Cleveland Browns at New Orleans Saints Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 11/17/2024 1:00 PM EST

We have your Cleveland Browns at New Orleans Saints prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Cleveland Browns hit the road to face the New Orleans Saints.

Cleveland Browns at New Orleans Saints Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Cleveland Browns -102 (FanDuel) / New Orleans Saints -115 (BetRivers)
Best Spread Odds: -1.0 - Cleveland Browns -110 (BetMGM) / New Orleans Saints -110 (BetMGM)
Best Total Odds: 44.5 - Under -110 (bet365) / Over -110 (bet365)

Game Info

Date: 11/17/2024
Time: 1:00 PM EST
Location: Caesars Superdome (New Orleans, LA)
TV: FOX

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

In the past three seasons, the Cleveland Browns and the New Orleans Saints have faced each other once, with the game taking place on December 24, 2022. In this matchup, the New Orleans Saints emerged victorious, defeating the Cleveland Browns 17-10. The game was played with the Saints as the visiting team, and they managed to cover the spread, which was set at -3.5 in favor of the Browns, the home team. The game did not reach the over-under mark, as it ended with a total score of 27 points, falling under the closing over-under line of 32.5. This single encounter saw the visiting team win, and the underdog, in terms of the spread, also came out on top.

In the detailed breakdown of the December 24, 2022 game, the Browns initially took the lead with a 12-yard rushing touchdown by Deshaun Watson in the second quarter, followed by a 30-yard field goal by Cade York, giving them a 10-0 advantage. However, the Saints responded with a 23-yard field goal by Wil Lutz before halftime, narrowing the gap to 10-3. In the third quarter, the Saints took control with Taysom Hill scoring an 8-yard rushing touchdown to tie the game, followed by Alvin Kamara's 4-yard rushing touchdown, which secured the win for New Orleans. Both teams struggled with passing efficiency, with Watson completing 15 of 31 passes for 135 yards and one interception, while Andy Dalton completed 8 of 15 passes for 92 yards and one interception. The game featured a total of three turnovers, with each team throwing one interception.

The statistical comparison from this game highlights the Browns' slight edge in total yards, recording 249 compared to the Saints' 244. The Browns also had one more first down than the Saints, with 15 to 14. However, the Saints were more effective in converting third downs, achieving a 46.67% conversion rate compared to the Browns' 43.75%. The Saints' rushing game was a key factor, with 152 rushing yards and two touchdowns, while the Browns managed 124 rushing yards and one touchdown. Penalties were relatively low, with the Saints committing two for 15 yards and the Browns four for 45 yards. Despite the Browns having a longer time of possession, the Saints' efficient scoring in the third quarter was decisive in their victory.

Cleveland Browns at New Orleans Saints Preview

The Cleveland Browns are set to face the New Orleans Saints in a Week 11 matchup that promises to be intriguing despite both teams' struggles this season. The Browns, coming off a bye week, are looking to improve their 2-7 record under head coach Kevin Stefanski, who has historically guided the team to a strong performance following a bye. However, they face a challenging task at the Caesars Superdome, where the Saints have a notable home-field advantage.

Jameis Winston will lead the Browns as the starting quarterback, stepping in for the injured Deshaun Watson and Dorian Thompson-Robinson. Winston, a former Saints player, has shown flashes of brilliance but remains a volatile passer, with five touchdowns and three interceptions in his two starts for Cleveland. His familiarity with the Saints' defensive schemes could play a crucial role, especially against a New Orleans secondary that has been dealing with injuries.

The Saints, with a 3-7 record, are coming off a morale-boosting 20-17 victory over the Atlanta Falcons. Despite their early season struggles, they will look to build on this win and leverage their defensive prowess, which has been more effective at home, averaging 1.4 turnovers forced per game. Quarterback Derek Carr has been consistent, throwing six touchdowns at home this season, and will aim to exploit a Browns defense that has been less effective on the road, averaging only 0.5 turnovers forced.

