Dallas Mavericks @ Oklahoma City Thunder Player Props, Picks and Predictions - January 23, 2025

We have your Dallas Mavericks @ Oklahoma City Thunder prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Oklahoma City Thunder host the Dallas Mavericks in a Western Conference showdown.

Dallas Mavericks @ Oklahoma City Thunder Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Oklahoma City Thunder -625 (BetRivers), Dallas Mavericks +500 (Caesars)
Best Spread Odds: Thunder -12 (-105, Caesars), Mavericks +12 (-108, DraftKings)
Best Total Odds: Over 223.5 (-108, DraftKings), Under 223.5 (-105, Caesars)

Game Info

Date: 2025-01-23
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
TV: KFAA

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Dallas Mavericks have faced each other 177 times in their history, with the Thunder holding a slight edge, winning 91 games to the Mavericks' 86. This season, the Mavericks lead the head-to-head series 2-1, including a 106-98 victory in their most recent meeting on January 18, 2025. In that game, the Mavericks were without Luka Dončić, while the Thunder missed Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. Historically, the Thunder have been dominant at home, and they enter this matchup with a 10-0 record in their last 10 home games.

Dallas Mavericks @ Oklahoma City Thunder Preview

The Thunder (36-7) are the top team in the Western Conference and are coming off a 123-114 victory over the Utah Jazz, led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's career-high 54 points. Oklahoma City has won six of its last seven games and boasts a 13-game home winning streak. The Mavericks (23-21), on the other hand, have struggled recently, losing 10 of their last 13 games, including a narrow 115-114 defeat to the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last outing. Dallas remains without Luka Dončić and Dereck Lively II, while Kyrie Irving and P.J. Washington have been carrying the load offensively.

Pick: Thunder -12

The Thunder are heavy favorites in this matchup, and for good reason. They have been dominant at home, winning their last 13 games at Paycom Center, and are 7-1 straight up on the second night of back-to-back games this season. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is in MVP form, and the Thunder's defense has been stellar, allowing just 103.9 points per game. The Mavericks, meanwhile, are dealing with significant injuries and have lost six straight road games. Expect the Thunder to cover the -12 spread.

Top Player Prop Picks

1. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 31.5 Points

Gilgeous-Alexander is coming off a career-high 54-point performance and has been averaging 32.0 points per game this season. With the Mavericks missing key defensive players, SGA should have another big night.

2. Daniel Gafford Over 9.5 Rebounds

Gafford has been a force on the boards, pulling down 12+ rebounds in games where he plays 30+ minutes. With the Mavericks' frontcourt depleted, this is a favorable matchup for Gafford.

3. Kyrie Irving Over 25.5 Points

Irving has scored at least 25 points in each of his last three games and will need to shoulder the scoring load again with Luka Dončić out. Expect him to be aggressive offensively.