Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 9/25/2024 2:10 PM EST

We have your Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Seattle Mariners hit the road to face the Houston Astros.

Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Seattle Mariners -129 (BetRivers) / Houston Astros +115 (Caesars)
Best Spread Odds: 1.5 - Seattle Mariners +140 (BetMGM) / Houston Astros -162 (DraftKings)
Best Total Odds: 7.0 - Under -112 (DraftKings) / Over -105 (bet365)

Game Info

Date: 9/25/2024
Time: 2:10 PM EST
Location: Minute Maid Park (Houston, Texas)
TV: MLB.TV

Seattle Mariners Betting Trends

On the road, the Seattle Mariners have 35 wins and 45 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Seattle Mariners have 58 wins and 48 losses this season.
This season, the Seattle Mariners have hit 74 overs, 78 unders and pushed 6 times.

Houston Astros Betting Trends

At home, the Houston Astros have 46 wins and 34 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Houston Astros have 17 wins and 20 losses this season.
This season, the Houston Astros have hit 65 overs, 87 unders and pushed 6 times.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

In the past two games between the Seattle Mariners and the Houston Astros, each team has secured one victory. The games were played on September 23 and September 24, 2024. The visiting team won one game, and the home team won the other. Seattle Mariners covered the spread in both games, while the Houston Astros did not cover the spread in either game. Both games went under the total score line, with neither game exceeding the over-under set at 7.5. The Mariners recorded a total of 19 hits and 9 runs across the two games, while the Astros managed 10 hits and 5 runs. The Mariners left a significant number of runners on base, totaling 17 in the second game, which highlighted their missed opportunities to score.

In the most recent game on September 24, 2024, the Houston Astros narrowly defeated the Seattle Mariners with a final score of 4-3. The Astros, playing at home, were the favorites with a moneyline of -135, while the Mariners were the underdogs with a moneyline of +110. The game saw the Astros take an early lead with a home run by Alex Bregman in the first inning. The Mariners responded with a home run by Jorge Polanco in the second inning, and they took a 3-1 lead in the third inning. However, the Astros came back with a home run from Kyle Tucker in the fourth inning and a two-run homer by Jason Heyward in the fifth inning, which ultimately secured their victory. The Mariners had 9 hits and left 17 runners on base, while the Astros had 6 hits and left 3 runners on base. Both teams' starting pitchers, Logan Gilbert for the Mariners and Framber Valdez for the Astros, pitched the entire game, with Valdez earning the win.

In the first game on September 23, 2024, the Seattle Mariners defeated the Houston Astros 6-1. The Mariners, playing as the visiting team, were the underdogs with a moneyline of +135, while the Astros were the favorites with a moneyline of -160. The Mariners' offense was more effective, recording 13 hits and scoring 6 runs. They scored in the third, seventh, eighth, and ninth innings, with a total of 6 RBIs. The Astros struggled offensively, managing only 4 hits and scoring a single run in the eighth inning. Bryce Miller, the Mariners' starting pitcher, pitched a complete game, allowing only 4 hits and 1 run, while striking out 5 batters. Hunter Brown, the Astros' starting pitcher, also pitched the entire game but allowed 13 hits and 6 runs.

Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros Preview

The Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros are set to clash in a pivotal matchup at Minute Maid Park, with both teams having much at stake as the regular season winds down. The Mariners, currently 81-77, are fighting to keep their Wild-Card hopes alive, sitting 2.5 games out of the final spot. Meanwhile, the Astros, with an 86-72 record, have already clinched the AL West title for the fourth consecutive year, marking their seventh division crown in the last eight seasons.

Seattle will send right-hander George Kirby to the mound, who has been a reliable force with a 13-11 record and a 3.60 ERA. Kirby has been in fine form, winning four of his last five starts, including a commanding performance against Texas where he allowed just two earned runs over six innings. The Mariners will look to capitalize on his recent success to gain an edge over the Astros.

On the other side, Houston will counter with left-hander Yusei Kikuchi, who has been a revelation since joining the team mid-season. Kikuchi boasts a 9-9 record with a 4.19 ERA, but his performance with the Astros has been stellar, going 5-0 with a 3.00 ERA in nine starts. His ability to dominate on the mound will be crucial for Houston as they aim to maintain momentum heading into the postseason.

