NFL Pickwatch - Miami Heat at Detroit Pistons Player Props, Picks and Predictions

Miami Heat at Detroit Pistons Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 11/12/2024 7:00 PM EST

We have your Miami Heat at Detroit Pistons prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Miami Heat hit the road to face the Detroit Pistons.

Miami Heat at Detroit Pistons Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Miami Heat -120 (DraftKings) / Detroit Pistons +105 (ESPN BET)
Best Spread Odds: 1.5 - Miami Heat -110 (FanDuel) / Detroit Pistons -110 (DraftKings)
Best Total Odds: 214.5 - Under -110 (FanDuel) / Over -110 (FanDuel)

Game Info

Date: 11/12/2024
Time: 7:00 PM EST
Location: Little Caesars Arena (Detroit, MI)
TV: NBA League Pass

Miami Heat Betting Trends

On the road, the Miami Heat have 3 wins and 2 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Miami Heat have 3 wins and 2 losses this season.
This season, the Miami Heat have hit 4 overs and 5 unders.

Detroit Pistons Betting Trends

At home, the Detroit Pistons have 2 wins and 4 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Detroit Pistons have 3 wins and 6 losses this season.
This season, the Detroit Pistons have hit 3 overs and 8 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past two seasons, the Miami Heat and the Detroit Pistons have faced off five times, with Miami emerging victorious in all five encounters. The games were split between home and away venues, with the home team winning three times and the visiting team securing two victories. Despite Miami's dominance in terms of wins, Detroit has been more successful against the spread, covering in four out of the five games. The games have predominantly leaned towards the under, with four of the five matchups falling below the projected total score, and only one game exceeding the over-under line.

The most recent game between these two teams took place on October 28, 2024, where the Miami Heat defeated the Detroit Pistons 106-98. Miami, playing at home, was favored with a point spread of -8.5 but did not cover, as the final score spread was only -8. The game was characterized by a competitive first quarter, with Detroit's Cade Cunningham making an early impact by scoring a three-pointer to give the Pistons an 8-5 lead. However, Miami's Jimmy Butler played a pivotal role, scoring 23 points and making a crucial driving layup in the fourth quarter to help secure the win. The Heat outperformed the Pistons in assists and steals, while Detroit had a slight edge in rebounds. Notably, the game went under the total score line of 219.5, with a combined score of 204.

In terms of individual performances across these matchups, Jimmy Butler has consistently been a key player for Miami, contributing significantly to their scoring efforts. On the other hand, Cade Cunningham has been a standout performer for Detroit, often leading his team in points. The Pistons have shown resilience in rebounding, often outmatching the Heat in this area, but have struggled with turnovers and assists compared to Miami. The Heat's ability to generate steals and maintain a higher assist rate has been a crucial factor in their success against the Pistons. As these teams prepare to meet again, these historical trends and statistics provide a framework for understanding their past encounters and potential future dynamics.

Miami Heat at Detroit Pistons Preview

The Miami Heat and Detroit Pistons are set to clash in a pivotal NBA Cup group-play opener at Little Caesars Arena. Both teams are eager to make a strong start in the tournament, with the Heat looking to build on their recent victory over the Minnesota Timberwolves, a win that snapped a three-game losing streak. Miami's triumph was marked by a last-minute three-point play from Nikola Jovic, underscoring the team's resilience and ability to perform under pressure. Tyler Herro has been a standout performer for the Heat, leading the team in scoring over the last four games with an impressive average of 26.3 points per game. However, the Heat will be without their star player, Jimmy Butler, who is sidelined with an ankle injury. Butler's absence will be felt, as he has been a key contributor to Miami's success, averaging 16.1 points, 4.8 rebounds, and 4.9 assists per game this season.

On the other side, the Detroit Pistons are coming off a narrow loss to the Houston Rockets, a game that highlighted their competitive spirit but also their struggles in clutch moments. Cade Cunningham has been a beacon of hope for the Pistons, consistently delivering strong performances, including a 26-point effort against the Rockets. The Pistons have shown promise in rebounding, often outmatching their opponents in this area, but have faced challenges with turnovers and assists. The return of Ausar Thompson, cleared to play after dealing with blood clot issues, could provide a much-needed boost to the Pistons' lineup, although his integration into the rotation remains to be seen.

