NFL Pickwatch - Miami Heat at Indiana Pacers Player Props, Picks and Predictions

Miami Heat at Indiana Pacers Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 11/17/2024 5:00 PM EST

We have your Miami Heat at Indiana Pacers prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Miami Heat hit the road to face the Indiana Pacers.

Miami Heat at Indiana Pacers Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Miami Heat +125 (ESPN BET) / Indiana Pacers -136 (BetRivers)
Best Spread Odds: -2.5 - Miami Heat -110 (Caesars) / -2.0 - Indiana Pacers -110 (FanDuel)
Best Total Odds: 229.0 - Under -110 (DraftKings) / Over -110 (DraftKings)

Game Info

Date: 11/17/2024
Time: 5:00 PM EST
Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse (Indianapolis, IN)
TV: NBA League Pass

Miami Heat Betting Trends

On the road, the Miami Heat have 4 wins and 3 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Miami Heat have 2 wins and 3 losses this season.
This season, the Miami Heat have hit 6 overs and 5 unders.

Indiana Pacers Betting Trends

At home, the Indiana Pacers have 3 wins and 2 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Indiana Pacers have 2 wins and 4 losses this season.
This season, the Indiana Pacers have hit 8 overs and 4 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past two seasons, the Miami Heat and Indiana Pacers have faced off four times, with each team securing two victories. The games have been evenly split between home and away wins, with the visiting team winning twice and the home team also winning twice. In terms of betting outcomes, the Miami Heat have covered the spread in three of these matchups, while the Indiana Pacers have covered the spread once. Notably, all four games have gone over the projected total points, indicating high-scoring affairs. The games have showcased competitive play, with both teams demonstrating the ability to win on the road and at home.

The most recent encounter between these two teams took place on November 15, 2024, where the Miami Heat emerged victorious over the Indiana Pacers with a score of 124-111. Miami was the visiting team and managed to cover the spread as the underdog. Bam Adebayo led the Heat with 30 points, including a crucial stretch in the third quarter where he scored a driving layup and a three-pointer. Tyler Herro added 20 points, contributing a significant three-pointer late in the second quarter. The Heat capitalized on the Pacers' 20 turnovers, converting them into 20 points. Despite shooting a similar field goal percentage to the Pacers, Miami's ability to force turnovers and score off them was a key factor in their victory.

In contrast, the Pacers' standout performance came from Obi Toppin, who scored 21 points, including a notable three-pointer in the second quarter. Tyrese Haliburton also had a strong showing with 18 points and 8 assists. However, Indiana's 20 turnovers proved costly, as they struggled to maintain possession and allowed Miami to capitalize on their mistakes. The Pacers shot 51.2% from the field and recorded 28 assists, but their inability to protect the ball ultimately hindered their chances of securing a win. This game highlighted the importance of ball control and defensive pressure, elements that will be crucial in their upcoming matchup.

Miami Heat at Indiana Pacers Preview

The Miami Heat and Indiana Pacers are set to clash once again at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, with both teams eager to assert dominance in this early-season matchup. The Heat, fresh off a convincing 124-111 victory over the Pacers, will look to replicate their success by capitalizing on Indiana's defensive vulnerabilities. Miami's recent win was marked by a standout performance from Bam Adebayo, who delivered a commanding 30-point game, showcasing his ability to influence both ends of the court. Tyler Herro also played a pivotal role, contributing 20 points and demonstrating his prowess from beyond the arc.

Despite the absence of their star forward Jimmy Butler, the Heat have shown resilience, with veteran Kevin Love stepping up significantly. Love's third-quarter surge in the previous game was instrumental in extending Miami's lead, highlighting the depth and experience within the Heat's roster. As they prepare for Sunday's encounter, Miami will aim to maintain their defensive pressure and exploit the Pacers' turnover issues, which were a critical factor in their recent triumph.

