Denver Nuggets at Miami Heat Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 1/17/2025 8:00 PM EST

We have your Denver Nuggets at Miami Heat prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Denver Nuggets hit the road to face the Miami Heat.

Denver Nuggets at Miami Heat Odds Info

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Best Spread Odds: -1.5 - Denver Nuggets -110 (FanDuel) / Miami Heat -110 (FanDuel)
Best Total Odds: 226.5 - Under -110 (BetMGM) / 225.5 - Over -115 (ESPN BET)

Game Info

Date: 1/17/2025
Time: 8:00 PM EST
Location: Kaseya Center (Miami, FL)
TV: NBA League Pass

Denver Nuggets Betting Trends

On the road, the Denver Nuggets have 12 wins and 8 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Denver Nuggets have 6 wins and 6 losses this season.
This season, the Denver Nuggets have hit 25 overs and 15 unders.

Miami Heat Betting Trends

At home, the Miami Heat have 10 wins and 7 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Miami Heat have 14 wins and 9 losses this season.
This season, the Miami Heat have hit 21 overs and 18 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past two seasons, the Denver Nuggets and Miami Heat have faced off three times, with Denver emerging victorious in all three encounters. The games were split between home and away venues, with the home team winning twice and the visiting team securing one victory. In terms of betting outcomes, Denver covered the spread in two of the three games, while Miami managed to cover the spread once. The games have generally leaned towards lower scoring, with the total score going under the set line in two of the three matchups, and only once did the game go over.

The most recent game between these two teams took place on November 8, 2024, where the Denver Nuggets defeated the Miami Heat 135-122. Denver, playing at home, was the favorite with a point spread of -3.0 and successfully covered the spread with a 13-point victory margin. The game was high-scoring, with a total of 257 points, significantly surpassing the over-under line of 221.5. Key performances included Nikola Jokic's triple-double with 30 points, 11 rebounds, and 14 assists, and Jamal Murray's contribution of 28 points. The Nuggets shot an impressive 61.7% from the field and 51.4% from three-point range, capitalizing on Miami's 18 turnovers to score 29 points off those mistakes.

In the other two games, Denver continued to demonstrate their dominance. On March 13, 2024, Denver won 100-88 in Miami, covering the spread as a 3.5-point favorite. The game total of 188 points fell well below the over-under line of 216.5. Earlier, on February 29, 2024, Denver secured a 103-97 victory at home, although Miami covered the spread as a 6.5-point underdog. This game also went under the total, with a combined score of 200 points against a line of 214.5. Across these matchups, Denver consistently outperformed Miami, both in terms of scoring and defensive metrics, maintaining a strong record against the Heat.

Denver Nuggets at Miami Heat Preview

The Denver Nuggets and Miami Heat are set to clash in a highly anticipated matchup at the Kaseya Center, with both teams eager to assert their dominance. The Nuggets, boasting a 24-16 record, are looking to rebound from a recent setback against the Houston Rockets, where they fell 128-108. This loss snapped their four-game winning streak and highlighted the absence of their star center, Nikola Jokic, who is currently listed as questionable due to a right elbow sprain. Jokic's potential return could be pivotal, as he has been instrumental in the Nuggets' success, ranking among the league's top three in points, assists, and rebounds.

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat, with a 20-19 record, are returning home after a challenging six-game west coast trip. They are eager to halt a two-game losing streak and capitalize on Denver's injury concerns. The spotlight will be on Jimmy Butler, who is expected to make his return following a seven-game suspension. Butler's presence could provide a much-needed boost for the Heat, who have struggled in his absence. His return comes amid ongoing trade speculations, adding an intriguing subplot to the game.

Both teams have shown resilience this season, with the Nuggets excelling on the road and the Heat maintaining a solid home record. Denver's offensive prowess, led by Jamal Murray and Michael Porter Jr., will be tested against Miami's defensive strategies. The Heat, on the other hand, will rely on the scoring abilities of Tyler Herro and the defensive tenacity of Bam Adebayo to counter Denver's threats. As the two teams prepare to face off, the game promises to be a thrilling encounter, with both sides eager to secure a crucial victory in their respective campaigns.

Denver Nuggets at Miami Heat Pick: Total Points Over

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The upcoming clash between the Denver Nuggets and Miami Heat is poised to be a high-scoring affair, making the over on the total points an enticing pick. Historically, when these two teams have met, the games have often leaned towards higher scoring outcomes. In their most recent encounter on November 8, 2024, the Nuggets triumphed over the Heat with a 135-122 victory, a game that saw a combined total of 257 points, significantly surpassing the over-under line of 221.5. This trend of high-scoring games is further supported by Denver's offensive capabilities, particularly when Nikola Jokic is on the floor. Jokic, who is questionable for this matchup, has been a pivotal force for the Nuggets, ranking among the league's top three in points, assists, and rebounds. His potential return could bolster Denver's scoring prowess, as evidenced by his triple-double performance in their last meeting with Miami.

Moreover, the Nuggets have demonstrated a strong offensive rhythm this season, with Jamal Murray and Michael Porter Jr. contributing significantly to their scoring efforts. Denver's ability to capitalize on turnovers, as seen in their previous matchup where they scored 29 points off Miami's 18 turnovers, further underscores their offensive threat. On the other hand, the Miami Heat, despite their recent struggles, have the potential to put up points, especially with the anticipated return of Jimmy Butler. Butler's presence could rejuvenate Miami's offense, adding another layer of scoring capability alongside Tyler Herro and Bam Adebayo.

Both teams have shown a propensity for hitting the over this season, with the Nuggets achieving 25 overs and the Heat 21. Given the offensive firepower on both sides and the historical context of their matchups, this game is likely to see a flurry of points. As such, betting on the total points to go over appears to be a well-supported choice for this exciting matchup.

Denver Nuggets at Miami Heat Top Player Prop Picks

Nikola Jokic Over 12.5 Rebounds -110 (DraftKings)

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Nikola Jokic's potential return to the lineup is a significant factor for the Denver Nuggets, especially in the rebounding department. Jokic, who is listed as questionable due to a right elbow sprain, has been a dominant force on the boards, ranking third in the league in rebounds. His presence on the court is crucial for the Nuggets, as evidenced by their struggles in his absence against the Houston Rockets. If Jokic plays, his ability to control the glass will be pivotal against a Miami Heat team that relies heavily on Bam Adebayo's rebounding prowess. Given Jokic's track record and the importance of this game, taking the over on his rebounds seems a solid bet.

Jimmy Butler Over 3.5 Assists -145 (DraftKings)

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Jimmy Butler's return from a seven-game suspension is set to provide a much-needed boost to the Miami Heat's playmaking capabilities. Despite the ongoing trade speculations, Butler remains a key facilitator for the Heat, and his ability to distribute the ball effectively will be crucial against the Nuggets. With Tyler Herro and Bam Adebayo as primary scoring options, Butler's role as a playmaker becomes even more significant. His return is expected to rejuvenate Miami's offense, and with the Heat looking to capitalize on Denver's injury concerns, Butler's assist line is an attractive proposition for bettors.

Tyler Herro Over 24.5 Points -113 (FanDuel)

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Tyler Herro has been a consistent scoring threat for the Miami Heat, leading the team in points per game. With Jimmy Butler's return, Herro will likely benefit from increased spacing and playmaking support, allowing him to focus on his scoring. The Nuggets' defensive focus will be split between Herro and Butler, potentially giving Herro more opportunities to exploit mismatches. Given his scoring prowess and the Heat's need to bounce back from a two-game losing streak, Herro is poised to have a significant impact on the scoreboard, making the over on his points a compelling choice.

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