Week 2 of the NFL season kicks off tonight as the Los Angeles Chargers will take on the Kansas City Chiefs.

Tonight is also the beginning of Amazon's complete take over of the world as the game will be broadcasted exclusively on Amazon Prime Video. Kansas City has won 13 of the last 16 matchups against their AFC West foe, but the Chargers have won two of the last three, including beating the Chiefs in Arrowhead stadium last year.

Football season has not been too kind to me but is a new week, and we have a tremendous matchup to start five straight days of football.

With only one game, I have decided to give you the best prop from three of the top sportsbooks in the country, as well as the best overall bet of the night through the book I use, BOVADA. If you decide to tail our picks, we ask that you do so responsibly.

Let's pick out some winners.

 

FanDuel: Mike Williams Over 69.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

 

I am not a huge fan of Williams as I think he tends to disappear from time to time, as evident by his 10 yards on two reception performance against the Raiders. However, the Chargers will be without Keenan Allen tonight, and Williams always responds after a poor showing.

Last season, Williams averaged 8.1 targets per game, and when he went over that number, he averaged 104.6 yards per game and he totaled seven touchdowns. When he goes under that number, he is averaging 51.5 yards per game. Those are still good numbers, but it would obviously leave us well under the number.

He is going to get more opportunities tonight with Allen out, and as we can see, when he gets the opportunities, he produces. While the Chiefs' defense looked good against Arizona last week, this is a group that I expect to regress after losing Tyrann Mathieu in the offseason and the fact that they are very young in the secondary. 

 

Barstool: Travis Kelce Over 78.5 Receiving Yards (-117)

 

After trading Tyreek Hill, Kelce immediately became the best-skill player on the team, which I'm not so sure is a bad thing. Sure, the Chiefs would love to still have Hill on the roster, but Kelce has caught a pass for Kansas City in 128 straight games and against the Chargers, Kelce had two 100-yard performances, including the game-winning touchdown in his 191-yards and two touchdown performance in Los Angeles last season.

Speaking of 100-yard receiving performances, Kelce went for 121 yards and a touchdown against the Cardinals last week, giving him the 30th 100-yard game of his career, which is third all-time for tight ends. I think we overestimated how much Kansas City's skill room regressed with the trade of Hill, as you can make a legit argument that Kelce is one of, if not the best pass-catcher in the league.

Los Angeles allowed Darren Waller to go for 79 yards on only four catches, which is not too alarming considering how good Waller is, but Kelce is infinitely better, and outside of Patrick Mahomes, he is the best player on the team. Although the Chargers' defense is much improved, the Chiefs have made Kelce too integral to the offense, and that should not change tonight.

 

DraftKings Touchdown Scorer Of the Night: Justin Herbert (+360)

 

Let me be honest, I do not love the anytime touchdown scorer board tonight. I usually do not like taking a quarterback in this spot, but the trends actually support it.

Kansas City allowed the most rushing touchdowns to quarterbacks last season, and Herbert has scored three rushing touchdowns in four career games against the Chiefs, including one in the last time these teams met up.

Again, I am not a fan of this board tonight, and I personally will not be betting on it. But god bless it, that will not stop me from finding some winners for the people.

 

Bovada Best Bet: Under 54 (-110)

 

If you know me, you know it is unusual for me to take an under on primetime because that is just not fun, and sometimes, my dumb brain thinks that I can personally will a game to a ton of points if I just simply put money on the over.

But, I jumped on a trend that I discovered from a random Twitter account (insert credit to a random Twitter account I don't remember here). Thursday Night unders have been heavily profitable at this number. The under is 7-0 when the total is set at 54, and it is hitting by an average of two touchdowns.

Over the past 10 seasons, when the total is set at 50+ points on Thursday nights, the under is 23-14-1, and in divisional matchups on Thursday night, the under is 13-5-1 with a total set at 50+.

I am a little concerned with J.C. Jackson potentially being out for the Chargers, but both of these defenses looked great in Week 1, and the trends heavily support the total going under. If you are looking to pick a side, I would lay the points with Kansas City as they are 8-3 ATS in their last 11, and they have won 13 of the last 16 matchups against the Chargers.

 

Photo Credit: Embed from Getty Images