Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 8/11/2025 7:40 PM EDT

We have your Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Detroit Tigers hit the road to face the Chicago White Sox.

Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Detroit Tigers -141 (BetRivers) | Chicago White Sox +125 (ESPN BET)
Best Spread Odds: Detroit Tigers -1.0 (-110) (BetRivers) | Chicago White Sox +1.5 (-130) (Caesars)
Best Total Odds: Over 8.5 (-120) (Caesars) | Under 9.0 (-118) (DraftKings)

Game Info

Date: 2025-08-11
Time: 7:40 PM EDT
Location: Rate Field, Chicago
TV: FDSDE

Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox Preview

The Detroit Tigers (68-51) travel to Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (43-75) in an American League Central matchup. The Tigers are looking to solidify their playoff chances, currently leading their division, while the White Sox are fighting to recover from a challenging season, sitting at the bottom of the AL Central standings. The computer prediction for this game projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Tigers.

Detroit enters this game in solid form, having secured 5 wins in their last 10 games and consistently averaging around 5 runs per game. Their offense has shown significant power, ranking 6th in slugging percentage and 8th in home runs this season. Key players like Spencer Torkelson (25 home runs) and Riley Greene (leading the team in RBIs) are crucial to their offensive output. Chris Paddack (4-10, 4.91 ERA) is expected to start for the Tigers. While his ERA is 4.91, his WHIP of 1.25 indicates his ability to limit base runners. The Tigers will be without outfielder Matt Vierling, who is on the 10-day IL with a left oblique strain, though the injury is considered mild. Wenceel Pérez and Wilmer Flores are listed as day-to-day.

The Chicago White Sox recently snapped a six-game losing streak with a 6-4 win over the Cleveland Guardians. Despite this recent win, their season has been turbulent, marked by offensive struggles, averaging just 3.83 runs per game and ranking second worst in batting average. They have a 4-6 record over their last ten games. Elvis Peguero (0-0, 4.91 ERA) will be making his first career start for the White Sox. Peguero has pitched only 7.1 innings this season, suggesting this will likely be a bullpen game for Chicago. The White Sox have several players on the injured list, including Martín Pérez, Chase Meidroth, Miguel Vargas, and Noah Schultz.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

In their head-to-head history, the Chicago White Sox have amassed 91 wins, with 40 of those victories coming on their home turf. The Detroit Tigers have secured 82 victories, with 32 of those on the road. More recently, the Tigers have dominated the 2025 season series against the White Sox, holding a 5-2 record. The Tigers have also shown a strong offensive performance against White Sox pitching this season, boasting a .278 batting average in their seven matchups, while the White Sox are hitting just .236 against Detroit. Notably, the Tigers went over the total in all three of their most recent head-to-head games against the White Sox.

Pick: Detroit Tigers Moneyline

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The Detroit Tigers are the clear favorite in this matchup, and for good reason. Their strong 68-51 season record and their commanding 5-2 lead in the season series against the White Sox highlight their superiority. The pitching matchup heavily favors Detroit, with Chris Paddack, an experienced starter, taking the mound against Elvis Peguero, who is making his first career start for the White Sox and has limited innings pitched this season. This suggests Chicago will rely heavily on a bullpen that has struggled to contain opponents. Furthermore, Detroit's offense has consistently performed well against White Sox pitching, hitting .278 in their head-to-head contests this season. The sharp money also aligns with this pick, showing a 56.83% sharp win percentage for the Tigers. Considering these factors, backing the Detroit Tigers to win straight up at -141 odds via BetRivers is the advised play.

Top Player Prop Picks

Wenceel Pérez Over 0.5 Hits

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Wenceel Pérez has been a consistent hitter for the Tigers, demonstrating strong recent form. He has hit over 0.5 hits in 80% of his last 5 games and 80% of his last 10 games. His season-long hit rate for this prop stands at 62.07%. When playing on the road in 2025, he has hit the over in 72% of his appearances. Most impressively, Pérez has hit over 0.5 hits in 100% of his 4 matchups against the White Sox in 2025, averaging 1.5 hits per game. Despite being listed as day-to-day, his strong historical performance against this opponent makes him a compelling pick. You can find this prop at -210 odds on BetMGM.

Zach McKinstry Over 0.5 Bases

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Zach McKinstry has shown a knack for getting on base, making the over 0.5 bases prop an attractive option. He has hit over this line in 80% of his last 5 games and 70% of his last 10 games. His season hit rate for this prop is 62.26%. Against the White Sox in 2025, McKinstry has been particularly effective, hitting over 0.5 bases in 83.33% of his 6 games, with an average of 1.17 bases. His performance on the road in 2025 also supports this pick, with a 52% hit rate for the over. This prop is available at -135 odds on Caesars.

Luis Robert Jr. Over 0.5 Hits

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Despite the White Sox's struggles, Luis Robert Jr. remains a key offensive threat. He has consistently hit over 0.5 hits in recent games, doing so in 60% of his last 5 games, 80% of his last 10 games, and an impressive 85% of his last 20 games. His season-long hit rate for this prop is 56.7%. While his 2025 performance against the Tigers specifically has been lower (25% over in 4 games), his overall strong hitting trends and his home performance (52.08% over at home in 2025) suggest he is likely to get at least one hit in this contest. The odds for this prop are -225 on BetMGM.

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