New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 9/15/2024 1:35 PM EST

We have your New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies prop betting and game preview needs covered as the New York Mets hit the road to face the Philadelphia Phillies.

New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: New York Mets +125 (BetMGM) / Philadelphia Phillies -146 (FanDuel)
Best Spread Odds: -1.5 - New York Mets -165 (ESPN BET) / Philadelphia Phillies +142 (DraftKings)
Best Total Odds: 8.5 - Under -115 (bet365) / Over -100 (FanDuel)

Game Info

Date: 9/15/2024
Time: 1:35 PM EST
Location: Citizens Bank Park (Philadelphia, Pennsylvania)
TV: MLB.TV

New York Mets Betting Trends

On the road, the New York Mets have 41 wins and 33 losses this season.
As the favorite, the New York Mets have 35 wins and 28 losses this season.
This season, the New York Mets have hit 76 overs, 68 unders and pushed 4 times.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

At home, the Philadelphia Phillies have 51 wins and 26 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Philadelphia Phillies have 75 wins and 46 losses this season.
This season, the Philadelphia Phillies have hit 70 overs, 73 unders and pushed 5 times.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

In the past two games between the New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies, each team has secured one victory, with the visiting team winning once and the home team also winning once. Both games saw the over hit, with no instances of the under occurring. The Mets covered the spread once, as did the Phillies. The games were played on September 13 and September 14, 2024. In the first game, the Mets emerged victorious with a significant margin, while the Phillies claimed a closer win in the second matchup. The total scores for both games exceeded the set over-under lines, indicating high-scoring affairs.

The most recent game on September 14, 2024, saw the Philadelphia Phillies defeat the New York Mets 6-4. The Mets initially took a 4-0 lead, capitalizing on a throwing error and a triple by Starling Marte. However, the Phillies responded with two home runs from Bryce Harper, narrowing the gap. The Phillies took the lead in the seventh inning with a double from Cal Stevenson, scoring two runs. J.T. Realmuto added an insurance run in the eighth inning with a double, finalizing the score. The Phillies recorded eight hits and one error, while the Mets had nine hits and left 18 runners on base, highlighting missed opportunities.

In the first game on September 13, 2024, the Mets dominated the Phillies with an 11-3 victory. The Mets' offense was powered by four home runs and 14 hits, while the Phillies managed only four hits and one home run. The Mets' starting pitcher, Jose Quintana, pitched a complete game, allowing just three runs. The Phillies' Aaron Nola struggled, giving up 11 runs over nine innings. The Mets' win was decisive, covering the spread and contributing to the game's total score exceeding the over-under line. This game showcased the Mets' offensive prowess and effective pitching, contrasting with the Phillies' struggles on both fronts.

New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Preview

The New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies are set to clash in the rubber match of their three-game series at Citizens Bank Park. Both teams have showcased their strengths in the first two games, with the Mets taking the opener in a commanding 11-3 victory, while the Phillies bounced back with a 6-4 win in the second game. This matchup promises to be a thrilling encounter as both teams vie for a crucial series win.

The Mets, currently holding an 81-67 record, have been impressive on the road with 41 wins this season. Their offense has been firing on all cylinders, as evidenced by their dominant performance in the series opener, where they hit four home runs. Starling Marte has been a standout performer, driving in three runs in the last game and maintaining a .375 career batting average against the Phillies. Luisangel Acuña, making his MLB debut, also made an impact with two singles, adding depth to the Mets' lineup.

On the mound for the Mets will be David Peterson, who boasts a 9-2 record with a 2.98 ERA. Peterson has been reliable, and his ability to keep the Phillies' potent lineup in check will be crucial. The Mets' pitching staff will need to be wary of Bryce Harper, who has been in excellent form, hitting two home runs in the previous game to bring his season total to 28.

