Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 9/25/2024 7:40 PM EST

We have your Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Miami Marlins hit the road to face the Minnesota Twins.

Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Miami Marlins +163 (BetRivers) / Minnesota Twins -190 (BetRivers)
Best Spread Odds: -1.5 - Miami Marlins -130 (ESPN BET) / Minnesota Twins +110 (bet365)
Best Total Odds: 8.0 - Under +100 (bet365) / Over -120 (bet365)

Game Info

Date: 9/25/2024
Time: 7:40 PM EST
Location: Target Field (Minneapolis, Minnesota)
TV: MLB.TV

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

On the road, the Miami Marlins have 28 wins and 48 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Miami Marlins have 52 wins and 85 losses this season.
This season, the Miami Marlins have 73 wins and 84 losses against the spread.

Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

At home, the Minnesota Twins have 42 wins and 34 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Minnesota Twins have 66 wins and 49 losses this season.
This season, the Minnesota Twins have 69 wins and 88 losses against the spread.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past two seasons, the Miami Marlins and the Minnesota Twins have faced each other four times. The Marlins have emerged victorious in three of these encounters, while the Twins have secured a single win. The games have been evenly split between home and away victories, with each team winning twice on the road. In terms of covering the spread, both teams have done so twice. The games have generally leaned towards lower scoring, with the total score going under the set line in two instances and over in one. Across these matchups, the Marlins have shown a slight edge, particularly in their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities.

The most recent game between these two teams took place on September 24, 2024, where the Miami Marlins defeated the Minnesota Twins 4-1. The Marlins took an early lead in the second inning with Jonah Bride's home run, followed by a series of hits that extended their lead to 4-0. The Twins managed to score a single run in the third inning, courtesy of Royce Lewis's single that brought Byron Buxton home. Miami's pitching was notably effective, maintaining an earned run average of 1.00, while Minnesota's pitching staff recorded an ERA of 4.00. The Marlins had 10 hits and 6 walks, leaving 18 runners on base, whereas the Twins had 8 hits and 3 walks, leaving 21 runners stranded.

In the previous games, the Marlins have demonstrated a balanced performance both at home and away. In their April 2023 matchups, Miami secured two wins at home, with one game featuring a complete game shutout by Sandy Alcantara. The Twins' sole victory came in a high-scoring affair where they managed to score 11 runs. The Marlins have shown a tendency to perform well against the spread, particularly when playing as underdogs. The games have varied in terms of scoring, with one game going over the total score line and two games going under, indicating a mix of offensive and defensive strengths from both teams.

Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins Preview

As the Miami Marlins prepare to face the Minnesota Twins at Target Field, both teams find themselves in contrasting positions. The Marlins, despite being in last place, have recently shown resilience, as evidenced by their 4-1 victory over the Twins. This win was marked by a strong second inning, where Jonah Bride's home run set the tone for Miami's offense. The Marlins' pitching staff was particularly effective, maintaining an impressive earned run average of 1.00, which stifled the Twins' attempts to rally.

On the other hand, the Minnesota Twins are grappling with a critical juncture in their season. Their recent struggles have seen them fall out of the playoff picture, with a disheartening record of eight losses in their last eleven games. The return of key players like Carlos Correa and Byron Buxton has not yet translated into offensive success, as the team has struggled to capitalize on scoring opportunities, leaving 21 runners stranded in their latest matchup against Miami.

Manager Rocco Baldelli has emphasized the need for a more disciplined approach at the plate, urging his players to focus on specific parts of the strike zone. However, the Twins' offense has yet to find its rhythm, having surpassed four runs only once in their last eleven games. With the season winding down and their playoff hopes dwindling, the Twins are under immense pressure to turn their fortunes around.

Historically, the Marlins have had the upper hand in recent encounters with the Twins, winning three of their last four matchups. This trend, coupled with the Twins' current offensive woes, suggests that Miami could once again pose a significant challenge. As the two teams prepare to clash, the Marlins will look to capitalize on their momentum, while the Twins aim to reignite their playoff aspirations with a much-needed victory.

Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins Pick: Minnesota Twins Against the Spread

As the Minnesota Twins prepare to host the Miami Marlins, the odds and recent trends suggest a compelling case for backing the Twins against the spread. Despite their recent struggles, the Twins have shown resilience at home, boasting a record of 42 wins and 34 losses this season. This home-field advantage could play a crucial role in their upcoming matchup against the Marlins.

While the Twins have faced a challenging stretch, losing eight of their last eleven games, they remain a formidable team when playing as favorites, with 66 wins and 49 losses in such situations. The return of key players like Carlos Correa and Byron Buxton adds depth to their lineup, and although their offensive output has been inconsistent, the potential for a breakout performance is ever-present.

On the other hand, the Marlins have struggled on the road, with a record of 28 wins and 48 losses. Their recent victory over the Twins was a testament to their ability to capitalize on opportunities, but replicating that success away from home is a daunting task. The Marlins' overall performance as underdogs has been less than stellar, with 52 wins and 85 losses, indicating a vulnerability that the Twins can exploit.

Historically, the Twins have managed to secure victories in high-scoring affairs, and with the pressure of playoff aspirations looming, they are likely to adopt a more aggressive approach. Manager Rocco Baldelli's emphasis on a disciplined plate approach could be the catalyst for a much-needed offensive resurgence. Given these factors, the Twins are well-positioned to cover the spread, leveraging their home advantage and the urgency of their playoff push to secure a crucial win against the Marlins.

Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins Top Player Prop Picks

Byron Buxton Over 0.5 Runs Scored -127 (Caesars)

Byron Buxton's return to the lineup has been a bright spot for the Minnesota Twins, and his ability to score runs will be crucial in their matchup against the Miami Marlins. Despite the Twins' recent offensive struggles, Buxton managed to score in their previous game against Miami, showcasing his potential to impact the scoreboard. With the Twins' backs against the wall in their playoff push, Buxton's speed and base-running acumen make him a strong candidate to cross the plate, especially if the Twins can capitalize on their home-field advantage and the urgency of their situation.

Nick Fortes Over 0.5 Hits -135 (bet365)

Nick Fortes has been a consistent contributor for the Miami Marlins, and his ability to get on base will be pivotal in their efforts to secure another victory over the Twins. In the recent matchup, the Marlins' offense was able to generate 10 hits, and Fortes' role in the lineup positions him well to continue this trend. Given the Twins' pitching struggles, as evidenced by their 4.00 ERA in the last game, Fortes is well-placed to find success at the plate and deliver at least one hit in this contest.

Edward Cabrera Under 5.5 Strikeouts -120 (FanDuel)

Edward Cabrera's performance on the mound will be a key factor for the Marlins, but the Twins' lineup, despite its recent inconsistencies, poses a challenge that could limit his strikeout potential. The Twins have been urged by their manager to adopt a more disciplined approach at the plate, focusing on specific parts of the strike zone. This strategy could lead to fewer strikeouts for Cabrera, as the Twins aim to make more contact and put pressure on Miami's defense. With the Twins' playoff hopes on the line, expect them to be more patient and strategic, potentially keeping Cabrera's strikeout numbers below the set line.