Brewers are the clear pick in this matchup. They are currently one of the hottest teams in baseball, riding a four-game winning streak and boasting an impressive 8-1 record in their last nine road games. Their momentum is undeniable, and the sharp money aligns with this trend, showing a 56.08% sharp win percentage on the Brewers' moneyline.

The pitching advantage heavily favors Milwaukee with Freddy Peralta on the mound. Peralta is an established ace with a strong 3.08 ERA and a history of success against the Braves, holding a 3-1 record in his last five starts against them. His high strikeout and whiff rates further solidify his dominance. Conversely, Joey Wentz, while showing some underlying positive metrics, has struggled to secure wins as a starter for the Braves this season, losing all three of his starts. The Braves' overall performance since the All-Star break has been underwhelming, and their significant injury list, particularly to key offensive players, further compounds their challenges. Given Milwaukee's current form and the clear pitching mismatch, backing the Brewers to win outright is the most confident play.

Top Player Prop Picks

Freddy Peralta Over Strikeouts

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Freddy Peralta is poised for a strong outing against a struggling Braves lineup. He ranks in the 74th percentile in strikeout percentage and 77th percentile in whiff percentage this season, demonstrating his ability to generate swings and misses. Peralta has recorded six or more strikeouts in 14 of his 23 starts this season, and he cleared this mark in four of his six July outings. The Braves' offense has been prone to strikeouts, ranking 24th in MLB in K's per game (8.68), a number that has notably increased to 10.33 over their last three games. While a specific line and betting link for this prop were not available in the provided research, the statistical trends strongly support Peralta going over his typical strikeout total.

Joey Wentz Over 3.5 Strikeouts

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Despite the Braves' recent struggles, Joey Wentz has shown an ability to rack up strikeouts in his recent appearances. In his four appearances for Atlanta, he has struck out six or more batters in three of them. A model projects Wentz to record 5 strikeouts in this game and rates the Over 3.5 strikeouts prop as a 4.5-star pick. While a specific betting link for this prop was not available in the provided research, his recent strikeout performances indicate a good chance to exceed this line.

Christian Yelich Over Total Bases

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Christian Yelich has an exceptionally favorable historical matchup against Braves pitcher Joey Wentz. In their limited head-to-head encounters, Yelich has been perfect, going 2-for-2 with two doubles, resulting in a 1.000 batting average and a 2.000 slugging percentage. His wOBA against Wentz is an astounding 1.256, with an xBA of 0.637 and xSLG of 1.758. While a specific line and betting link for Christian Yelich's total bases prop were not available in the provided research, his dominant past performance against Wentz makes this a compelling prop to consider.

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