NFL Pickwatch - Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies Player Props, Picks and Predictions

Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 11/19/2024 8:00 PM EST

We have your Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Denver Nuggets hit the road to face the Memphis Grizzlies.

Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Denver Nuggets +150 (ESPN BET) / Memphis Grizzlies -175 (DraftKings)
Best Spread Odds: -4.5 - Denver Nuggets -115 (ESPN BET) / Memphis Grizzlies -105 (ESPN BET)
Best Total Odds: 227.5 - Under -110 (bet365) / 226.5 - Over -115 (BetMGM)

Game Info

Date: 11/19/2024
Time: 8:00 PM EST
Location: FedExForum (Memphis, TN)
TV: NBA League Pass

Denver Nuggets Betting Trends

On the road, the Denver Nuggets have 2 wins and 3 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Denver Nuggets have 1 wins and 2 losses this season.
This season, the Denver Nuggets have hit 8 overs and 4 unders.

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Trends

At home, the Memphis Grizzlies have 5 wins and 2 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Memphis Grizzlies have 7 wins and 3 losses this season.
This season, the Memphis Grizzlies have hit 9 overs and 5 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past two seasons, the Denver Nuggets and Memphis Grizzlies have faced each other five times. During these matchups, the Nuggets emerged victorious in four games, while the Grizzlies secured a win in one. The home team has won three of these encounters, with the visiting team claiming victory twice. In terms of covering the spread, Denver has managed to do so in three games, whereas Memphis has covered the spread in two. The games have seen a mix of scoring outcomes, with the total score going over the set line three times and under twice. These statistics highlight a competitive series, with Denver generally having the upper hand in recent meetings.

The most recent game between these two teams took place on November 17, 2024, with the Memphis Grizzlies defeating the Denver Nuggets 105-90. Memphis, playing at home, was favored with a point spread of -6.0 and successfully covered it, winning by a margin of 15 points. The Grizzlies showcased a balanced offensive effort, led by Jaren Jackson Jr., who scored 20 points. Jaylen Wells and Desmond Bane also contributed significantly, adding 15 and 11 points, respectively. Memphis outperformed Denver in several key areas, including field goal percentage (45.1% to 41.7%), rebounds (45 to 39), and assists (31 to 23). The Grizzlies capitalized on Denver's 15 turnovers, converting them into 21 points, which played a crucial role in their victory.

In contrast, the Denver Nuggets struggled offensively, with Julian Strawther leading the team with 19 points. Despite his efforts, the Nuggets were unable to match Memphis's efficiency and ball movement. Denver's shooting woes were evident, as they managed only a 41.7% field goal percentage and a 32.3% success rate from beyond the arc. The Nuggets also faced challenges in maintaining possession, committing 15 turnovers, which Memphis exploited effectively. This game marked a rare win for the Grizzlies in their recent encounters with the Nuggets, as Denver has generally dominated the series over the past two seasons.

Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies Preview

The Denver Nuggets and Memphis Grizzlies are set to clash once again, this time in a pivotal NBA Cup matchup at the FedExForum. The Grizzlies, riding high on a four-game home winning streak, will look to capitalize on their recent victory over the Nuggets, where they secured a commanding 105-90 win. This triumph was marked by a robust performance from Jaren Jackson Jr., who led the team with 20 points, and a solid contribution from Desmond Bane, who notched a double-double with 11 points and 11 rebounds. The Grizzlies' ability to dominate the paint and control the boards was evident, as they outrebounded the Nuggets 45-39, a testament to their physical style of play.

For the Nuggets, the absence of their star center Nikola Jokic has been a significant hurdle. Jokic, who is currently listed as questionable due to personal reasons, has been the linchpin of Denver's offense, leading the league in rebounds and assists. His absence has placed additional pressure on Jamal Murray, who has struggled to find his rhythm, shooting just 39.9% from the field this season. The Nuggets will need Murray to step up and fill the void left by Jokic if they hope to reverse their fortunes against a resilient Grizzlies squad.

Memphis, on the other hand, has been dealing with its own injury woes. The team has been without Ja Morant, who is sidelined with a hip injury, and Zach Edey, who is out with an ankle injury. Despite these setbacks, the Grizzlies have shown remarkable depth and resilience, with players like Bane and Jackson Jr. stepping up to lead the charge. Coach Taylor Jenkins has emphasized the importance of maintaining their standard of play, regardless of who is on the floor, and this philosophy has kept the Grizzlies competitive.

