Miami Marlins @ Washington Nationals Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 9/2/2025 6:45 PM EDT

We have your Miami Marlins @ Washington Nationals prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Miami Marlins hit the road to face the Washington Nationals.

Miami Marlins @ Washington Nationals Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Washington Nationals -108 on BetRivers
Best Total Odds: Over 9.0 at -102 on BetMGM

Game Info

Date: September 2, 2025
Time: 6:45 PM ET
Location: Nationals Park, Washington D.C.
TV: MASN

Miami Marlins @ Washington Nationals Preview

This NL East matchup features the Miami Marlins (65-73), sitting third in their division, against the Washington Nationals (54-83), who are at the bottom. The Marlins enter this game with an even 5-5 record over their last ten outings, while the Nationals have struggled, winning just two of their last ten games, though they did snap an eight-game skid with a 2-0 victory over the Marlins yesterday.

On the mound, the Marlins will send right-hander Adam Mazur (0-1, 5.59 ERA) to start. Mazur, a 24-year-old developmental project, is making his third start of the season after being recalled from Triple-A. He allowed two runs over four innings in his last outing against the Mets. The Marlins' pitching staff has been hit hard by injuries, with Edward Cabrera (15-Day IL, elbow tightness) being the latest addition to a long list of sidelined arms.

The Nationals will counter with their own young right-hander, Cade Cavalli (1-1, 5.11 ERA). Cavalli, 27, is making his seventh career start and sixth since returning from Tommy John surgery. While he impressed early with a 2.82 ERA through his first four outings, he was shelled in his last start against the Yankees, giving up eight runs, including four home runs, in just 2.1 innings.

Offensively, the Marlins boast a strong hitting lineup, ranking 8th in batting average (.250) and 7th in doubles (231). They also show good speed on the bases, ranking 9th with 112 stolen bases. Key hitters for Miami include Jakob Marsee (.339 average) and Agustín Ramírez (19 home runs).

The Nationals' offense ranks 12th in batting average (.243) and 8th in stolen bases (114). Luis Garcia Jr. has been a bright spot, batting .333 with two homers and four RBIs over his last nine games. Yesterday's win saw strong contributions from Andrew Alvarez on the mound and Daylen Lile and Luis García Jr. at the plate.

Both teams have shown weaknesses in pitching this season, with the Nationals ranking 27th in ERA and the Marlins 23rd. This game is less about playoff implications and more about the development of young talent for both clubs.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

The recent head-to-head history between these two NL East rivals shows a slight edge for the Marlins in the very short term. In the last three games of the 2025 regular season, the Miami Marlins hold a 2-1 record against the Washington Nationals. However, the most recent contest, played yesterday, saw the Nationals secure a 2-0 victory over the Marlins.

Looking at a broader recent history, the teams have split their last 10 matchups with a 5-5 record for the Marlins and a 2-8 record for the Nationals. The total runs in these games have often gone over, with the Marlins having a 7-3 O/U record and the Nationals a 3-6-1 O/U record in their last 10 games against all opponents. The pitching struggles for both teams suggest that high-scoring affairs are not uncommon when these two face off.

Pick: Over 9.0 Total Runs

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Given the pitching matchups and recent trends, the Over 9.0 total runs is a compelling pick for this game. Both Adam Mazur and Cade Cavalli are young pitchers who have shown vulnerability, particularly Cavalli in his last outing where he surrendered four home runs. The Marlins' rotation has also been decimated by injuries, putting more pressure on their young arms and bullpen.

The offensive capabilities of both teams, despite their overall records, suggest they can put runs on the board. The Marlins rank 8th in batting average and have power hitters like Agustín Ramírez. The Nationals, while struggling overall, have seen Luis Garcia Jr. heating up at the plate. With both teams' ERAs ranking in the bottom third of the league (Nationals 27th, Marlins 23rd), and the total set at 9, the conditions are ripe for a higher-scoring game. The projected total score of 9 runs, combined with the pitching weaknesses, makes the over a reasonable pick. You can find the best odds for Over 9.0 at -102 on BetMGM.

Top Player Prop Picks

Luis Garcia Jr. (Washington Nationals) - Over 0.5 Hits

Luis Garcia Jr. has been a consistent offensive threat for the Nationals recently. He's batting an impressive .333 over his last nine games, including two home runs and four RBIs. Facing Adam Mazur, a young pitcher with a 5.59 ERA, Garcia Jr. is in a good spot to continue his hot streak and record at least one hit. The best odds for Luis Garcia Jr. Over 0.5 Hits are -260.

Agustín Ramírez (Miami Marlins) - Over 0.5 Home Runs

Agustín Ramírez has already blasted 19 home runs this season, showcasing significant power. He'll be facing Cade Cavalli, who struggled immensely in his last start, giving up four home runs in just 2.1 innings. This matchup presents a prime opportunity for Ramírez to add to his home run tally. The best odds for Agustín Ramírez Over 0.5 Home Runs are +130.

James Wood (Washington Nationals) - Over 1.5 Total Bases

As the leadoff hitter for the Nationals, James Wood is positioned to get multiple plate appearances. He holds a .257 batting average and a .471 slugging percentage, indicating his ability to hit for extra bases. Against Adam Mazur, who has a higher ERA and has shown vulnerability, Wood has a strong chance to collect at least two total bases, whether through a double, a single and a walk, or a home run. The best odds for James Wood Over 1.5 Total Bases are +125.