Kansas City Royals @ Chicago White Sox Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 8/26/2025 7:40 PM EDT

We have your Kansas City Royals @ Chicago White Sox prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Kansas City Royals hit the road to face the Chicago White Sox.

Kansas City Royals @ Chicago White Sox Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Kansas City Royals -115 (ESPN BET), Chicago White Sox +105 (Caesars)
Best Spread Odds: Kansas City Royals -1.0 (+110 at BetRivers), Chicago White Sox +1.5 (-170 at Fanduel)
Best Total Odds: Over 8.5 (-110 at ESPN BET), Under 8.5 (-105 at Fanduel)

Game Info

Date: August 26, 2025
Time: 7:40 PM EDT
Location: Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago
TV: FDSKC

Kansas City Royals @ Chicago White Sox Preview

The Kansas City Royals (67-65) travel to Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (47-83) in an American League Central division matchup. The Royals, currently second in the AL Central, are looking to bounce back after a recent loss, holding a 6-4 record over their last ten games. The White Sox, despite their overall struggles this season, are on a three-game winning streak, including a commanding 7-0 victory over the Royals in the series opener. They have managed four wins in their last ten outings.

On the mound for the Royals will be right-hander Michael Lorenzen (5-8, 4.50 ERA). Lorenzen has historically performed well against the White Sox, boasting a career record of 2-0 with a 2.47 ERA in 11 appearances, and this season he holds a 1-0 record with a 1.80 ERA against Chicago. For the White Sox, left-hander Martín Pérez (1-3, 2.51 ERA) will get the start. Pérez's underlying metrics suggest he's been more effective than his record indicates, limiting damage and showing good command.

The Royals' offense is powered by key players like Bobby Witt Jr., who is batting .297 and has scored 85 runs, and Vinnie Pasquantino, leading the team with 28 home runs. Kansas City also ranks fourth in the league with 233 doubles and their pitching staff holds a solid 3.67 ERA, ranking fourth overall. The White Sox, meanwhile, have seen an offensive surge recently, scoring at least seven runs in four consecutive games, fueled by young talents such as Korey Lee and Lenyn Sosa. Sosa leads the team with 17 home runs, while Edgar Quero boasts a .284 batting average.

Both teams are dealing with some injuries. The White Sox have several pitchers on the 15-day or 60-day injured list, including Dan Altavilla, Elvis Peguero, Owen White, Miguel Castro, Drew Thorpe, Prelander Berroa, and Ky Bush. The Royals also have a number of pitchers sidelined, including Alec Marsh, Cole Ragans, Bailey Falter, Steven Cruz, Hunter Harvey, Kris Bubic, and James McArthur. Outfielder Michael Massey recently returned to the Royals lineup after a long absence due to multiple injuries.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

The Kansas City Royals have dominated the season series against the Chicago White Sox, holding an 8-3 advantage. However, the White Sox recently secured a significant 7-0 victory over the Royals, extending their current winning streak to three games. Historically, the White Sox have claimed 71 wins against the Royals, with 39 of those coming at home, while the Royals have secured 83 victories, including 31 on the road. Over the last 16 games between these two teams, the Royals hold a strong 14-2 straight-up record against the White Sox. A notable trend in recent matchups is that four of the last five games between these two clubs have stayed under the total.

Pick: Kansas City Royals Moneyline

widget-odds-mlb-su-12094-KC-CHW

Despite the Chicago White Sox's recent three-game winning streak, including a shutout victory over the Royals, the Kansas City Royals remain the favored pick in this matchup. The Royals have demonstrated season-long dominance over the White Sox, holding an 8-3 edge in their head-to-head series this year and a commanding 14-2 straight-up record in their last 16 encounters. While Martín Pérez has shown strong underlying metrics for the White Sox, Michael Lorenzen has a proven track record of success against Chicago, with a 2-0 record and a 2.47 ERA in his career against them. The Royals' overall stronger pitching staff, ranked 4th in the league with a 3.67 ERA, combined with their consistent offensive production from players like Bobby Witt Jr. and Vinnie Pasquantino, gives them the edge. My model projects the Royals to win with a score of 5-3, aligning with a straight-up victory for Kansas City.

Top Player Prop Picks

Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases

widget-props-mlb-12094-6400333

Bobby Witt Jr. has been a consistent offensive force for the Royals, boasting a .297 batting average this season. Against White Sox starter Martín Pérez, Witt Jr. has shown power potential, hitting a home run in his limited career plate appearances (1 HR in 9 PA). Given his ability to hit for extra bases, as evidenced by his recent double against the White Sox, and his overall strong season, he is well-positioned to exceed 1.5 total bases in this game. You can find the best odds for this prop at -125.

Randal Grichuk Over 0.5 Hits

widget-props-mlb-12094-6401022

Randal Grichuk has a favorable historical matchup against Martín Pérez. In 23 career plate appearances against Pérez, Grichuk has recorded 7 hits, resulting in a .318 batting average. This strong head-to-head performance, combined with the relatively low line of 0.5 hits, makes this a confident pick. The best odds for Grichuk to get over 0.5 hits are -195.

Vinnie Pasquantino Over 0.5 Hits

widget-props-mlb-12094-6400996

Vinnie Pasquantino is a key power hitter for the Royals, leading the team with 28 home runs. While specific career data against Martín Pérez is not available, Pasquantino has been described as a "hot-hitting" player recently. The market confidence in him getting at least one hit is reflected in the odds, making this a high-probability pick for the Royals' slugger. The best odds for Pasquantino to get over 0.5 hits are -240.