Houston Rockets @ Indiana Pacers Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 3/4/2025 7:00 PM EST

We have your Houston Rockets @ Indiana Pacers prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Indiana Pacers host the Houston Rockets at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

Houston Rockets @ Indiana Pacers Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Pacers -150 (BetRivers), Rockets +142 (FanDuel).
Best Spread Odds: Pacers -3.5 (-108, DraftKings), Rockets +3.5 (-108, FanDuel).
Best Total Odds: Over 230.0 (-110, FanDuel), Under 231.5 (-108, DraftKings).

Game Info

Date: March 4, 2025
Time: 7:00 PM EST
Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
TV: -

Houston Rockets @ Indiana Pacers Preview

The Indiana Pacers (34-25) host the Houston Rockets (37-24) in a matchup of two teams vying for playoff positioning in their respective conferences. The Pacers are coming off a dominant 127-112 win over the Chicago Bulls, while the Rockets are looking to bounce back after a 137-128 loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder. Indiana has been strong at home this season with an 18-10 record, while Houston has struggled on the road recently, losing their last seven away games.

Key injuries could play a significant role in this game. The Rockets are dealing with a depleted roster, with Fred VanVleet, Dillon Brooks, Alperen Sengun, and Amen Thompson all listed as day-to-day. Meanwhile, the Pacers are relatively healthy, with only Bennedict Mathurin nursing a minor wrist injury. Indiana’s offensive efficiency, led by Tyrese Haliburton and Pascal Siakam, will be a key factor as they look to exploit Houston’s undermanned lineup.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Since 2005, the Indiana Pacers and Houston Rockets have faced off 48 times, with the Pacers winning 25 games and the Rockets winning 23. The average points per game in these matchups are nearly identical, with the Rockets averaging 105.6 and the Pacers averaging 104.6. However, in the last 10 meetings, the Pacers have dominated, winning nine of those games. Notably, the Pacers have not lost at home to the Rockets since 2018, further solidifying their home-court advantage in this matchup.

Pick: Pacers -3.5

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The Pacers are the pick to cover the -3.5 spread. Indiana has been strong at home and is coming off a convincing win against the Bulls. Meanwhile, the Rockets are on the second night of a back-to-back and are dealing with significant injuries to key players. The Pacers’ offensive efficiency and home-court advantage make them the more reliable choice in this matchup.

Top Player Prop Picks

1. Jalen Green Over 24.5 Points

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Jalen Green has been a consistent scorer for the Rockets, averaging 21.6 points per game this season. With several key players out, Green will likely take on an even larger offensive role. His scoring ability makes the over on 24.5 points an appealing pick.

2. Tyrese Haliburton Over 8.5 Assists

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Tyrese Haliburton has been a playmaking machine for the Pacers, averaging 8.8 assists per game. Against a Rockets team that struggles defensively on the perimeter, Haliburton should have plenty of opportunities to rack up assists.

3. Pascal Siakam Over 20.5 Points

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Pascal Siakam has been a reliable scorer for the Pacers, averaging 20.6 points per game. With the Rockets’ interior defense weakened by injuries, Siakam is well-positioned to exceed his scoring average in this game.

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