Baylor Bears @ SMU Mustangs Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 9/6/2025 12:00 PM EDT

We have your Baylor Bears @ SMU Mustangs prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Baylor Bears hit the road to face the SMU Mustangs.

Baylor Bears @ SMU Mustangs Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: SMU -176 on FanDuel (SMU) / Baylor +146 on FanDuel (Baylor)
Best Spread Odds: SMU -4.5 -108 on FanDuel (SMU) / Baylor +4.5 -112 on FanDuel (Baylor)
Best Total Odds: Over 64.5 -110 on FanDuel / Under 64.5 -110 on FanDuel

Game Info

Date: 2025-09-06
Time: 12:00 PM EDT
Location: Dallas, Texas
TV: -

Baylor Bears @ SMU Mustangs Preview

The Baylor Bears head to Dallas for a Week 2 matchup against the SMU Mustangs. Baylor is coming off a disappointing 38-24 loss to Auburn in their season opener. A key concern for the Bears was their defense, which allowed Auburn to rush for 307 yards at an average of 5.9 yards per carry, resulting in four touchdowns. This continues a trend for Baylor under head coach Dave Aranda, as their defense has struggled to contain opponents, giving up over 26.7 points per game since their 2021 Big 12 championship season. Historically, when Baylor's defense allows over 30 points per game under Aranda, they tend to finish the year with a losing record. This inability to stop the run could be a significant vulnerability against a potent SMU offense.

On the other side, the SMU Mustangs started their season strong with a dominant 42-13 victory over East Texas A&M. Their defense made an immediate impact, returning two interceptions for touchdowns. As the reigning ACC runner-up, SMU will look to build on their Week 1 performance and capitalize on Baylor's defensive struggles. This game presents an opportunity for SMU to assert their dominance at home against a Big 12 opponent still finding its footing.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Specific historic head-to-head game results and detailed analysis between the Baylor Bears and SMU Mustangs are not available in the provided research. Therefore, we cannot offer a comprehensive breakdown of their past matchups.

Pick: SMU -4.5

Our pick for this game is the SMU Mustangs to cover the spread at -4.5. Baylor's defensive performance in Week 1, particularly their inability to stop the run, is a major red flag. Giving up 307 rushing yards and four touchdowns to Auburn suggests significant vulnerabilities that SMU's offense can exploit. The Mustangs, coming off a convincing win where their defense also contributed with turnovers, appear to be in better form. Playing at home, SMU should be able to control the line of scrimmage and put up enough points to cover the 4.5-point spread against a struggling Baylor defense. The odds for SMU -4.5 are -108 on FanDuel.