Ladies and gentlemen, it is officially here. After a grueling offseason and seven weeks of fantastic football being played on Saturdays, weekday MACtion is back.
If you are unaware of MACtion, you have come to the right place. You see, college football has a billion teams and a million conferences. Only five or so are good enough to win the National Championship every season, which leaves us with a ton of schools that are D-1 programs, but it is the lowest of the low, and there is no D-1 conference lower than the MAC.
Being your weekday college football savant, I am here to give you the best bets of the night for the first night of MACtion. Every year around November, these schools start to play each other on the weekdays, which blesses us with 27-straight days of football. This brand of football is always entertaining, and it is a blast to put a little of your winnings from the weekend on it.
If you decide to follow our picks, we ask that you do so responsibly.
*Odds via BetMGM Sportsbook
Ball State (+7) @ Kent State O/U 62
If this is your first ride in the MAC, you should probably know two things. First, no defense is played ever, and second, expect the unexpected.
In this game, we have two defenses that have struggled in all phases, and while neither of these offenses is that great, they match up exceptionally well. First, Kent State's defense is ranked 128th in Pass Success, 89th in Rush Success, and 95th in Finishing Drives. Meanwhile, Ball State is better, but not by much, as they are 79th in Pass Success, 71st in Rush Success, and 63rd in Finishg Drives.
Now, part of Kent State's struggles can be credited to playing Washington, Oklahoma, and Georgia in their out-of-conference play, but over the last three weeks against Miami (OH), Toledo, and Akron, the Golden Flashes are giving up 35.3 points per game, and they are only 1-2 during that stretch. They have also dealt with many injuries to their defense, and some of those guys are listed as questionable tonight, but that probably will not make that much of a difference; this is just a terrible defense.
On the other side, Ball State is actually only allowing 19 points per game in their last three, but they were against terrible offenses, and for the whole season, they are allowing 32.1 points, and they are giving up 185.4 rushing yards per game and 4.3 yards per rush. This is where Kent State will run away with this one (literally), as they are ranked 42nd in Line yards and 40th in yards per rush (4.4).
Still, Ball State has a good offensive line, and they are mildly successful passing the ball, while Kent State has one of, if not THE worst pass defenses in the country. Both of these teams also rank inside the top 15 in Pace of Play, so expect a lot of action and a lot of scoring in this one.
Pick: Over 62
Buffalo (-3) @ Ohio O/U 58.5
This game is very similar to the one we just talked about, but we have a really good defense!
Buffalo's defense ranks 16th in Rush Success, 53rd in Line Yards, 57th in Pass Rush, 10th in Havoc, and 44th in Finishing Drives. The Bulls are only allowing 23 points per game, and over their last three games, they only allow 13.6 points per game. They have a considerable advantage tonight as they are going up against a bad Ohio offense dealing with some injuries.
The Bobcats' offense is ranked 103rd in Rush Success and 98th in Line Yards, and they may be in an even deeper hole on the ground as starting running back Sieh Bangura is still hurt, and his backup Nolan McCormick has been very ineffective. Luckily, they have a pretty solid air attack, as they are picking up 8.0 yards per pass and are ranked 35th in Pass Success.
Starting quarterback Kurtis Rourke is completing 68.5% of his passes for 8.8 yards per pass and 16 touchdowns to only three interceptions, and he is going up against a Buffalo defense that ranks 91st in Pass Success and PFF has them rated at 107th in Tackling and 74th in Coverage. However, Ohio will have to find a way to keep drives alive as they are only converting on third downs 32% of the time, and they are ranked 65th in red zone scoring percentage.
Meanwhile, Buffalo's offense is similar as they are pretty awful on the ground, they have a top-50 offense in terms of Pass Success, and they are 49th in Finishing Drives. Buffalo should win this game as they are better on both sides of the ball at Finishing Drives, and their defense is actually good, but there is a way to beat this unit, which is dicing them up through the air.
Ohio has a few big-play receivers as slot-man Sam Wiglusz is averaging 11.8 yards per catch for seven touchdowns, and James Bostic is putting up 21.9 yards per catch on 18 receptions. I like for Ohio to keep this game close for most of the game and push this one over the total.
Pick: Over 58.5
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