Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 8/6/2025 2:20 PM EDT

We have your Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Cincinnati Reds hit the road to face the Chicago Cubs.

Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Reds +115 on Caesars / Cubs -132 on Fanduel
Best Spread Odds: Reds +1.5 (-190) on Caesars / Cubs -1.0 (+110) on BetRivers
Best Total Odds: Over 7.5 (+102) on Fanduel / Under 7.5 (-110) on ESPN BET

Game Info

Date: 2025-08-06
Time: 2:20 PM EDT
Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago
TV: -

Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs Preview

The Cincinnati Reds (60-54) are looking to complete a sweep against the Chicago Cubs (65-48) in this afternoon's matchup at Wrigley Field. The Reds have been in strong form, securing their second consecutive win over the Cubs on Tuesday with a decisive 5-1 victory, and have won three of their last four games overall. Their offense, led by players like Spencer Steer who hit a crucial 3-run homer on Tuesday, has found its rhythm.

On the other side, the Chicago Cubs' offense has hit a cold spell, managing only three runs on seven hits through the first two games of this series. They are batting just .212 over the past seven days, and this offensive slump has contributed to them losing three of their last four games and six of their last nine at Wrigley Field. Even a strong outing from starting pitcher Shota Imanaga on Tuesday couldn't secure a win for the Cubs, highlighting their struggles at the plate.

The pitching matchup features Andrew Abbott (8-1, 2.15 ERA) for the Reds, who has been exceptional this season, allowing three or more earned runs in only three of his 19 starts. Abbott has particularly dominated the Cubs, yielding just one earned run over 12 2/3 innings in two starts against them this season. For the Cubs, rookie Cade Horton (5-3, 3.42 ERA) will take the mound, making his 14th start. While Horton has posted three straight scoreless starts, the Cubs' recent offensive woes could put pressure on him to be nearly perfect.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

The Cincinnati Reds have demonstrated clear dominance in this series, winning the last two games against the Chicago Cubs. A significant factor in these recent victories has been the performance of Reds pitcher Andrew Abbott, who has stifled the Cubs' lineup, allowing just one earned run across 12 2/3 innings in his two starts against them this season. This strong pitching has contributed to a trend of lower-scoring affairs between these two teams.

The "Under" has been a consistent outcome in their recent matchups, cashing in four of the last five meetings. This trend is further supported by both teams' recent scoring patterns: the Reds have seen the Under hit in eight of their last ten games, while the Cubs have gone 4-0-1 to the Under in their last five outings. The Cubs' current offensive struggles, hitting just .212 over the past week, align with this low-scoring narrative in their head-to-head contests.

Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline (+115)

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Given the current momentum and pitching advantage, backing the Cincinnati Reds on the moneyline at +115 offers significant value. The Reds have clearly had the upper hand in this series, winning the last two games, and their starting pitcher, Andrew Abbott, has a proven track record of success against the Cubs this season. The Cubs' offense is struggling mightily, showing no signs of breaking out of their slump, which will be a challenge against Abbott's stellar 2.15 ERA.

While Cade Horton has been solid for the Cubs, the team's inability to generate runs, even with strong pitching performances, makes them a risky bet. The Reds are playing with confidence and have the pitching to shut down the Cubs' cold bats, making them a strong pick to complete the sweep.

Top Player Prop Picks

TJ Friedl (Reds) - Over 0.5 Hits (-190)

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TJ Friedl has been consistently getting on base, hitting the over on his 0.5 hits prop in 100% of his last five games and 90% of his last ten games. Over the entire season, he's hit the over in 67.29% of his appearances, averaging 1.03 hits per game. More impressively, against the Chicago Cubs in 2025, Friedl has hit the over in 87.5% of his eight matchups, averaging 1.5 hits. When playing on the road this season, he maintains a 68.52% hit rate for this prop, averaging 1.11 hits. His strong recent form and excellent performance against the Cubs make the Over 0.5 Hits a compelling pick. You can find these odds on DraftKings.

Ian Happ (Cubs) - Over 0.5 Bases (-140)

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Despite the Cubs' recent offensive struggles, Ian Happ has shown a consistent ability to get on base. He has hit the over on 0.5 bases in 80% of his last five games and 80% of his last ten games, averaging 1.2 and 1.8 bases respectively. For the season, Happ has hit the over in 63.73% of his games, with a mean of 1.52 bases. In his matchups against the Cincinnati Reds in 2025, he has hit the over in 62.5% of eight games, averaging 1.0 base. Playing at home this season, he has a 62.0% hit rate for this prop, averaging 1.46 bases. Given his individual consistency, taking the Over 0.5 Bases for Ian Happ is a solid play. These odds are available on Caesars.

Elly De La Cruz (Reds) - Over 0.5 Hits (-215)

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Elly De La Cruz has been a reliable source of hits for the Reds, hitting the over on his 0.5 hits prop in 60% of his last five games and 70% of his last ten games. His season-long performance is even stronger, with a 70.43% hit rate for the over, averaging 1.07 hits per game. Against the Chicago Cubs in 2025, De La Cruz has been particularly effective, hitting the over in 75% of his eight games, averaging 1.12 hits. When playing on the road this season, he has maintained a 70.91% hit rate for this prop, averaging 1.02 hits. His consistent hitting, especially against the Cubs, makes the Over 0.5 Hits a strong pick. You can find these odds on DraftKings.

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