Chicago White Sox @ Atlanta Braves Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 8/19/2025 7:15 PM EDT

We have your Chicago White Sox @ Atlanta Braves prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Chicago White Sox hit the road to face the Atlanta Braves.

Chicago White Sox @ Atlanta Braves Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Atlanta Braves -165 (ESPN BET) / Chicago White Sox +142 (Fanduel)
Best Spread Odds: Atlanta Braves -1.0 (-121 DraftKings) / Chicago White Sox +1.5 (-115 Pickswise)
Best Total Odds: Over 8.5 (-110 BetMGM) / Under 8.5 (-103 BetRivers)

Game Info

Date: August 19, 2025
Time: 7:15 PM EDT
Location: Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia
TV: FDSSO

Chicago White Sox @ Atlanta Braves Preview

The Atlanta Braves (56-69) will host the Chicago White Sox (45-80) in the second game of their series at Truist Park. The White Sox took the first game in a high-scoring 13-9 affair, snapping their four-game losing streak and ending the Braves' five-game winning streak. This season has been challenging for both teams, with the White Sox holding the worst record in the American League and the Braves struggling to find consistency in the National League East.

For the White Sox, their offensive struggles are evident, ranking 29th in batting average, slugging, OPS, total bases, and total runs across the league. Lenyn Sosa leads the team with 105 hits, 17 home runs, and 54 RBIs. Mike Tauchman has been a bright spot, leading the team with a 1.9 WAR. On the mound for Chicago will be right-hander Shane Smith (3-7, 4.01 ERA, 1.28 WHIP). This will be Smith's second career start, and he has shown vulnerability on the road with a 4.19 road ERA and a 6.59 ERA over his last five starts. He also has the highest rate of walking the leadoff hitter in the inning among starting pitchers (14%).

The Braves' offense, while better than Chicago's, is still middle-of-the-pack, ranking 21st in batting average and 16th in OPS. Matt Olson leads Atlanta with 128 hits and 72 RBIs, while Marcell Ozuna tops the team with 20 home runs. Starting for the Braves is right-hander Bryce Elder (5-9, 5.89 ERA, 1.52 WHIP). Elder has particularly struggled at home this season, carrying a 6.66 ERA at Truist Park, which is among the highest in MLB. His fastball command has also been an issue, throwing it for a strike only 59% of the time, the lowest in the league.

Both teams are dealing with significant injuries. The Braves have several key players on the 60-Day IL, including Chris Sale, Grant Holmes, Joe Jiménez, Spencer Schwellenbach, Reynaldo López, and AJ Smith-Shawver, along with Austin Riley on the 10-Day IL. The White Sox also have a lengthy injury list, with Noah Schultz, Mason Adams, and Colson Montgomery day-to-day, and Dan Altavilla, Miguel Castro, Drew Thorpe, Prelander Berroa, and Ky Bush on the IL.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

The recent head-to-head history between these two clubs shows a surprising trend in favor of the Chicago White Sox, who hold a 5-1 record in their last six meetings against the Atlanta Braves. However, when playing in Atlanta, the Braves have a slight edge, going 4-3 in their last seven home matchups against the White Sox. The total has tended to stay under in their recent contests, with the Under hitting in five of their last eight meetings (5-2-1). Despite this trend, yesterday's game defied expectations with a combined 22 runs scored, as the White Sox defeated the Braves 13-9.

Pick: Over 8.5 Total Runs

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Despite the historical trend of the Under hitting in recent head-to-head matchups, the current pitching matchup and recent offensive performances strongly suggest an Over. Both starting pitchers, Bryce Elder for the Braves and Shane Smith for the White Sox, have struggled significantly this season, particularly in their respective home/road splits. Elder's 6.66 home ERA is a major concern, and Smith's 4.19 road ERA is not much better. Both pitchers have also posted high ERAs in their last five starts, indicating poor recent form. The previous game between these two teams saw a combined 22 runs, far exceeding the total. Furthermore, seven of the last eight Braves games against American League opponents have gone over the total. With both bullpens also having middle-of-the-pack ERAs, expect plenty of scoring opportunities in this contest.

Top Player Prop Picks

Michael Harris II Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Atlanta's Michael Harris II has been on an absolute tear recently, batting over .400 in August and collecting 12 hits in his last six games. He's been a consistent source of offense for the Braves, and his recent form makes this prop highly appealing. He faces Shane Smith, a right-handed pitcher who has shown struggles against left-handed hitters and has a high walk rate, which could lead to more opportunities for Harris. With the White Sox bullpen also potentially taxed after yesterday's high-scoring affair, Harris is in a prime position to continue his hot streak and contribute across multiple categories.

Lenyn Sosa Over 0.5 Hits

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Chicago's Lenyn Sosa has emerged as a key offensive contributor for the White Sox, leading the team in hits (105), home runs (17), and RBIs (54). He demonstrated his capability in yesterday's game against the Braves, recording two hits and a home run. Sosa will be facing Bryce Elder, who has a high home ERA and has struggled with fastball command this season. Given Sosa's recent production and Elder's vulnerabilities, Sosa is well-positioned to record at least one hit in this matchup.

Matt Olson Over 0.5 Hits

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Braves first baseman Matt Olson is a consistent offensive threat, leading his team with 128 hits and 72 RBIs this season. He showed his hitting prowess in yesterday's game by collecting three hits. Olson will be up against Shane Smith, a pitcher who has the highest rate of walking the leadoff hitter in the league, which could create more plate appearances and opportunities for Olson to get on base and drive in runs. Given his consistent performance and the favorable matchup against a struggling pitcher, Olson is a strong candidate to record at least one hit.

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