Both teams have shown inconsistencies in their offensive and defensive performances, making this matchup unpredictable. The Browns will rely on their returning linebacker Jordan Hicks to bolster their defense, while the Saints will count on their rushing attack, led by Alvin Kamara, who has been more productive on the road but remains a key figure in their home games. As the Browns aim to turn their season around, the Saints will be determined to defend their home turf and continue their winning momentum.

Cleveland Browns at New Orleans Saints Pick: New Orleans Saints Against the Spread

In this Week 11 matchup, the New Orleans Saints are positioned to cover the spread against the Cleveland Browns, and several factors support this pick. The Saints, despite their 3-7 record, have shown resilience, particularly at home in the Caesars Superdome, where they have a notable home-field advantage. This is reflected in their defensive performance, as they average 1.4 turnovers forced per game at home, a significant factor when facing a Browns team that has struggled on the road, averaging only 0.5 turnovers forced.

Moreover, the Saints are coming off a confidence-boosting 20-17 victory over the Atlanta Falcons, which could provide the momentum needed to secure another win. Quarterback Derek Carr has been consistent at home, throwing six touchdowns this season, and will look to exploit a Browns defense that has been less effective away from Cleveland. The Saints' ability to force turnovers and Carr's steady play at home are crucial elements that favor New Orleans in this matchup.

On the other hand, the Browns, led by Jameis Winston in place of the injured Deshaun Watson, face a challenging task. While Winston has familiarity with the Saints' defensive schemes, his history against New Orleans is not favorable, with a 3-9 record during his time with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. His volatility as a passer, evidenced by five touchdowns and three interceptions in just two starts for Cleveland, could be a liability against a Saints defense that thrives on creating turnovers at home.

Additionally, the Browns' struggles on the road are highlighted by their 2-2 record against the spread this season against non-divisional opponents, while the Saints have yet to cover the spread at home against non-divisional opponents. However, the Saints' recent victory and their defensive prowess at home suggest they are well-positioned to cover the spread in this encounter. With the Browns still finding their footing under Winston and the Saints eager to build on their recent success, New Orleans is the pick to cover the spread in this intriguing matchup.

Cleveland Browns at New Orleans Saints Top Player Prop Picks

Jameis Winston Over 159 Passing Yards Passing Yards -110 (FanDuel)

Jameis Winston, stepping in as the starting quarterback for the Cleveland Browns, presents an intriguing prop bet opportunity. Despite his volatility, Winston has shown the ability to accumulate passing yards, especially given his familiarity with the New Orleans Saints' defensive schemes from his time with the team. The Saints' secondary has been dealing with injuries, which could provide Winston with opportunities to exploit mismatches. Additionally, the Saints' defense, while effective at forcing turnovers, has allowed quarterbacks to find success through the air, particularly at home. With Winston averaging 159 passing yards at home this season, and considering the Browns' need to rely on their passing game due to their struggles on the ground, taking the over on Winston's passing yards seems a promising bet.

Alvin Kamara Over 31.8 Receiving Yards Receiving Yards -110 (DraftKings)

Alvin Kamara has been a consistent dual-threat for the New Orleans Saints, and his receiving yards prop offers value in this matchup. Kamara is averaging 31.8 receiving yards at home, and with the Browns' defense focusing on stopping the run, Kamara's role in the passing game becomes even more critical. The Browns have struggled to contain versatile running backs, and Kamara's ability to catch passes out of the backfield could be a key factor in the Saints' offensive strategy. Given the Browns' defensive vulnerabilities and Kamara's proven track record, betting on the over for his receiving yards is a solid choice.

Derek Carr Over 1.4 Interceptions Interceptions -110 (Caesars)

Derek Carr's interception prop is an intriguing play, especially considering the Browns' defensive tendencies. While Carr has been consistent at home, the Browns' defense has shown the ability to force turnovers, averaging 2 turnovers forced at home. Although their road performance has been less impressive, the return of linebacker Jordan Hicks could bolster their defensive unit. Carr's propensity to take risks, combined with the Browns' potential to capitalize on mistakes, makes the over on Carr's interceptions a compelling option. With the Saints' offense likely to rely on Carr's arm, the chances of him throwing multiple interceptions increase, making this prop a worthwhile consideration.