Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 9/2/2025 7:40 PM EDT

We have your Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Chicago White Sox hit the road to face the Minnesota Twins.

Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Minnesota Twins -145 (Caesars) / Chicago White Sox +135 (BetRivers)
Best Spread Odds: Minnesota Twins -1.0 -108 (DraftKings)
Best Total Odds: Over 9.0 -125 (BetMGM) / Under 9.5 -115 (ESPN BET)

Game Info

Date: September 2, 2025
Time: 7:40 PM EDT
Location: Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
TV: -

Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins Preview

The Chicago White Sox (50-88) travel to Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (62-75) in what promises to be an intriguing AL Central matchup. Both teams are looking to finish their seasons strong, despite being out of playoff contention. The White Sox are coming off a narrow 6-5 victory against the Twins, extending their recent form to 5-5 over their last 10 games. Their offense has a team batting average of .234 with a .302 OBP and a .374 slugging percentage. On the mound for Chicago will be Davis Martin, who holds a 5-9 record with a 4.03 ERA and 85 strikeouts this season. Martin has shown vulnerability, particularly against left-handed batters, allowing a 1.88 HR/9 against them and struggling with a low K-BB% of 4.4% in those matchups.

The Minnesota Twins, meanwhile, are looking to bounce back after their recent loss to the White Sox. They have a 4-6 record in their last 10 outings. The Twins' offense bats .238 as a team with a .311 OBP and a .397 slugging percentage. Starting for Minnesota is Simeon Woods Richardson, who enters with a 5-4 record and a 4.59 ERA, accumulating 71 strikeouts this season. Woods Richardson has had issues with home runs, giving up 15 so far this year, with nine of those coming off right-handed hitters. His walk rate is also a concern at 10.1%.

The White Sox have struggled on the road, holding the second-lowest road winning percentage in MLB at just 30% this season. They also have a tendency to lose games when their opponents score first, winning only 7% of such road games since last season. The Twins, despite their better record, have also shown weaknesses, particularly when tied entering the 7th inning, where they have a 5-16 (.238) record this season, the lowest in MLB.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

The recent history between these two AL Central rivals suggests a closely contested series. The White Sox and Twins have split their 10 meetings this season, with each team securing five victories. Looking at their last 11 meetings, the Over has hit in 7 of those games, with one push, indicating a trend towards higher-scoring affairs between these two clubs.

From a pitching perspective, Davis Martin of the White Sox has a career record of 1-3 with a 6.64 ERA against the Minnesota Twins across his appearances. However, in his most recent outing against the Twins two starts ago, he performed better, allowing just two earned runs over five innings with six strikeouts. For the Twins, Simeon Woods Richardson has a 0-0 record with a 4.32 ERA in his career against the Chicago White Sox. His season debut this year was against the White Sox, where he pitched four innings, giving up two earned runs on five hits.

Pick: Chicago White Sox +1.5

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Despite being the underdog, the Chicago White Sox present a compelling case on the run line. The Twins are favored on the moneyline, but the White Sox have been a strong bet against the spread this season, boasting a 79-59 record against the Run Line, which translates to a positive ROI of 5.11 units. Furthermore, sharp money analysis indicates a slight lean towards the White Sox +1.0, with a 51.15% sharp win percentage on that line. While the Twins have a better overall record, their recent struggles and the White Sox's ability to cover the spread, especially in a division matchup, make the White Sox +1.5 a valuable play. The Twins' starting pitcher, Simeon Woods Richardson, has also shown a propensity to give up home runs, which could allow the White Sox offense to keep the game close.

Top Player Prop Picks

Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins) - Hits Over 0.5

Trevor Larnach has been in excellent form at the plate recently, consistently hitting the over on his hits prop. He has hit the over in 80% of his last 5 games and 80% of his last 10 games, with a mean of 1.6 and 1.3 hits respectively. Over his last 15 games, he's hit the over 80% of the time, and 75% over his last 20 games. For the season, he's hit the over 64.75% of the time. Against the White Sox in 2025, Larnach has hit the over in 66.67% of his matchups, and an even stronger 77.78% in 2024. Playing at home this season, he's hit the over 65% of the time. Given his consistent performance and favorable matchup history, taking Larnach to get over 0.5 hits at -210 odds on FanDuel