Dallas Stars at Washington Capitals Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 10/17/2024 7:00 PM EST

We have your Dallas Stars at Washington Capitals prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Dallas Stars hit the road to face the Washington Capitals.

Dallas Stars at Washington Capitals Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Dallas Stars -144 (FanDuel) / Washington Capitals +120 (FanDuel)
Best Puck Line Odds: 1.5 - Dallas Stars +170 (BetMGM) / Washington Capitals -210 (BetMGM)
Best Total Odds: 6.0 - Under -115 (BetMGM) / 5.5 - Over -122 (BetRivers)

Game Info

Date: 10/17/2024
Time: 7:00 PM EST
Location: Capital One Arena (Washington, DC)
TV: ESPN+

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past three seasons, the Dallas Stars and Washington Capitals have faced each other four times, with Dallas emerging victorious in all four encounters. The games have been evenly split between home and away victories, with each team winning twice on the road. In terms of betting outcomes, both teams have covered the spread twice, indicating a balanced performance against expectations. The total score has gone over the set line in two of the games, while the other two have stayed under, showcasing a mix of high and low-scoring contests. Key statistics from these matchups include Dallas consistently outshooting Washington in most games, and both teams showing a relatively even distribution of penalties and power play opportunities.

The most recent game between these two teams took place on January 27, 2024, where the Dallas Stars secured a 5-4 overtime victory against the Washington Capitals. The game was a closely contested affair, with both teams exchanging leads throughout the match. Dallas outshot Washington 35-28 and had a higher faceoff win percentage at 62.3%. Both teams were effective on the power play, each converting one opportunity. The Capitals had a notable defensive effort with 20 blocked shots compared to Dallas's 14. Despite Washington's late comeback in the third period, tying the game with goals from Alex Ovechkin and Dylan Strome, Dallas clinched the win in overtime with Thomas Harley's decisive goal.

In this matchup, the betting lines favored Dallas, with a closing moneyline of -230, indicating their status as the favorite. Washington, as the underdog, had a closing moneyline of +185. The game exceeded the closing over-under line of 6.5, with a total of nine goals scored. The spread was set at -1.5 in favor of Dallas, but Washington managed to cover the spread despite the loss. This game highlighted the competitive nature of the series, with both teams displaying resilience and skill, setting the stage for another intriguing encounter in their upcoming matchup.

Dallas Stars at Washington Capitals Preview

The Dallas Stars are set to face off against the Washington Capitals in what promises to be an exciting matchup at the Capital One Arena. The Stars have been on a tear this season, boasting a perfect 4-0-0 record, and are looking to extend their winning streak to five games for the first time in 18 years. Their defensive prowess has been a key factor, allowing just five goals across their first four games. Goaltenders Jake Oettinger and Casey DeSmith have been instrumental, with Oettinger maintaining a stellar 1.63 goals-against average and a .950 save percentage. The Stars' penalty kill has been exceptional, successfully neutralizing 13 of 14 power plays, although their power play unit has struggled, converting only once in 13 opportunities.

On the other side, the Washington Capitals are coming off a morale-boosting 4-2 victory over the Vegas Golden Knights, a team that arrived in Washington undefeated. The Capitals, led by the legendary Alex Ovechkin, who recently reached the 700-assist milestone, are eager to build on this momentum. Ovechkin, with 12 goals and 21 points in 26 career games against Dallas, remains a formidable threat. The Capitals have shown resilience, particularly in their recent win where they scored three goals in a span of just over three minutes against Vegas. Logan Thompson, making his debut for Washington, was solid in net, and the team will look to carry that defensive effort into their clash with Dallas.

Historically, the Stars have had the upper hand against the Capitals, winning all four encounters over the past three seasons. However, the Capitals are determined to reverse this trend, especially on home ice where they have struggled against Dallas, with their last home victory dating back to March 2018. The Capitals' defense will need to be at its best to contain the Stars' dynamic offense, which includes players like Mason Marchment, who has been productive early in the season.

Both teams have shown the ability to score and defend effectively, setting the stage for a potentially high-scoring affair. With the Stars' recent form and the Capitals' determination to protect their home ice, this matchup is poised to be a thrilling contest that could see plenty of action on both ends of the rink.

Dallas Stars at Washington Capitals Pick: Total Goals Over

As the Dallas Stars prepare to face the Washington Capitals, the potential for a high-scoring game is evident. Both teams have shown offensive capabilities that suggest the total goals could exceed the set line. The Stars, with their perfect 4-0-0 start, have demonstrated a balanced attack, averaging over three goals per game. Their recent 5-4 overtime victory against the Capitals in January 2024 is a testament to their ability to find the back of the net against Washington. In that game, Dallas outshot Washington 35-28, showcasing their offensive prowess.

On the other hand, the Capitals, led by the legendary Alex Ovechkin, have also shown they can score in bunches. Their recent 4-2 victory over the previously undefeated Vegas Golden Knights highlighted their offensive potential, with three goals scored in a rapid span of just over three minutes. Ovechkin, who has 12 goals and 21 points in 26 career games against Dallas, remains a constant threat to any defense.

Historically, matchups between these two teams have seen a mix of high and low-scoring affairs, but the recent trend leans towards more goals. The last encounter between the Stars and Capitals saw a total of nine goals, well over the set line. Additionally, both teams have shown vulnerabilities on defense at times, with the Stars allowing two goals in their last outing against San Jose and the Capitals conceding four in their season opener against New Jersey.

Given the offensive firepower on both sides and the recent history of high-scoring games, the over on the total goals line appears to be a strong play. With the Stars looking to maintain their perfect start and the Capitals eager to defend their home ice, expect an exciting and potentially high-scoring contest at the Capital One Arena.

Dallas Stars at Washington Capitals Top Player Prop Picks

Mason Marchment Over 0.5 Points +120 (bet365)

Mason Marchment has been a standout performer for the Dallas Stars early in the season, recording two goals and three assists in the first four games. His offensive contributions have been crucial for the Stars, who are off to a perfect 4-0-0 start. Marchment's ability to find the scoresheet consistently makes the over on his points prop an attractive option, especially given his past success against the Capitals, where he has tallied four points in as many games. With the Stars' offense firing on all cylinders and Marchment playing a key role, the odds of +120 for him to register at least one point offer significant value.

John Carlson Over 2.5 Shots On Goal +114 (DraftKings)

John Carlson is a pivotal figure in the Capitals' lineup, known for his offensive prowess from the blue line. He ranks fourth in the league in time on ice, averaging 26:26 per game, which provides him ample opportunity to contribute offensively. Carlson's ability to generate shots is well-documented, and with the Capitals facing a formidable Stars defense, his role in driving play from the back end becomes even more critical. The odds of +114 for Carlson to exceed 2.5 shots on goal are enticing, especially considering his involvement in the Capitals' power play and his tendency to shoot from the point.

Roope Hintz Over 0.5 Points -120 (BetMGM)

Roope Hintz has been a consistent offensive threat for the Dallas Stars, and his role in the team's top line alongside Jason Robertson and Joe Pavelski (in previous seasons) has been instrumental in their success. Although the Stars' power play has struggled early in the season, converting just once in 13 opportunities, Hintz's ability to contribute at even strength remains a key factor. With the Stars looking to maintain their perfect start and the Capitals' defense showing vulnerabilities, Hintz is well-positioned to capitalize on scoring chances. The odds of -120 for him to record at least one point reflect his integral role in the Stars' attack.