Houston Rockets @ Oklahoma City Thunder Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 3/3/2025 8:00 PM EST

We have your Houston Rockets @ Oklahoma City Thunder prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Oklahoma City Thunder host the Houston Rockets in a Western Conference showdown.

Houston Rockets @ Oklahoma City Thunder Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Thunder -400 at BetRivers, Rockets +390 at FanDuel.
Best Spread Odds: Thunder -9.5 (-114) at BetRivers, Rockets +10.0 (-108) at FanDuel.
Best Total Odds: Over 228.0 (-108) at BetRivers, Under 228.5 (-110) at BetMGM.

Game Info

Date: March 3, 2025
Time: 8:00 PM EST
Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
TV: NBA TV, FDSOK, SCHN

Houston Rockets @ Oklahoma City Thunder Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder (49-11) are the top team in the Western Conference and enter this game on a three-game winning streak. They boast the league's fourth-best offense, averaging 119.4 points per game, and the second-best defense, allowing just 106.6 points per game. The Thunder have been dominant at home with a 26-4 record and have won their last six home games by at least 12 points.

The Houston Rockets (37-23) are fifth in the Western Conference but have struggled recently, losing six straight road games. They are coming off a 113-103 home loss to the Sacramento Kings. Injuries could play a significant role in this matchup, as key players like Fred VanVleet, Alperen Sengun, and Dillon Brooks are either out or questionable. The Rockets will need a strong performance to compete with the Thunder, who have already beaten them twice this season.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

The Thunder lead the all-time head-to-head series 123-118. This season, the Thunder hold a 2-1 advantage over the Rockets, including a 126-107 win at home on November 9 and a 111-96 victory in the NBA Cup semifinals. The Rockets' lone win came at home, 119-116, on December 2. In their last 10 meetings, the Thunder have a 6-4 edge, including a 4-1 record in the last five games played in Oklahoma City.

Pick: Thunder -9.5

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The Thunder are heavy favorites in this matchup, and for good reason. They have been dominant at home and have consistently beaten the Rockets by double digits this season. With the Rockets dealing with injuries and playing the first leg of a back-to-back, this game could be a blowout. The Thunder's high-powered offense and strong defense make them the clear choice to cover the spread.

Top Player Prop Picks

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 31.5 Points

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been on fire, averaging 32.3 points per game this season. He scored 31 points in the Thunder's last game and has consistently delivered in high-stakes matchups. The Rockets' defense, while solid, may struggle to contain him, especially with injuries to key players.

Jalen Williams Over 20.5 Points

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Jalen Williams is coming off a career-high 41-point performance against the Spurs. With the Thunder's offense firing on all cylinders, Williams should have plenty of opportunities to score against a Rockets team that has struggled defensively on the road.

Alperen Sengun Over 10.5 Rebounds

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If Sengun plays, he will be a key factor on the boards. He is averaging 10.5 rebounds per game and will need to dominate the glass to give the Rockets a chance. The Thunder rank 25th in total rebounds allowed, making this a favorable matchup for Sengun.

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