Baltimore Orioles @ Philadelphia Phillies Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 8/5/2025 6:45 PM EDT

We have your Baltimore Orioles @ Philadelphia Phillies prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Baltimore Orioles hit the road to face the Philadelphia Phillies.

Baltimore Orioles @ Philadelphia Phillies Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -138 on Fanduel | Baltimore Orioles +120 on ESPN BET
Best Total Odds: Over 9.5 (-118) on Fanduel | Under 10.0 (-118) on BetRivers

Game Info

Date: August 5, 2025
Time: 6:45 PM EDT
Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
TV: -

Baltimore Orioles @ Philadelphia Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies (64-48) are set to host the Baltimore Orioles (51-62) in the second game of their three-game series at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies are coming off a dominant 13-3 victory in Monday's opener, a win that extended their lead atop the NL East to 1.5 games and marked their third series win in their last four. Philadelphia has shown strong form recently, securing 6 victories in their last 10 games, and they typically perform well at home.

The Baltimore Orioles, despite their overall losing record, have shown flashes of offensive power, averaging 7.1 runs per game over their last 10 outings, with a 6-4 record in that span. However, their defense remains a concern, and their road performances can be unpredictable. They will be looking to rebound quickly after Monday's heavy defeat.

On the mound, the Orioles will send right-hander Dean Kremer (8-7, 4.27 ERA) to start. Kremer allowed three runs over five innings in his last start, a close 9-8 loss to Toronto. While the Orioles are 2-3 in his last five outings, they haven't lost by more than one run in any of those defeats, indicating his ability to keep games competitive. For the Phillies, righty Taijuan Walker (3-5, 3.82 ERA) will take the hill. Walker has had a somewhat inconsistent season, with a 1.36 WHIP and 14 home runs allowed in 73 innings, suggesting he can be prone to big innings. His last start was a challenging 9-3 loss to the White Sox.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Looking at the historic head-to-head matchups, the Philadelphia Phillies hold a slight edge over the Baltimore Orioles with 21 wins compared to Baltimore's 20. The most recent encounter saw the Phillies secure a commanding 13-3 victory on August 5. When playing at home, the Phillies have claimed victory 11 times against the Orioles, while the Orioles have impressively won 13 away games in this rivalry. The past three matchups between these two teams have seen the Phillies outrun Baltimore by a margin of nine-plus runs per game. Historically, the Orioles have fared well against Phillies pitcher Taijuan Walker, holding a 2-1 record in three matchups against him.

Pick: Over 9.5 Total Runs

widget-odds-mlb-ou-11812-BAL-PHI

This matchup has the potential for a high-scoring affair. Dean Kremer has faced issues on the road this season, and Taijuan Walker has been susceptible to giving up home runs, having allowed seven long balls in his last three starts. Both the Orioles and Phillies have demonstrated the ability to put up runs, with Baltimore averaging 7.1 runs per game over their last 10. Given the offensive capabilities of both lineups and the recent pitching trends, expect plenty of action on the scoreboard.

Top Player Prop Picks

Nick Castellanos (Philadelphia Phillies) Over 0.5 Runs

widget-props-mlb-11812-6147016

Nick Castellanos has been in excellent form, hitting the over on this line in 100% of his last 5 games and 90% of his last 10 games. He also hit the over in his most recent game against the Orioles. At home this season, he averages 0.52 runs per game, making the Over 0.5 Runs at +115 on BetMGM a strong play.

Nick Castellanos (Philadelphia Phillies) Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Building on his strong performance, Castellanos has cleared this line in 100% of his last 5 games and 80% of his last 10 games. His season average for this prop is 2.07, and at home, it rises to 2.27. He also hit the over in his last game against the Orioles. Take the Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs at -145 on BetMGM.

Dean Kremer (Baltimore Orioles) Over 4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts

widget-props-mlb-11812-6147112

Dean Kremer has shown a strong strikeout ability recently, hitting the over in 80% of his last 5 starts and 70% of his last 10 starts, with mean strikeouts of 5.2 and 5.3 respectively. While his season average is 4.73, the recent trend is favorable. News reports also suggest he is "positioned well for five or more strikeouts based on how opposing starters are faring in Philly lately." Bet the Over 4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts at -135 on DraftKings.

New customer offers and more lines available at:

Free Picks available for new customers at: