Las Vegas Raiders at Miami Dolphins Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 11/17/2024 1:00 PM EST

We have your Las Vegas Raiders at Miami Dolphins prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Las Vegas Raiders hit the road to face the Miami Dolphins.

Las Vegas Raiders at Miami Dolphins Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Las Vegas Raiders +280 (bet365) / Miami Dolphins -325 (DraftKings)
Best Spread Odds: -7.5 - Las Vegas Raiders -115 (BetMGM) / -7.0 - Miami Dolphins -110 (ESPN BET)
Best Total Odds: 44.0 - Under -110 (Caesars) / Over -110 (Caesars)

Game Info

Date: 11/17/2024
Time: 1:00 PM EST
Location: Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, FL)
TV: CBS

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

In the past three seasons, the Miami Dolphins and the Las Vegas Raiders have faced each other once, with the Dolphins emerging victorious. This matchup took place during the 2023-2024 NFL season, specifically on November 19, 2023. In this encounter, the home team, Miami Dolphins, secured the win, while the visiting Las Vegas Raiders did not manage to claim victory. The Dolphins' win also marked the only instance where the home team triumphed in this matchup. Despite Miami's victory, the Raiders managed to cover the spread, as the Dolphins were the favorites with a closing spread of -14. The game concluded with a total score of 33 points, which fell under the closing over-under line of 44.5, marking the only time the game went under in their recent history.

The most recent game between these two teams was a closely contested affair, with the Miami Dolphins defeating the Las Vegas Raiders 20-16. The Dolphins' offense was led by quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, who completed 28 of 39 passes for 325 yards and two touchdowns. Miami's offensive efforts resulted in 422 total yards, significantly outpacing the Raiders' 296 yards. Despite the Dolphins' offensive success, both teams struggled with turnovers, each committing three. The Raiders' quarterback, Aidan O'Connell, completed 24 of 41 passes for 271 yards, one touchdown, and three interceptions. The game saw a series of scoring plays, including a 38-yard touchdown pass from Tagovailoa to Tyreek Hill and a 46-yard touchdown reception by Davante Adams from O'Connell. Ultimately, the Dolphins' ability to capitalize on their offensive opportunities and maintain a lead through strategic field goals by Jason Sanders secured their victory.

In terms of individual performances, the Dolphins' passing game was a key factor in their win, with Tagovailoa's 325 passing yards and two touchdowns highlighting their aerial attack. The Raiders, on the other hand, struggled to establish a consistent ground game, managing only 36 rushing yards on 16 attempts. Miami's defense played a crucial role in their victory, recording three interceptions and limiting the Raiders' scoring opportunities. The Dolphins also controlled the time of possession, holding the ball for 32.25 minutes compared to the Raiders' 27.75 minutes. Despite the Raiders' ability to cover the spread, the Dolphins' overall performance, both offensively and defensively, was enough to secure the win in this matchup.

Las Vegas Raiders at Miami Dolphins Preview

The Las Vegas Raiders are set to face the Miami Dolphins in a Week 11 matchup that presents a significant challenge for the struggling Raiders. Coming off a bye week, the Raiders are looking to snap a five-game losing streak, a skid that has seen them fall to a 2-7 record. The team has been plagued by inconsistency at the quarterback position, with Gardner Minshew, Aidan O'Connell, and Desmond Ridder all taking turns under center. Minshew, who has been named the starter for this game, has struggled with turnovers, throwing eight interceptions and losing four fumbles this season. Despite completing a career-high 67% of his passes, Minshew's performance has not translated into success for the Raiders, who have one of the league's worst offenses.

On the other side, the Miami Dolphins, with a 3-6 record, are looking to build on their recent victory over the Los Angeles Rams. The return of quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has reinvigorated the Dolphins' offense, which has shown flashes of explosiveness. Tagovailoa's efficiency since his return from a concussion has been a bright spot, and his connection with star receiver Tyreek Hill remains a potent threat. The Dolphins' defense, ranked 10th in the league, has been a key factor in their recent performances, particularly in their ability to limit opponents on third downs.

Both teams have faced adversity this season, but the Dolphins appear to be finding their rhythm at a crucial time. The Raiders, meanwhile, are dealing with significant changes in their coaching staff, including a new interim offensive coordinator, Scott Turner. Head coach Antonio Pierce has emphasized the need for improvement in the running game and red zone efficiency, areas where the Raiders have struggled mightily. As the Raiders travel to Miami, they will need to overcome not only their own internal challenges but also the speed and efficiency of a Dolphins team eager to capitalize on their home-field advantage.