Offensively, the Mariners will rely heavily on the red-hot Jorge Polanco, who has been a standout performer with a five-game hitting streak, including a four-hit game against the Astros. Polanco's career numbers against Houston are impressive, and his recent form could be a game-changer for Seattle. Meanwhile, the Astros will look to Alex Bregman and Kyle Tucker to continue their power-hitting prowess, both having contributed significantly to Houston's recent success.

With the Mariners desperate for a win to stay in the playoff race and the Astros looking to fine-tune their game ahead of the postseason, this matchup promises to be a thrilling encounter. The Mariners' ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities and the Astros' resilience in overcoming early-season adversity will be key factors in determining the outcome of this crucial game.

Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros Pick: Total Runs Over

As the Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros prepare for their crucial matchup, the betting line for total runs is set at 7.0, and the over appears to be a compelling choice. Both teams have shown offensive capabilities that suggest a higher-scoring affair could be on the horizon. The Mariners, despite their struggles on the road, have been buoyed by the hot bat of Jorge Polanco, who has been a consistent force in their lineup. Polanco's recent performance, including a four-hit game against the Astros, highlights his ability to drive in runs and keep the Mariners competitive.

On the mound, the Mariners will rely on George Kirby, who has been solid but not immune to giving up runs, as evidenced by his 3.60 ERA. Meanwhile, the Astros will counter with Yusei Kikuchi, who has been impressive since joining Houston but still carries a 4.19 ERA. Both pitchers have the potential to allow runs, especially against lineups that have shown they can capitalize on scoring opportunities.

Furthermore, the Astros' lineup, featuring power hitters like Alex Bregman and Kyle Tucker, has the potential to put up runs quickly. Bregman, in particular, has been in fine form, contributing significantly to Houston's recent success with his power-hitting prowess. The Astros' ability to hit home runs, combined with the Mariners' recent offensive surge, suggests that the total runs could easily surpass the set line.

Additionally, the weather conditions in Houston, with the wind blowing out at 7 mph on an 85-degree evening, could further aid in balls carrying out of the park, enhancing the likelihood of a high-scoring game. Given these factors, betting on the total runs to go over seems to be a prudent choice for this matchup.

Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros Top Player Prop Picks

George Kirby Over 4.5 Strikeouts -136 (FanDuel)

George Kirby has been a reliable force for the Seattle Mariners, boasting a 13-11 record with a 3.60 ERA. His recent form has been impressive, winning four of his last five starts. In his most recent outing against Texas, Kirby allowed just two earned runs over six innings, showcasing his ability to control the game. With 173 strikeouts this season, Kirby has consistently demonstrated his strikeout potential. Given the Astros' recent offensive struggles, particularly in games where they have allowed four or more runs, Kirby is well-positioned to exceed the 4.5 strikeouts line. His ability to keep hitters off balance and his recent success make this prop a compelling choice.

Jorge Polanco Over 0.5 Hits -135 (bet365)

Jorge Polanco has been a standout performer for the Mariners, particularly in recent games. He is currently riding a five-game hitting streak, which includes a remarkable four-hit performance against the Astros. Polanco's career numbers against Houston are impressive, with a .320 batting average, and he has been instrumental in keeping Seattle's Wild-Card hopes alive. Given his current form and historical success against the Astros, betting on Polanco to record at least one hit seems like a prudent choice. His ability to consistently find gaps in the defense and drive in runs makes this prop highly favorable.

Yusei Kikuchi Over 6.5 Strikeouts -113 (Caesars)

Yusei Kikuchi has been a revelation for the Astros since joining the team mid-season. With a 5-0 record and a 3.00 ERA in nine starts for Houston, Kikuchi has been dominant on the mound. His strikeout ability is a key component of his success, as evidenced by his 198 strikeouts this season. Facing a Mariners lineup that has shown vulnerability to strikeouts, Kikuchi is well-positioned to surpass the 6.5 strikeouts line. His recent performances have been stellar, and with the Astros looking to maintain momentum heading into the postseason, Kikuchi's ability to rack up strikeouts will be crucial.