Baltimore Orioles @ Philadelphia Phillies Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 8/6/2025 12:35 PM EDT

We have your Baltimore Orioles @ Philadelphia Phillies prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Baltimore Orioles hit the road to face the Philadelphia Phillies.

Baltimore Orioles @ Philadelphia Phillies Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -155 (Caesars), Baltimore Orioles +150 (ESPN BET)
Best Spread Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+126 at FanDuel)
Best Total Odds: Over 7.5 (-110 at ESPN BET), Under 8.5 (-125 at Caesars)

Game Info

Date: August 6, 2025
Time: 12:35 PM EDT
Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
TV: NBCS-PH

Baltimore Orioles @ Philadelphia Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are looking to complete a three-game sweep against the Baltimore Orioles in this Wednesday afternoon matchup. The Phillies enter this game with a strong 65-48 record, leading the NL East, and boast an impressive 37-20 record at their home ballpark, Citizens Bank Park. They've been on a roll, winning their last three games, including dominant victories of 13-3 and 5-0 against the Orioles in the first two games of this series. Their offense has been potent, ranking 4th in the league with a .255 batting average and scoring 534 runs, with slugger Kyle Schwarber leading the charge with 40 home runs and 94 RBIs.

On the other side, the Baltimore Orioles are struggling, holding a 51-63 record and sitting 5th in the AL East. Their road performance has been particularly challenging, with a 24-36 record away from home. The Orioles have lost their last three games and are 5-5 in their last 10 outings. Their offense ranks 14th in the league with a .242 batting average, while their pitching staff has a 4.91 ERA, placing them 27th in the league.

The pitching matchup features two left-handers. For the Phillies, Ranger Suarez (8-4, 2.68 ERA) will take the mound. Suarez has been consistent this season, logging 100.2 innings with 95 strikeouts. He recently allowed three earned runs over seven innings in his last start. For the Orioles, Trevor Rogers (4-2, 1.44 ERA) gets the nod. Rogers has been a bright spot for Baltimore, maintaining an impressive 1.44 ERA through nine starts and not allowing more than three earned runs in any outing. The Orioles have a 6-3 record in games he has started this season.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

The Philadelphia Phillies have had the upper hand in recent contests against the Baltimore Orioles, winning seven of the last 10 meetings between the two clubs. This dominance has been evident in the current series, where the Phillies have already secured victories in the first two games, winning 13-3 and 5-0. In the most recent 5-0 shutout, the Orioles' offense struggled to generate any momentum, managing only five hits, with Jordan Westburg contributing two of them. The Phillies' offense, however, was sparked by Brandon Marsh, who hit a home run and drove in two runs in that game. Despite their recent struggles against Philadelphia, the Orioles have shown some resilience as underdogs against NL East opponents, winning four of their last six such games following a loss.

Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline

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The Philadelphia Phillies are the clear pick here. They are playing at home, where they have a strong 37-20 record, and they have dominated the first two games of this series, outscoring the Orioles 18-3. While Trevor Rogers has been excellent for the Orioles this season, the Phillies' offense has proven capable of breaking through, and their own starter, Ranger Suarez, has been very reliable. The sharp money is also heavily favoring the Phillies in this matchup, indicating confidence in their ability to close out the sweep. Given their home advantage, recent form, and offensive firepower, the Phillies are well-positioned to secure another victory.

Top Player Prop Picks

Nick Castellanos (Philadelphia Phillies) - Hits + Runs + RBIs Over 1.5

Nick Castellanos has been in excellent form recently, hitting the over on this line in 100% of his last five games, with an average of 2.8 combined hits, runs, and RBIs. Over his last 10 games, he's maintained an 80% hit rate, averaging 2.6. Looking further back, he's hit the over in 75% of his last 20 games. Furthermore, Castellanos has a favorable historical matchup against Orioles' starter Trevor Rogers, boasting a .444 batting average and a .778 slugging percentage in their career head-to-head matchups. When playing at home this season, Castellanos has hit the over on this prop in 66.67% of his games. The line for this prop is set at 1.5, with odds of -130 at DraftKings.

Trevor Rogers (Baltimore Orioles) - Pitcher Outs Over 17.5

Trevor Rogers has been a workhorse for the Orioles, consistently going deep into games. He has hit the over on 17.5 pitcher outs in 100% of his last five starts, averaging 20.6 outs per game. Over his nine starts this season, he has hit the over 77.78% of the time, with an average of 18.78 outs. Rogers has not allowed more than three earned runs in any of his starts this season, showcasing his efficiency on the mound. The Phillies, while a strong offensive team, have shown less dominance against left-handed pitching this season, which could play into Rogers' favor. The line for this prop is 17.5, with odds of -110 at BetMGM.

J.T. Realmuto (Philadelphia Phillies) - Hits Over 0.5

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J.T. Realmuto has been a consistent hitter for the Phillies, especially at home. He has hit the over on 0.5 hits in 60% of his last five games and 70% of his last 10 games. Over his last 20 games, he has an impressive 80% hit rate for this prop. For the entire season, Realmuto has hit the over in 65.96% of his games. In his two appearances against the Orioles this season, he has hit the over on this prop 100% of the time. Playing at Citizens Bank Park, Realmuto has hit the over in 65.31% of his home games this season. The line for this prop is 0.5, with odds of -230 at Fanduel.

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