Kansas City Royals @ Boston Red Sox Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 8/6/2025 7:10 PM EDT

We have your Kansas City Royals @ Boston Red Sox prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Kansas City Royals hit the road to face the Boston Red Sox.

Kansas City Royals @ Boston Red Sox Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Boston Red Sox -136 on BetRivers | Kansas City Royals +120 on ESPN BET.
Best Spread Odds: Boston Red Sox -1.0 (+110) on BetRivers | Kansas City Royals +1.5 (-172).
Best Total Odds: Over 8.5 (-110) on Caesars | Under 8.5 (-104) on BetRivers.

Game Info

Date: 2025-08-06
Time: 7:10 PM EDT
Location: Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts
TV: FDSKC

Kansas City Royals @ Boston Red Sox Preview

The Boston Red Sox (64-51) are looking to complete a sweep against the Kansas City Royals (56-58) at Fenway Park. The Red Sox are currently on a dominant seven-game winning streak, including a 6-2 victory over the Royals yesterday. Their offense has been red hot during this stretch, piling up an impressive 50 runs, averaging 7.2 runs per game. Over their last 10 games, Boston has averaged 6.2 runs per game, showcasing their offensive prowess.

The Royals, on the other hand, have dropped three of their last four contests. While they are 5-6 in their last 11 road games, the Over has been a frequent outcome in their away matchups, hitting in seven of their past nine. Fenway Park itself is known to be a hitter-friendly venue, boasting a Park Factor of 105, which is the second-highest in the league.

On the mound, the Royals will send Michael Wacha (5-9, 3.38 ERA) to face the Red Sox's newly acquired Dustin May (6-7, 4.85 ERA). Wacha has been in good form recently, allowing one earned run or less in four consecutive starts. May, who joins the Red Sox from the Los Angeles Dodgers, has had a more inconsistent season, struggling over the last couple of months with a 5.59 ERA since his initial strong outings and allowing four or more earned runs in three of his last five starts. He also ranks in the 17th percentile in expected ERA (4.91).

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

In the current series, the Red Sox have taken both games, winning 8-5 on Monday and 6-2 on Tuesday. The Over (7.5) hit in Tuesday's game. Looking at recent trends, the Royals have seen the Over hit in 6 of their last 10 games, while the Red Sox have gone 4-5-1 on the Over/Under in their last 10. Across all matchups between these two teams this season, there have been two Overs and two Unders, indicating a mixed bag for totals.

Pick: Over 8.5 Total Runs

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Considering the recent offensive explosion from the Boston Red Sox, coupled with Dustin May's struggles on the mound and Fenway Park's hitter-friendly environment, the Over 8.5 total runs is a compelling pick. The Red Sox offense has been averaging over 7 runs per game during their current winning streak, and May has shown a tendency to give up runs and home runs this season. Furthermore, the Over has been a consistent trend for both teams in their recent games, hitting in three straight for the Royals and in five of the last seven for the Red Sox. The combination of a hot offense, a pitcher who has been vulnerable, and a favorable park factor points towards a high-scoring affair.

Top Player Prop Picks

Roman Anthony (Boston Red Sox) - Over 0.5 Hits

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Roman Anthony has been a consistent hitter for the Red Sox, especially recently. He has hit the over on 0.5 hits in 100% of his last 5 games and 90% of his last 10 games. Over the last 15 games, he's hit the over 80% of the time, and his season hit rate for this prop is 67.39%. When playing at home in 2025, he's hit the over 68.0% of the time. Given his strong recent form and consistent hitting, taking the over on 0.5 hits at -235 odds on BetMGM is a solid play.

Dustin May (Boston Red Sox) - Over 4.5 Hits Allowed

Dustin May has struggled with allowing hits this season, and his recent performances indicate this trend is likely to continue. He has allowed over 4.5 hits in 80% of his last 5 games and 80% of his last 10 games. Over the last 15 games, he's hit the over 86.67% of the time. For the season, he's allowed over 4.5 hits in 73.68% of his appearances. In his only 2025 matchup against the Kansas City Royals, he allowed 6 hits, hitting the over 100% of the time. With the Royals' offense looking to bounce back and May's recent struggles, the over on 4.5 hits allowed at -145 odds on Caesars is a strong pick.

Bobby Witt Jr. (Kansas City Royals) - Over 1.5 Bases

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Bobby Witt Jr. has been a consistent power threat for the Royals, and he's in good form heading into this matchup. He has hit the over on 1.5 bases in 80% of his last 5 games and 80% of his last 10 games. Over the last 15 games, he's hit the over 60% of the time, and his season hit rate for this prop is 53.98%. When playing on the road in 2025, he's hit the over 56.14% of the time. Notably, in his career against Dustin May, Witt Jr. has a home run in their limited matchups. With a .925 OPS over the last two weeks and two home runs in that span, Witt Jr. is poised for a strong performance. Taking the over on 1.5 bases at -117 odds on Pinnacle is a favorable bet.