As both teams prepare for this crucial encounter, the battle for rebounds and control of the paint will likely be decisive. The Grizzlies have been one of the top rebounding teams in the league, averaging 47.8 rebounds per game, and they will aim to leverage this strength against a Nuggets team that has struggled without their MVP. With both teams eager to assert their dominance, fans can expect a fiercely contested game that could very well turn into a high-scoring affair.

Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies Pick: Total Points Over

As the Denver Nuggets prepare to face the Memphis Grizzlies, the potential for a high-scoring affair is evident, making the over on the total points an enticing pick. Both teams have shown a propensity for hitting the over this season, with the Grizzlies achieving it in nine of their games and the Nuggets in eight. This trend suggests that both teams are capable of putting up significant points, especially when considering their recent performances.

The Grizzlies have been particularly effective at home, boasting a 5-2 record, and have consistently demonstrated their ability to score in bunches. In their recent victory over the Nuggets, Memphis managed to put up 105 points, despite missing key players like Ja Morant and Zach Edey. Jaren Jackson Jr. and Desmond Bane have stepped up in their absence, providing the offensive firepower needed to keep the Grizzlies competitive. With Bane returning to form and contributing across the board, Memphis's offense is well-equipped to exploit any defensive lapses by Denver.

On the other hand, the Nuggets, even without their star center Nikola Jokic, have shown they can still generate offense. Julian Strawther's 19-point performance in the last matchup against Memphis highlights Denver's ability to find scoring from different sources. While Jamal Murray has struggled with his shooting, the Nuggets' need for him to step up in Jokic's absence could lead to a more aggressive offensive approach, potentially increasing their scoring output.

Furthermore, both teams have been involved in games where the total score has frequently surpassed the set line. The Grizzlies' recent games have seen a mix of scoring outcomes, but their ability to capitalize on turnovers and dominate the paint suggests they can maintain a high pace. Meanwhile, the Nuggets' defensive vulnerabilities, exacerbated by Jokic's absence, could lead to a more open game, allowing for plenty of scoring opportunities on both ends.

Given these factors, the over on the total points appears to be a strong play. With both teams eager to assert their dominance and the potential for a fast-paced, high-scoring game, fans can expect an exciting matchup that could easily see the total points exceed expectations.

Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies Top Player Prop Picks

Nikola Jokic Over 12.5 Rebounds -121 (Caesars)

Nikola Jokic's potential return to the lineup is a significant factor for the Denver Nuggets, especially in the rebounding department. Jokic leads the league in rebounds, averaging an impressive 13.7 boards per game. His presence on the court is crucial for Denver, particularly against a Memphis team that has been dominant on the glass, averaging 47.8 rebounds per game. The Grizzlies have shown their prowess in rebounding, but Jokic's ability to control the boards could be a game-changer. Given his track record and the importance of this matchup, betting on Jokic to exceed 12.5 rebounds is a strong play, especially if he is cleared to play.

Jaren Jackson Jr. Over 1.5 Blocks +110 (FanDuel)

Jaren Jackson Jr. has been a defensive stalwart for the Memphis Grizzlies, consistently delivering strong performances in the paint. In the recent victory over the Nuggets, Jackson Jr. contributed two blocks, showcasing his ability to alter shots and protect the rim. With the Grizzlies' emphasis on physicality and defense, Jackson Jr. is likely to play a pivotal role in disrupting Denver's offensive flow. His track record this season indicates that when he is active defensively, the Grizzlies are more successful. The odds of +110 for Jackson Jr. to record over 1.5 blocks present a valuable opportunity for bettors.

Desmond Bane Over 23.5 Points Assists -104 (Caesars)

Desmond Bane's recent performances have been instrumental in the Grizzlies' success, particularly in the absence of key players like Ja Morant. Bane's ability to contribute both in scoring and playmaking was evident in the last game against Denver, where he recorded a double-double with 11 points and 11 rebounds. As Bane continues to find his rhythm, his role in the Grizzlies' offense becomes increasingly vital. With Memphis looking to maintain their home winning streak, Bane's contributions in points and assists are expected to be significant. The line of 23.5 for points and assists is well within his reach, making the over a compelling choice.