New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 10/3/2024 7:08 PM EST

We have your New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers prop betting and game preview needs covered as the New York Mets hit the road to face the Milwaukee Brewers.

New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: New York Mets +110 (FanDuel) / Milwaukee Brewers -125 (DraftKings)
Best Spread Odds: -1.5 - New York Mets -200 (FanDuel) / Milwaukee Brewers +175 (Caesars)
Best Total Odds: 7.5 - Under -110 (FanDuel) / Over +100 (Caesars)

Game Info

Date: 10/3/2024
Time: 7:08 PM EST
Location: American Family Field (Milwaukee, Wisconsin)
TV: ESPN

New York Mets Betting Trends

On the road, the New York Mets have 44 wins and 39 losses this season.
As the favorite, the New York Mets have 39 wins and 33 losses this season.
Overall this season, the New York Mets have 90 wins and 74 losses.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

At home, the Milwaukee Brewers have 48 wins and 35 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Milwaukee Brewers have 52 wins and 35 losses this season.
Overall this season, the Milwaukee Brewers have 94 wins and 70 losses.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past month, the New York Mets and Milwaukee Brewers have faced off in five games, with the Brewers winning three and the Mets securing two victories. The home team has generally had the upper hand, winning three of these encounters, while the visiting team claimed victory twice. In terms of betting outcomes, the Brewers have covered the spread in three games, while the Mets have done so in two. The games have been relatively high-scoring, with the total score going over the set line three times and under twice. Across these matchups, the Brewers have shown a slight edge, both in terms of outright wins and against the spread.

The most recent game on October 2, 2024, saw the Milwaukee Brewers defeat the New York Mets 5-3. The Mets started strong, taking an early lead with a run in the first inning, but the Brewers quickly responded with a home run from Jackson Chourio. The Mets extended their lead to 3-1 in the second inning, but the Brewers gradually closed the gap, eventually tying the game in the eighth inning with another home run from Chourio. Garrett Mitchell's home run later in the same inning secured the win for the Brewers. The Mets struggled to capitalize on their opportunities, leaving 19 runners on base, while the Brewers managed to convert their 11 hits into five runs. The Brewers were the favorites in this matchup, with a moneyline of -110, and they successfully covered the spread.

In terms of individual performances, the Brewers' Jackson Chourio was a standout player, hitting two crucial home runs that played a significant role in their victory. The Mets' offense was led by Brandon Nimmo and Francisco Alvarez, who contributed to the team's early lead. However, the Mets' inability to convert hits into runs was a recurring issue, as evidenced by their high number of runners left on base. The Brewers' pitching staff managed to keep the Mets' hitters in check, recording seven strikeouts and allowing only three runs. This game highlighted the Brewers' ability to perform under pressure and capitalize on key moments, setting the stage for their upcoming matchup against the Mets.

New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers Preview

The New York Mets and Milwaukee Brewers are set to face off in a decisive Game 3 of their National League Wild Card series, with both teams vying for a spot in the NL Division Series against the Philadelphia Phillies. The Brewers, who have shown resilience throughout the season, will look to capitalize on their home-field advantage at American Family Field, where they have been formidable with a 48-35 record. The Mets, on the other hand, have proven to be a strong road team, boasting 44 wins away from Citi Field this season.

Milwaukee enters this game with momentum on their side, having rallied in Game 2 to even the series. The Brewers' offense was ignited by the young phenom Jackson Chourio, who made history with his two home runs, including a game-tying shot in the eighth inning. Garrett Mitchell's subsequent two-run homer sealed the victory, showcasing the Brewers' ability to perform under pressure. The Brewers' bullpen has been a key factor, delivering 5.1 innings of scoreless relief in Game 2, a testament to their depth and reliability.

The Mets, despite their Game 2 loss, have shown flashes of brilliance, particularly in their Game 1 victory where a five-run fifth inning proved decisive. However, their inability to capitalize on scoring opportunities in Game 2, leaving 19 runners on base, has been a point of concern. Jose Quintana, who has been a steady presence for the Mets, will take the mound in this crucial matchup. Quintana's recent form has been impressive, with a 0.72 ERA over his last four starts in September, and he will be looking to replicate that success against a potent Brewers lineup.