On the other side, the Pacers are determined to bounce back and address the defensive lapses that have plagued them. Indiana's coach, Rick Carlisle, has emphasized the need for improved preparation and effort, particularly after the team's struggles in containing Miami's offensive threats. Offensively, the Pacers will rely on the contributions of Obi Toppin and Tyrese Haliburton, who have been key figures in their scoring efforts. However, the Pacers' success will largely depend on their ability to minimize turnovers and enhance their defensive intensity.

With both teams possessing potent offensive capabilities, this matchup promises to be another high-scoring affair. The Pacers, eager to avenge their recent loss, will need to tighten their defense and capitalize on their home-court advantage. Meanwhile, the Heat will look to continue their momentum and leverage their recent success against Indiana. As the two teams prepare to face off, fans can anticipate a competitive and dynamic game, with each side striving to gain an early edge in the season series.

Miami Heat at Indiana Pacers Pick: Total Points Over

The upcoming matchup between the Miami Heat and the Indiana Pacers is poised to be another high-scoring affair, making the over on the total points a compelling pick. Historically, games between these two teams have consistently exceeded the projected total points, with all four of their recent encounters going over. This trend is supported by the offensive capabilities both teams have demonstrated, particularly in their most recent clash where the Heat triumphed 124-111 over the Pacers.

Miami's offensive prowess was on full display in their last meeting, with Bam Adebayo leading the charge with a 30-point performance, complemented by Tyler Herro's 20 points. The Heat's ability to capitalize on turnovers, converting Indiana's 20 mistakes into 20 points, underscores their efficiency in exploiting defensive lapses. Even in the absence of Jimmy Butler, Miami has shown resilience and depth, with Kevin Love stepping up significantly, particularly in the third quarter of their last game.

On the other hand, the Pacers, despite their defensive struggles, have shown they can keep pace offensively. Obi Toppin and Tyrese Haliburton have been pivotal in their scoring efforts, with Toppin contributing 21 points in their recent loss. Indiana's shooting efficiency, marked by a 51.2% field goal percentage, indicates their potential to contribute to a high-scoring game, provided they can minimize turnovers.

Given the offensive firepower on both sides and the historical trend of high-scoring games between these teams, the over on the total points is a strong pick. Both teams are eager to assert dominance early in the season, and with their potent offenses, fans can expect another dynamic and competitive matchup that is likely to surpass the projected total.

Miami Heat at Indiana Pacers Top Player Prop Picks

Bam Adebayo Over 3.5 Assists -125 (BetMGM)

Bam Adebayo has been a pivotal player for the Miami Heat, especially in their recent victory over the Indiana Pacers. In that game, Adebayo not only scored 30 points but also showcased his playmaking abilities with seven assists. His ability to facilitate the offense is crucial, particularly with Jimmy Butler's status uncertain due to injury. Adebayo's recent performances indicate that he is more than capable of surpassing the 3.5 assists line, making this a strong prop bet. The Heat's reliance on Adebayo to create opportunities for his teammates, especially in Butler's absence, further supports the likelihood of him hitting the over on this prop.

Tyrese Haliburton Over 18.5 Points -105 (DraftKings)

Tyrese Haliburton has been a consistent offensive force for the Indiana Pacers, and despite their recent loss to the Heat, he managed to contribute 18 points. With the Pacers looking to bounce back and improve their offensive output, Haliburton will be a key figure in their scoring efforts. His ability to drive the offense and his role as a primary scorer make the over on 18.5 points an appealing pick. Given the Pacers' need to tighten their defense and capitalize on their offensive strengths, Haliburton is likely to see ample opportunities to score, making this prop a solid choice.

Kevin Love Over 0.5 3Fgm -140 (BetMGM)

Kevin Love's recent performances have been a revelation for the Miami Heat, particularly in their win against the Pacers where he scored all his points in the third quarter. Love's ability to stretch the floor with his three-point shooting was on full display, and with the Heat potentially missing Jimmy Butler again, Love's role as a veteran presence becomes even more critical. His knack for hitting timely three-pointers, as evidenced by his recent game, makes the over on 0.5 three-point field goals a compelling bet. Love's experience and shooting prowess are assets the Heat will likely lean on, especially in a matchup where perimeter shooting can be a decisive factor.