Las Vegas Raiders at Miami Dolphins Pick: Miami Dolphins Moneyline

The Miami Dolphins are poised to capitalize on their home-field advantage against a struggling Las Vegas Raiders team. The Dolphins, fresh off a morale-boosting victory over the Los Angeles Rams, have shown signs of resurgence with the return of quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. His presence has reinvigorated Miami's offense, which has averaged nearly 26 points per game over the last three contests. Tagovailoa's efficiency, completing 77.6% of his passes since returning from a concussion, has been a key factor in the Dolphins' offensive revival. The dynamic duo of Tagovailoa and Tyreek Hill presents a formidable challenge for any defense, and the Raiders' defense, which ranks 30th in points allowed, is likely to struggle against Miami's explosive playmakers.

Defensively, the Dolphins have been solid, ranking 10th in the league and excelling in third-down situations, holding opponents to a 32% conversion rate. This defensive prowess was on full display in their recent win, where they did not allow a touchdown and forced three turnovers. The Raiders, on the other hand, have been plagued by turnovers, with Gardner Minshew accounting for 12 total turnovers this season. Minshew's struggles, combined with the Raiders' inability to establish a consistent running game, make it difficult to envision them overcoming Miami's defensive strengths.

Moreover, the Raiders are dealing with significant internal challenges, including a five-game losing streak and recent changes in their coaching staff. The instability at the quarterback position, with Minshew, Aidan O'Connell, and Desmond Ridder all seeing time under center, has contributed to their offensive woes. Despite a bye week to regroup, the Raiders' offensive struggles are likely to continue against a Dolphins team that is finding its rhythm at a crucial juncture in the season.

Given the Dolphins' recent form, their home advantage, and the Raiders' ongoing struggles, Miami is well-positioned to secure a victory. The Dolphins' ability to exploit the Raiders' defensive vulnerabilities and capitalize on their offensive opportunities makes them the clear favorite in this matchup. Therefore, the pick is the Miami Dolphins on the moneyline.

Las Vegas Raiders at Miami Dolphins Top Player Prop Picks

Gardner Minshew Over 19.5 Pass Completions -110 (DraftKings)

Despite the Las Vegas Raiders' struggles this season, Gardner Minshew has been a consistent presence under center, completing a career-high 67% of his passes. While his turnover issues have been a concern, the volume of his passing attempts remains high, especially given the Raiders' need to play catch-up in many games. With the Raiders' offense ranked 30th in total yards, Minshew will likely be tasked with airing it out against a Miami Dolphins defense that ranks 10th in the league. The Dolphins have been effective in limiting opponents' scoring, but Minshew's ability to complete short and intermediate passes should allow him to surpass the 19.5 completions mark, especially as the Raiders look to exploit any defensive lapses.

Tua Tagovailoa Over 241.5 Passing Yards -110 (bet365)

Tua Tagovailoa's return has been a catalyst for the Miami Dolphins' offense, which has shown renewed vigor in recent weeks. Completing 77.6% of his passes since his return, Tagovailoa has been efficient and effective, particularly in connecting with his top target, Tyreek Hill. The Raiders' defense, which ranks 30th in points allowed, presents an opportunity for Tagovailoa to continue his strong performance. Given the Raiders' struggles to contain opposing quarterbacks and the Dolphins' need to maintain offensive momentum, Tagovailoa is well-positioned to exceed 241.5 passing yards. His ability to exploit the Raiders' secondary, combined with the Dolphins' home-field advantage, makes this a favorable prop bet.

Tyreek Hill Over 68.5 Receiving Yards -110 (bet365)

Tyreek Hill remains one of the most explosive playmakers in the NFL, and his chemistry with Tua Tagovailoa is a significant asset for the Miami Dolphins. Despite a quieter performance against the Rams, Hill's speed and route-running ability make him a constant threat to opposing defenses. The Raiders' defense, which has struggled to contain dynamic receivers, is likely to have difficulty keeping Hill in check. With Tagovailoa back under center and the Dolphins' offense finding its rhythm, Hill is poised to surpass the 68.5 receiving yards mark. His ability to break big plays and the Raiders' defensive vulnerabilities align to make this a strong prop bet.