As the series reaches its climax, both teams will be relying on their key players to step up. The Brewers will hope for continued production from Chourio and Mitchell, while the Mets will look to their veteran presence in Quintana and the offensive spark from players like Brandon Nimmo and Francisco Alvarez. With the stakes at their highest, this matchup promises to be a thrilling conclusion to the Wild Card series.

New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline

The Milwaukee Brewers have demonstrated resilience and a knack for clutch performances, making them a strong pick for the moneyline in this decisive Game 3 against the New York Mets. The Brewers' ability to rally late in games was on full display in Game 2, where they overcame a deficit with a powerful eighth-inning surge, highlighted by Jackson Chourio's game-tying home run and Garrett Mitchell's go-ahead two-run shot. This ability to perform under pressure, especially at home, gives them a psychological edge heading into Game 3.

Milwaukee's home-field advantage at American Family Field cannot be overstated. With a solid 48-35 record at home this season, the Brewers have consistently leveraged their familiar surroundings to their benefit. The crowd's energy, as seen in Game 2, can be a significant factor, providing the Brewers with an extra boost when needed most.

Furthermore, the Brewers' bullpen has been a cornerstone of their success, delivering 5.1 innings of scoreless relief in Game 2. This depth and reliability in the bullpen are crucial in high-stakes games, where every pitch can alter the course of the series. The Brewers' ability to manage their pitching staff effectively, even in tight situations, positions them well for another strong performance.

On the other hand, the Mets have shown vulnerabilities, particularly in their inability to capitalize on scoring opportunities. Leaving 19 runners on base in Game 2 highlights a recurring issue that could prove costly in a win-or-go-home scenario. While Jose Quintana has been impressive with a 0.72 ERA over his last four starts, the Brewers' lineup, buoyed by Chourio's breakout performances, poses a formidable challenge.

Given these factors, the Brewers' combination of home-field advantage, bullpen strength, and clutch hitting makes them the favored choice to advance past the Mets and into the NL Division Series.

New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers Top Player Prop Picks

Jose Quintana Over 4.5 Strikeouts +133 (Caesars)

Jose Quintana has been a reliable force for the Mets, especially in high-pressure situations. With a stellar 0.72 ERA over his last four starts in September, Quintana has demonstrated his ability to control games and keep hitters off balance. His experience in postseason play, coupled with his recent form, suggests he is well-equipped to surpass the 4.5 strikeouts line. The Brewers, while potent offensively, have shown vulnerabilities against left-handed pitching, and Quintana's ability to mix his pitches effectively should allow him to exploit these weaknesses. Given the stakes of this win-or-go-home game, expect Quintana to bring his best stuff, making the over on strikeouts a compelling play.

Jackson Chourio Over 0.5 Runs Scored +116 (Caesars)

Jackson Chourio has been nothing short of sensational for the Brewers, particularly in this series against the Mets. His two home runs in Game 2, including a game-tying shot in the eighth inning, underscore his ability to impact the game significantly. As the youngest player in the majors this year, Chourio has shown poise beyond his years, and his knack for getting on base and scoring runs makes the over on 0.5 runs scored an attractive proposition. With the Brewers' offense firing on all cylinders and Chourio likely to be a central figure in their lineup, he stands a strong chance of crossing the plate at least once in this decisive matchup.

Brandon Nimmo Over 0.5 Singles +105 (DraftKings)

Brandon Nimmo has been a key contributor for the Mets, particularly in their Game 1 victory where his offensive spark helped set the tone. Despite the Mets' struggles in Game 2, Nimmo's ability to get on base remains a critical component of their offensive strategy. With a favorable matchup against Tobias Myers, who, despite his breakout season, is still relatively inexperienced in high-stakes games, Nimmo's disciplined approach at the plate should yield opportunities for singles. His knack for finding gaps and putting the ball in play makes the over on 0.5 singles a solid bet, especially given the Mets' need to generate offense early and often in this do-or-die game.