Buffalo Sabres @ Tampa Bay Lightning Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 3/6/2025 7:00 PM EST

We have your Buffalo Sabres @ Tampa Bay Lightning prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Tampa Bay Lightning host the Buffalo Sabres in what promises to be an exciting Atlantic Division matchup.

Buffalo Sabres @ Tampa Bay Lightning Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Tampa Bay Lightning -225 (BetMGM), Buffalo Sabres +200 (DraftKings).
Best Spread Odds: Tampa Bay Lightning -1.0 (-115) (BetRivers).
Best Total Odds: Over 6.0 (-115) (BetRivers), Under 6.5 (-115) (ESPN BET).

Game Info

Date: March 6, 2025
Time: 7:00 PM EST
Location: Amalie Arena, Tampa, FL
TV: ESPN

Buffalo Sabres @ Tampa Bay Lightning Preview

The Buffalo Sabres enter this game on a four-game losing streak, struggling to find consistency on both ends of the ice. Their offense, led by Tage Thompson (30 goals), has been inconsistent, and their defense has allowed over three goals per game. Meanwhile, the Tampa Bay Lightning are in strong form, winning three of their last five games, including a dominant 6-2 victory over the Columbus Blue Jackets. Andrei Vasilevskiy has been stellar in goal, boasting a save percentage above 92%, and Nikita Kucherov continues to lead the league in points, making Tampa a formidable opponent at home.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

In their last five meetings, the Buffalo Sabres have had the upper hand, winning four of those matchups, including a 4-2 victory on April 16, 2024. However, Tampa Bay has been dominant at home against Buffalo, going 13-5 in their last 18 home games against the Sabres. This historical trend suggests Tampa Bay is a tough team to beat on their home ice, especially when fully rested and healthy.

Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning -1.0 (-115) (Spread)

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The Tampa Bay Lightning are the clear favorites in this matchup, and for good reason. They have been dominant at home, and their recent form is far superior to Buffalo's. With Vasilevskiy in peak form and Kucherov leading the offense, Tampa Bay should cover the -1.0 spread. Buffalo's road struggles and defensive issues make it difficult to trust them to keep this game close.

Top Player Prop Picks

Nikita Kucherov Over 1.5 Points

Kucherov has been a consistent offensive force for Tampa Bay, leading the league in points. With Buffalo's penalty kill ranking near the bottom of the league, Kucherov should have ample opportunities to rack up points, especially on the power play.

Tage Thompson Over 0.5 Goals

Thompson is Buffalo's top scorer with 30 goals this season. If the Sabres are to have any chance in this game, Thompson will need to find the back of the net. His ability to create scoring chances makes this a solid prop bet.

Andrei Vasilevskiy Over 29.5 Saves

Vasilevskiy has been in elite form, and with Buffalo likely to play from behind, they will be forced to generate a high volume of shots. Vasilevskiy should comfortably surpass this save total.

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