Historically, the Heat have dominated recent encounters with the Pistons, winning all five of their last matchups. Despite this, Detroit has been competitive against the spread, covering in four of those games. The Pistons will be keen to leverage their home-court advantage and break Miami's winning streak. As both teams vie for a crucial victory in the NBA Cup, the stage is set for an intense battle, with each side looking to assert their dominance early in the tournament.

Miami Heat at Detroit Pistons Pick: Total Points Over

As the Miami Heat and Detroit Pistons prepare to face off in their NBA Cup group-play opener, the potential for a high-scoring affair is evident. Despite the absence of Miami's star player Jimmy Butler, the Heat have shown resilience and offensive prowess, particularly through the efforts of Tyler Herro. Herro has been on a scoring tear, averaging 26.3 points over the last four games, and his ability to lead the offense will be crucial in Butler's absence. The Heat's recent victory over the Minnesota Timberwolves, marked by a last-minute three-point play from Nikola Jovic, underscores their capability to execute under pressure and generate points when needed.

On the other side, the Detroit Pistons, led by Cade Cunningham, have demonstrated their offensive potential, even in close losses. Cunningham's consistent scoring, including a 26-point performance against the Houston Rockets, highlights his ability to drive the Pistons' offense. Additionally, the Pistons have shown strength in rebounding, which can lead to second-chance points and contribute to a higher total score. The return of Ausar Thompson, although his role is yet to be fully integrated, could provide an additional offensive spark for Detroit.

Historically, while the Heat have dominated the win column in recent matchups against the Pistons, the games have been competitive, with Detroit often covering the spread. This competitiveness suggests that both teams are capable of pushing each other to higher scoring outputs. Furthermore, the Pistons' home-court advantage at Little Caesars Arena could play a role in energizing their offensive efforts, potentially leading to a more open and high-scoring game.

Given these factors, the potential for both teams to exceed the projected total score is strong. The combination of Miami's offensive depth, even without Butler, and Detroit's ability to compete and score, particularly at home, sets the stage for a game that could easily surpass the over line of 214.5 points. As both teams aim to make a statement in their NBA Cup opener, expect a dynamic and high-energy contest that leans towards the over.

Miami Heat at Detroit Pistons Top Player Prop Picks

Tyler Herro Over 3.5 3Fgm -102 (FanDuel)

Tyler Herro has been a standout performer for the Miami Heat, especially in the absence of Jimmy Butler. Herro has been leading the team in scoring over the last four games, averaging an impressive 26.3 points per game. His ability to score from beyond the arc will be crucial in this matchup against the Detroit Pistons. With Butler sidelined, Herro will likely take on an even larger offensive role, increasing his opportunities to hit from deep. The odds of -102 on FanDuel for Herro to make over 3.5 three-pointers present a favorable scenario, considering his recent form and the necessity for him to step up in Butler's absence.

Cade Cunningham Over 8.5 Assists -104 (FanDuel)

Cade Cunningham has been a consistent force for the Detroit Pistons, showcasing his playmaking abilities alongside his scoring prowess. In the Pistons' recent games, Cunningham has been pivotal in orchestrating the offense, coming close to extending his triple-double streak. With the Pistons facing a Miami team that excels in generating steals and maintaining a high assist rate, Cunningham's role as a facilitator will be crucial. The line of 8.5 assists is well within reach for Cunningham, especially given his recent performances and the competitive nature of this matchup. The odds of -104 on FanDuel make this a compelling prop bet, as Cunningham will be central to Detroit's efforts to break Miami's defensive schemes.

Bam Adebayo Over 1.5 Blocks 122 (FanDuel)

Bam Adebayo's defensive presence is a cornerstone of the Miami Heat's strategy, and his ability to protect the rim will be vital against the Pistons. Adebayo has consistently been a force in the paint, and with Jimmy Butler out, his defensive contributions will be even more critical. The line of 1.5 blocks is a reasonable expectation for Adebayo, who will be tasked with anchoring the Heat's defense and deterring Detroit's inside scoring attempts. The odds of 122 on FanDuel for Adebayo to exceed this line offer value, considering his defensive capabilities and the increased responsibility he will shoulder in Butler's absence.