Miami Heat @ Milwaukee Bucks Player Props, Picks and Predictions - January 23, 2025

We have your Miami Heat @ Milwaukee Bucks prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Milwaukee Bucks host the Miami Heat at Fiserv Forum.

Miami Heat @ Milwaukee Bucks Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Milwaukee Bucks -245 (BetRivers), Miami Heat +235 (Caesars)
Best Spread Odds: Milwaukee Bucks -6.5 (-110, BetMGM), Miami Heat +6.5 (-105, DraftKings)
Best Total Odds: Over 225.5 (-108, DraftKings), Under 225.5 (-105, Caesars)

Game Info

Date: January 23, 2025
Time: 8:30 PM EST
Location: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI
TV: TNT, truTV, MAX

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

The Miami Heat and Milwaukee Bucks have faced each other multiple times in recent years, with the Bucks holding a slight edge in their recent matchups. In their last meeting on November 26, 2024, the Bucks narrowly defeated the Heat 106-103 in Miami. Over the past 10 head-to-head games, the Bucks have won six, while the Heat have claimed four victories. Notably, the over has hit in seven of their last 10 matchups, with both teams scoring over 110 points in seven of those games.

Miami Heat @ Milwaukee Bucks Preview

The Milwaukee Bucks enter this game on a four-game winning streak, showcasing strong performances from their stars Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard. Giannis has been dominant in January, averaging 28.7 points, 12.6 rebounds, and 6.2 assists per game. The Bucks have also been efficient from beyond the arc, ranking second in the NBA in three-point shooting percentage.

On the other hand, the Miami Heat are dealing with internal turmoil, including the suspension of Jimmy Butler. Without Butler, Tyler Herro has stepped up, averaging 24.9 points in games without him this season. However, the Heat have struggled recently, losing four of their last five games. Their defense remains strong, ranking seventh in the NBA in points allowed, but their offense has been inconsistent.

Pick: Milwaukee Bucks -6.5

The Bucks are in excellent form, winning seven of their last eight games and thriving at home with a 7-3 record in their last 10 home games. Meanwhile, the Heat are struggling on the road with a 9-12 record and are missing key players like Jimmy Butler. With Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard leading the charge, the Bucks should cover the -6.5 spread.

Top Player Prop Picks

1. Tyler Herro Over 22.5 Points (-130)

With Jimmy Butler out, Tyler Herro sees a significant increase in usage. He has averaged 24.9 points in 17 games without Butler this season and has gone over this line in his last three games. The Bucks allow the third-most points to point guards, making this a favorable matchup for Herro.

2. Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 12.5 Rebounds (-115)

Giannis has been a rebounding machine, averaging 12.6 rebounds in January. Against a Heat team that struggles on the boards, Giannis should dominate in this category.

3. Damian Lillard Over 3.5 Three-Pointers Made (+100)

Lillard has been on fire from beyond the arc, averaging 3.5 three-pointers per game this season. With the Heat allowing the eighth-most three-pointers to point guards, Lillard is poised for a big night from deep.