NFL Pickwatch - Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder Player Props, Picks and Predictions

Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 11/17/2024 7:00 PM EST

We have your Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Dallas Mavericks hit the road to face the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Dallas Mavericks +176 (FanDuel) / Oklahoma City Thunder -200 (ESPN BET)
Best Spread Odds: -5.5 - Dallas Mavericks -115 (BetMGM) / -5.0 - Oklahoma City Thunder -110 (bet365)
Best Total Odds: 230.5 - Under -109 (BetRivers) / 229.5 - Over -110 (FanDuel)

Game Info

Date: 11/17/2024
Time: 7:00 PM EST
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, OK)
TV: FanDuel SN OK

Dallas Mavericks Betting Trends

On the road, the Dallas Mavericks have 1 wins and 4 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Dallas Mavericks have 1 wins and 2 losses this season.
Overall this season, the Dallas Mavericks have 6 wins and 7 losses.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Trends

At home, the Oklahoma City Thunder have 7 wins and 1 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Oklahoma City Thunder have 10 wins and 2 losses this season.
Overall this season, the Oklahoma City Thunder have 11 wins and 2 losses.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past two seasons, the Dallas Mavericks and the Oklahoma City Thunder have faced off ten times, with each team securing five victories. The games have been evenly split between home and away wins, with the home team winning six times and the visiting team winning four times. In terms of betting outcomes, both teams have covered the spread five times each, indicating a balanced performance against expectations. The games have also been evenly split in terms of total points, with five games going over the set total and five games going under. This pattern of parity suggests that the matchups between these two teams have been highly competitive, with neither team consistently dominating the other.

The most recent encounter between the Mavericks and the Thunder took place on May 18, 2024, in a closely contested playoff game. The Dallas Mavericks emerged victorious with a narrow 117-116 win over the Oklahoma City Thunder. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the Thunder with 36 points, including a crucial step-back jumper and a free throw in the final moments of the game. Jalen Williams also contributed significantly with 22 points, highlighted by a 39-foot three-pointer at the end of the first quarter. For the Mavericks, Luka Doncic was the top scorer with 29 points, including a key jumper that tied the game late in the fourth quarter. The Thunder shot 47.8% from the field and 36.6% from beyond the arc, while the Mavericks had a higher shooting percentage of 51.2% overall and 47.1% from three-point range. The game was marked by a high pace and a total of 18 turnovers, with the Thunder capitalizing on the Mavericks' mistakes to score 27 points off turnovers.

In this recent matchup, the Thunder had a larger lead of 17 points at one stage, while the Mavericks' largest lead was 5 points. Despite the Thunder's strong start, the Mavericks managed to close the gap and ultimately secure the win. The game was characterized by efficient shooting from both teams, with the Mavericks having a slight edge in field goal and three-point percentages. The Thunder's ability to score off turnovers kept them competitive throughout the game, but the Mavericks' resilience and clutch performances in the final minutes allowed them to clinch the victory. This game exemplifies the competitive nature of the series between these two teams, setting the stage for another intriguing matchup in their upcoming encounter.

Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder Preview

The Dallas Mavericks and Oklahoma City Thunder are set to clash in a highly anticipated matchup that promises to be a thrilling encounter. The Mavericks, coming off a much-needed victory against the San Antonio Spurs, are looking to build momentum after a rocky start to the season. With a 6-7 record, Dallas has struggled to find consistency, particularly on the defensive end, where they rank in the bottom 10 over their last five games. However, their offensive prowess remains undeniable, led by the dynamic duo of Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving, both averaging over 25 points per game. The addition of Klay Thompson has bolstered their perimeter shooting, providing a reliable option from beyond the arc.

On the other side, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been a revelation this season, boasting an impressive 11-2 record that places them atop the Western Conference. Despite dealing with significant injuries to key players like Chet Holmgren and Isaiah Hartenstein, the Thunder have thrived by embracing a small-ball lineup. Their defensive tenacity has been a cornerstone of their success, as they lead the league in net rating and possess a top-ranked defensive rating. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander continues to be a standout performer, orchestrating the offense with precision and contributing significantly on the defensive end.

