Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 1/6/2025 10:00 PM EST

We have your Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Miami Heat hit the road to face the Sacramento Kings.

Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Miami Heat +143 (Caesars) / Sacramento Kings -164 (FanDuel)
Best Spread Odds: -3.5 - Miami Heat -115 (ESPN BET) / Sacramento Kings -105 (ESPN BET)
Best Total Odds: 224.0 - Under -110 (Caesars) / 223.5 - Over -110 (BetMGM)

Game Info

Date: 1/6/2025
Time: 10:00 PM EST
Location: Golden 1 Center (Sacramento, CA)
TV: NBA TV

Miami Heat Betting Trends

On the road, the Miami Heat have 7 wins and 9 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Miami Heat have 5 wins and 7 losses this season.
This season, the Miami Heat have hit 19 overs and 14 unders.

Sacramento Kings Betting Trends

At home, the Sacramento Kings have 9 wins and 12 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Sacramento Kings have 14 wins and 14 losses this season.
This season, the Sacramento Kings have hit 17 overs, 17 unders and pushed 2 times.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past two seasons, the Miami Heat and Sacramento Kings have faced each other three times. In these matchups, the Miami Heat emerged victorious twice, while the Sacramento Kings secured one win. The visiting team has won two of these encounters, with the home team winning just once. Against the spread, Miami has covered twice, whereas Sacramento has managed to cover once. The games have seen the total score go over the set line once and under twice, indicating a tendency towards lower-scoring affairs. Key statistics from these games show that both teams have had competitive performances, with Miami generally having a slight edge in terms of victories and covering the spread.

The most recent game between these two teams took place on November 4, 2024, where the Sacramento Kings narrowly defeated the Miami Heat with a final score of 111-110. In this closely contested matchup, De'Aaron Fox led the Kings with 28 points, including a pivotal three-pointer in the fourth quarter. DeMar DeRozan also contributed significantly with 26 points. For the Heat, Jimmy Butler and Tyler Herro each scored 27 points, with Butler hitting a crucial three-pointer late in the game. The Kings shot 51.2% from the field, while the Heat managed 43.5%. Sacramento had a slight edge in rebounds, securing 39 compared to Miami's 36. Turnovers were a factor, with the Kings committing 14 and the Heat 11, reflecting the tight nature of the game.

In the previous two encounters, Miami won both games, with one victory occurring on February 26, 2024, and the other on January 31, 2024. In the February matchup, Miami won 121-110, with the game going over the total score line. The Heat's effective shooting and strong defensive performance were key to their victory. In the January game, Miami secured a 115-106 win, with the game going under the total score line. Miami's ability to control the pace and execute efficiently on offense contributed to their success. These past performances highlight Miami's capability to perform well against Sacramento, particularly when playing away from home.

Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings Preview

The Miami Heat and Sacramento Kings are set to clash in what promises to be an intriguing matchup at the Golden 1 Center. The Kings, riding a four-game winning streak, have been in impressive form, particularly after their commanding 129-99 victory over the Golden State Warriors. Malik Monk has been a standout performer for Sacramento, delivering a stellar 26-point, 12-assist performance in their recent win. With De'Aaron Fox absent, Monk has stepped up as the primary offensive threat, showcasing his ability to lead the team effectively.

On the other hand, the Miami Heat are looking to bounce back from a disappointing 136-100 loss to the Utah Jazz. Despite the setback, the Heat have shown resilience on the road, maintaining a 7-9 away record this season. Tyler Herro, who has been a consistent performer for Miami, is expected to play a crucial role in their offensive strategy. Although the Heat have faced challenges recently, their ability to perform well away from home could be pivotal in this encounter.

Both teams have had their share of ups and downs this season, with the Kings holding a 17-19 record and the Heat slightly better at 17-16. The Kings have been efficient shooters, boasting a 47.7% field goal percentage, which could pose a challenge for the Heat's defense. Meanwhile, Miami's ability to hit 14.1 three-pointers per game will test Sacramento's perimeter defense.

Historically, the Heat have had the upper hand in recent meetings, winning two of the last three encounters. However, the Kings' recent form and home-court advantage could level the playing field. As both teams aim to solidify their standings, this matchup is expected to be a closely contested battle, with each side looking to exploit the other's weaknesses. With the Kings' offensive momentum and the Heat's road resilience, fans can anticipate an exciting and high-scoring affair.

Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings Pick: Total Points Over

As the Miami Heat prepare to face the Sacramento Kings, the potential for a high-scoring game is evident, making the over on the total points an enticing pick. Both teams have demonstrated offensive prowess in recent matchups, with the Kings recently putting up an impressive 129 points against the Golden State Warriors. Malik Monk has been a key contributor to Sacramento's offensive surge, particularly in the absence of De'Aaron Fox, as he delivered a standout performance with 26 points and 12 assists in their last game. The Kings have been shooting efficiently, boasting a 47.7% field goal percentage this season, which could challenge the Heat's defense.

On the other hand, the Miami Heat, despite their recent loss to the Utah Jazz, have shown the ability to score in bunches, averaging 108.2 points over their last ten games. Tyler Herro, a consistent offensive threat, is expected to play a crucial role in Miami's scoring efforts. The Heat's capability to hit 14.1 three-pointers per game will test the Kings' perimeter defense, potentially leading to a high-scoring affair.

Historically, the matchups between these two teams have seen varied scoring outcomes, but the current form and offensive capabilities of both squads suggest a game that could easily surpass the set total. The Kings' recent four-game winning streak, coupled with their home-court advantage, adds to the likelihood of a strong offensive showing. Meanwhile, the Heat's resilience on the road, with a 7-9 away record, indicates they can contribute significantly to the scoreboard.

Given these factors, the over on the total points is a compelling choice, as both teams have the offensive firepower to turn this matchup into a high-scoring contest. Fans can expect an exciting game with plenty of scoring opportunities on both ends of the court.

Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings Top Player Prop Picks

Malik Monk Over 28.5 Points Rebounds Assists -109 (Caesars)

Malik Monk has been a standout performer for the Sacramento Kings, especially in the absence of De'Aaron Fox. In their recent commanding victory over the Golden State Warriors, Monk delivered an impressive performance with 26 points and 12 assists, showcasing his ability to lead the team's offense. With the Kings riding a four-game winning streak and Monk stepping up as the primary offensive threat, the over on 28.5 points, rebounds, and assists is a compelling choice. His recent form and the Kings' efficient shooting, boasting a 47.7% field goal percentage, suggest that Monk is poised to continue his strong performances against the Miami Heat.

Tyler Herro Over 21.5 Points -115 (DraftKings)

Tyler Herro has been a consistent offensive force for the Miami Heat, and despite the team's recent struggles, he remains a key player in their scoring efforts. Herro's ability to perform well away from home is notable, and with the Heat averaging 108.2 points over their last ten games, he is expected to play a crucial role in their offensive strategy. The Kings' defense will be tested by Herro's scoring prowess, particularly from beyond the arc, as the Heat average 14.1 three-pointers per game. Given Herro's track record and the Heat's need for a strong offensive showing, the over on 21.5 points is a solid pick.

DeMar DeRozan Over 18.5 Points -110 (bet365)

DeMar DeRozan has been a reliable scorer for the Sacramento Kings, averaging 20.5 points per game this season. In their previous matchup against the Miami Heat, DeRozan contributed significantly with 26 points, highlighting his ability to perform in crucial games. With the Kings' recent offensive momentum and DeRozan's consistent scoring, the over on 18.5 points is an attractive option. As the Kings look to extend their winning streak, DeRozan's experience and scoring ability will be vital in their efforts to secure another victory against the Heat.