Jacksonville Jaguars at Buffalo Bills Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 9/23/2024 7:30 PM EST

We have your Jacksonville Jaguars at Buffalo Bills prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Jacksonville Jaguars hit the road to face the Buffalo Bills.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Buffalo Bills Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Jacksonville Jaguars +210 (ESPN Bet) / Buffalo Bills -250 (ESPN Bet)
Best Spread Odds: -5.5 - Jacksonville Jaguars -105 (ESPN BET) / Buffalo Bills -115 (ESPN BET)
Best Total Odds: 48.5 - Under -120 (Caesars) / 45.5 - Over -110 (ESPN BET)

Game Info

Date: 9/23/2024
Time: 7:30 PM EST
Location: Highmark Stadium (Orchard Park, NY)
TV: ESPN

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

In the past three seasons, the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Buffalo Bills have faced each other once, with the game taking place on October 8, 2023. In this matchup, the Jaguars emerged victorious, marking their sole win against the Bills during this period. The game was played with the Jaguars as the visiting team, and they managed to secure the win both outright and against the spread. The game did not hit the over, as the total score was 45 points, which was under the closing over-under line of 48.5 points. This single encounter saw the Jaguars outperform the Bills in several key areas, including total yards and time of possession.

In the most recent game, the Jaguars defeated the Bills with a final score of 25-20. The Jaguars' offense was led by Trevor Lawrence, who threw a 6-yard touchdown pass to Zay Jones in the first quarter. Brandon McManus contributed with a 44-yard field goal, and Travis Etienne Jr. added two rushing touchdowns in the fourth quarter. The Jaguars achieved 29 first downs and accumulated 474 total yards, dominating the time of possession with 38:12 minutes. Despite two turnovers, the Jaguars' offense was efficient, converting 10 of 18 third downs. On the defensive side, the Jaguars managed to recover one fumble and intercept one pass.

The Bills, on the other hand, struggled to keep up with the Jaguars' offensive output. Josh Allen connected with Stefon Diggs for a 15-yard touchdown in the second quarter and later found Gabe Davis for a 19-yard touchdown pass in the fourth quarter. Allen also scored a 3-yard rushing touchdown. However, the Bills' offense was limited to 18 first downs and 388 total yards, with a significant disparity in rushing yards compared to the Jaguars. The Bills' defense recorded five sacks but could not capitalize on the Jaguars' turnovers. The game was marked by penalties, with the Bills committing 11 for 109 yards, which further hindered their performance.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Buffalo Bills Preview

The Jacksonville Jaguars are set to face the Buffalo Bills in a crucial Week 3 matchup on Monday Night Football. The Jaguars, currently 0-2, are coming off a disappointing start to the 2024 season, having lost to both the Miami Dolphins and the Cleveland Browns. Despite a promising offseason and training camp, the Jaguars' offense has struggled to find its rhythm, scoring only 30 points over the first two games. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence has been candid about the team's offensive woes, acknowledging the need for improvement across the board, from himself to the coaching staff.

In their recent loss to the Browns, the Jaguars managed to outgain their opponents in total yardage but faltered in critical situations, converting just 3 of 9 third downs and 1 of 4 red zone opportunities. Lawrence's performance has been under scrutiny, as he has completed only 60% of his passes with a nearly even touchdown-to-interception ratio over his last seven games. The Jaguars' defense, however, has shown resilience, allowing only 38 points in two games, which should provide some optimism as they prepare to face a potent Bills offense.

The Buffalo Bills, on the other hand, have started the season strong with a 2-0 record. Led by quarterback Josh Allen, the Bills have demonstrated a balanced offensive attack, with Allen throwing for 371 yards and three touchdowns without an interception thus far. The Bills' running game, highlighted by James Cook's three-touchdown performance against the Dolphins, has been a key component of their success. Despite injuries to key defensive players, the Bills have managed to maintain a solid defensive front, which will be crucial against a Jaguars team eager to turn their season around.

Historically, the Jaguars have been a challenging opponent for the Bills, having won three of their last four meetings, including a notable victory in London last season. As the Jaguars head to Highmark Stadium, they will need to address their offensive inefficiencies and capitalize on any opportunities presented by the Bills' defense. With both teams having much at stake, this matchup promises to be a compelling contest under the Monday night lights.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Buffalo Bills Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars Against the Spread

The Jacksonville Jaguars, despite their 0-2 start, present a compelling case to cover the spread against the Buffalo Bills. Historically, the Jaguars have been a thorn in the side of the Bills, winning three of their last four encounters, including a significant victory in London last season. This history suggests that the Jaguars have the capability to challenge the Bills, even when the odds are stacked against them.

While the Jaguars' offense has struggled to find its footing, scoring only 30 points in their first two games, there are signs of potential. Trevor Lawrence, despite his recent struggles, has shown flashes of brilliance and is supported by a talented group of players, including rookie wide receiver Brian Thomas Jr., who has already made an impact with his big-play ability. The Jaguars' defense has been a bright spot, allowing just 38 points over two games, which could help keep the game within reach.

On the other hand, the Bills, although off to a strong 2-0 start, have not been without their challenges. Injuries to key defensive players could provide the Jaguars with opportunities to exploit gaps in the Bills' defense. Additionally, while Josh Allen has been efficient, the Bills' passing game has yet to fully ignite, with several key receivers still finding their rhythm.

Given the Jaguars' historical success against the Bills and the potential for their offense to improve, taking Jacksonville to cover the spread seems a prudent choice. The Jaguars are a team with their backs against the wall, and this desperation could fuel a performance that keeps the game closer than expected, making them a viable pick against the spread.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Buffalo Bills Top Player Prop Picks

Trevor Lawrence Over 220.5 Passing Yards (-110) (ESPN BET)

Despite the Jaguars' offensive struggles, Trevor Lawrence has shown the ability to accumulate passing yards, as evidenced by his 220-yard performance against the Browns. The Jaguars' offense, while inconsistent, has the potential to exploit the Bills' defense, which is dealing with injuries to key players. Lawrence's connection with rookie wide receiver Brian Thomas Jr., who has demonstrated big-play capability, could be pivotal in surpassing this passing yardage line. Given the Jaguars' historical success against the Bills and Lawrence's need to step up, betting on the over for his passing yards seems a solid choice.

Josh Allen Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-120) (Caesars)

Josh Allen has been efficient in the early part of the season, throwing three touchdowns without an interception. Facing a Jaguars defense that has allowed 38 points over two games, Allen is poised to continue his strong start. The Bills' offense, while balanced, will likely rely on Allen's arm to capitalize on the Jaguars' defensive vulnerabilities, especially with the potential for a high-scoring affair. With Allen's track record and the Bills' need to maintain their winning momentum, the over on 1.5 passing touchdowns is a favorable prop.

Brian Thomas Jr. Over 47.5 Receiving Yards (-115) (DraftKings)

Rookie wide receiver Brian Thomas Jr. has quickly become a key target for Trevor Lawrence, highlighted by his 94-yard performance against the Browns. With the Jaguars' offense looking to rebound and capitalize on the Bills' defensive injuries, Thomas Jr.'s ability to stretch the field makes him a prime candidate to exceed this receiving yardage line. His big-play potential and Lawrence's reliance on him in crucial situations suggest that Thomas Jr. will continue to be a focal point in the Jaguars' passing attack, making the over on his receiving yards an attractive proposition.