This matchup is a rematch of last season's Western Conference semifinals, where the Mavericks emerged victorious. However, the Thunder have shown remarkable resilience and adaptability, making them a formidable opponent. Oklahoma City's ability to capitalize on turnovers and their aggressive play in the passing lanes could pose challenges for the Mavericks, who have been prone to defensive lapses. The Thunder's home-court advantage at the Paycom Center, where they have a 7-1 record this season, further bolsters their confidence heading into this contest.

As both teams prepare to face off, the game promises to be a showcase of contrasting styles. The Mavericks will rely on their offensive firepower to overcome the Thunder's defensive schemes, while Oklahoma City will look to exploit Dallas's defensive vulnerabilities. With both teams having split their last ten meetings evenly, this matchup is set to be another closely contested battle, with each side eager to assert their dominance in the Western Conference.

Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder Moneyline

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been a dominant force this season, boasting an impressive 11-2 record that places them at the top of the Western Conference. Their success is largely attributed to their exceptional defensive play, as they lead the league in net rating and possess a top-ranked defensive rating. Despite facing significant injuries to key players like Chet Holmgren and Isaiah Hartenstein, the Thunder have thrived by embracing a small-ball lineup, which has allowed them to maintain their defensive tenacity and aggressive play in the passing lanes.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been a standout performer for the Thunder, orchestrating the offense with precision and contributing significantly on the defensive end. His leadership and ability to capitalize on turnovers have been crucial in keeping the Thunder competitive, even against formidable opponents. The Thunder's home-court advantage at the Paycom Center, where they have a 7-1 record this season, further bolsters their confidence heading into this contest against the Dallas Mavericks.

On the other hand, the Mavericks have struggled to find consistency, particularly on the defensive end, where they rank in the bottom 10 over their last five games. Although their offensive prowess remains undeniable, led by the dynamic duo of Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving, the Mavericks have been prone to defensive lapses. This vulnerability could be exploited by the Thunder, who have shown remarkable resilience and adaptability throughout the season.

Given the Thunder's strong start to the season, their superior defensive metrics, and their ability to perform well even with a shorthanded roster, they are well-positioned to secure a victory against the Mavericks. The Thunder's recent form, combined with their home-court advantage, makes them the favored pick for the moneyline in this highly anticipated matchup.

Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder Top Player Prop Picks

Luka Doncic Over 27.5 Points -120 (BetMGM)

Luka Doncic has been a consistent offensive force for the Dallas Mavericks, averaging over 25 points per game this season. In their recent victory against the San Antonio Spurs, Doncic was instrumental, showcasing his scoring prowess. With the Mavericks relying heavily on his offensive capabilities, especially in a matchup against the top-ranked Oklahoma City Thunder, Doncic is expected to shoulder a significant scoring load. The Thunder's defensive tenacity is well-documented, but with key injuries in their frontcourt, Doncic has the opportunity to exploit mismatches and drive the Mavericks' offense. Given his track record and the Mavericks' need for a strong offensive performance, taking the over on Doncic's points is a solid bet.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 31.5 Points -110 (DraftKings)

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been the linchpin of the Oklahoma City Thunder's success this season, averaging 27.9 points per game. His ability to lead the offense and make crucial plays has been pivotal, especially with the Thunder's current injury challenges. In their last encounter with the Mavericks, Gilgeous-Alexander delivered a standout performance, and with the Thunder's aggressive style of play, he is poised to continue his scoring streak. The Mavericks have shown vulnerabilities on defense, ranking in the bottom 10 over their last five games, which Gilgeous-Alexander can capitalize on. His scoring ability, combined with the Thunder's home-court advantage, makes the over on his points a compelling choice.

Kyrie Irving Over 21.5 Points -110 (BetMGM)

Kyrie Irving has been a crucial component of the Mavericks' offensive strategy, consistently delivering high-scoring performances alongside Luka Doncic. Averaging over 25 points per game, Irving's offensive contributions are vital for the Mavericks, especially against a defensively strong team like the Thunder. With the Thunder's focus likely on containing Doncic, Irving could find more opportunities to exploit defensive gaps. His ability to score from various positions on the court and his experience in high-pressure games make him a reliable option to exceed the 21.5 points line. Given the Mavericks' need to counter the Thunder's defensive schemes, Irving's scoring will be essential, making the over on his points a strategic pick.