The Phillies, leading the NL East with an 89-59 record, have been formidable at home, boasting a league-best 51-26 record. Their resilience was on full display in the second game, where they overcame a 4-0 deficit, thanks to Harper's heroics and a clutch double by Cal Stevenson. Philadelphia's pitching will be anchored by Cristopher Sánchez, who has a 10-9 record with a 3.33 ERA. Sánchez has been particularly effective at home, posting a 2.11 ERA at Citizens Bank Park.

Both teams have shown a propensity for high-scoring games, with the over hitting in the first two matchups of this series. The Mets and Phillies rank among the top teams in OPS against left-handed pitchers, which could lead to another offensive showcase. As the series finale approaches, fans can expect a competitive and potentially high-scoring affair as these division rivals battle for supremacy.

New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Pick: Total Runs Over

As the New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies prepare to face off in the series finale, the case for betting on the total runs over is compelling. Both teams have demonstrated a penchant for high-scoring games, with the over hitting in the first two matchups of this series. The Mets and Phillies have potent offenses that have been on display throughout the series, and their ability to generate runs is supported by their impressive OPS against left-handed pitchers. Philadelphia ranks first with a .792 OPS, while New York is not far behind, ranking fourth with a .774 OPS against southpaws. This lefty-lefty matchup on the mound, featuring David Peterson for the Mets and Cristopher Sánchez for the Phillies, plays into the strengths of both lineups.

The Phillies have been particularly effective at home, boasting a league-best 51-26 record at Citizens Bank Park, where they have consistently put up strong offensive numbers. In their last five home games, the Phillies have hit the over in four, showcasing their ability to score runs in bunches. Bryce Harper's recent resurgence, highlighted by his two home runs in the previous game, adds another layer of threat to the Phillies' lineup. Harper's power surge, combined with contributions from players like Cal Stevenson and J.T. Realmuto, who have also been instrumental in driving in runs, suggests that the Phillies are well-equipped to continue their offensive momentum.

On the other side, the Mets have shown they can score prolifically, as evidenced by their 11-3 victory in the series opener. Starling Marte's consistent performance against the Phillies, coupled with the promising debut of Luisangel Acuña, adds depth to a lineup that has been firing on all cylinders. The Mets' ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, as seen in their nine hits and multiple runs in the previous game, indicates that they are capable of contributing significantly to the total score.

Given the offensive firepower on both sides and the favorable conditions for hitters at Citizens Bank Park, the expectation is for another high-scoring affair. The trends and statistics strongly support the case for the total runs over, making it a prudent pick for this exciting matchup between two division rivals.

New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Top Player Prop Picks

David Peterson Over 4.5 Strikeouts -125 (BetMGM)

David Peterson has been a reliable force on the mound for the New York Mets, boasting a 9-2 record with a 2.98 ERA. His ability to rack up strikeouts is a key component of his game, and with the Philadelphia Phillies' lineup featuring several power hitters, Peterson will need to rely on his strikeout ability to navigate through the order. The Phillies have shown a propensity for high-scoring games, which often leads to more opportunities for strikeouts as batters swing for the fences. Given Peterson's track record and the Phillies' aggressive approach at the plate, the over on 4.5 strikeouts is a strong play.

Cristopher Sánchez Under 5.5 Hits Allowed 115 (bet365)

Cristopher Sánchez has been particularly effective at home, posting a 2.11 ERA at Citizens Bank Park. His ability to limit hits is a testament to his control and command on the mound. The Mets, while potent offensively, have shown some inconsistency, and Sánchez's home-road splits suggest he is more than capable of keeping their lineup in check. With a 1.24 WHIP and a recent run of form that has seen him excel, the under on 5.5 hits allowed is a prudent choice, especially given the favorable odds.

Starling Marte Over 0.5 Singles -140 (bet365)

Starling Marte has been a standout performer for the Mets, particularly against the Phillies, against whom he boasts a .375 career batting average. In the previous game, Marte drove in three runs and continued his success at the plate. His ability to consistently get on base and his knack for hitting singles make the over on 0.5 singles an attractive proposition. With the Mets looking to capitalize on every scoring opportunity, Marte's role as a table-setter will be crucial, and his track record suggests he will deliver.